Smug-Rubbish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$546

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

109

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$7.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-14 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 66% -$524

Other

29% 56% -$51

Politics

3% 100% +$176

Tech

2% 0% -$148

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	4	$258	156	156	+0	Yes	+$16	06-30 22:38
bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	4	$238	207	207	+0	Yes	-$76	07-14 15:05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	3	$224	215	91	+124	Yes	+$30	06-24 12:22
will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	2	$216	110	110	+0	No	+$2	07-12 14:29
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$174	108	108	+0	Yes	+$41	07-09 22:07
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	2	$168	120	120	+0	No	-$34	06-23 21:26
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$159	120	120	+0	Yes	-$25	07-01 16:11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	6	$152	263	263	+0	Yes	-$10	07-07 17:58
spy closes above 750 on july 7 2026	2	$149	94	94	+0	No	-$17	07-07 16:43
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	2	$148	286	0	+286	Yes	-$148	06-30 12:54
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	2	$147	358	358	+0	No	+$18	07-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	9	$135	138	69	+69	Up	+$3	04-28 20:02
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	2	$128	68	68	+0	No	+$6	07-09 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	17	$127	130	65	+65	Up	+$2	04-28 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$119	118	118	+0	Up	+$5	04-28 18:31
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 4pm et	2	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$2	07-08 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	11	$116	120	80	+40	Down	+$1	04-28 17:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 18:00 UTC	3	$107	300	128	+171	Up	-$52	04-15 18:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	1	$100	161	0	+161	No	-$100	04-23 09:19
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	1	$100	124	0	+124	Yes	-$100	04-23 10:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$100	269	0	+269	No	+$170	04-19 20:17
ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	2	$94	60	60	+0	Yes	-$6	07-13 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	6	$89	90	45	+45	Down	+$1	04-29 22:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 17:45 UTC	2	$89	56	54	+1	Up	+$20	04-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$88	89	45	+44	Up	+$1	04-29 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	7	$88	81	81	+0	Up	-$18	04-30 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$88	90	45	+45	Down	+$1	04-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	6	$87	88	44	+44	Up	+$1	04-29 20:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$87	101	0	+101	Yes	+$14	06-23 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	8	$87	88	44	+44	Down	+$0	04-29 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 17:38:49	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	296	9¢	$27	0x4cef18…
07-14 17:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x7cff73…
07-14 17:29:20	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	SELL	190	8¢	$15	0x861986…
07-14 17:26:20	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	190	9¢	$17	0xcd3974…
07-14 17:25:47	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	49	38¢	$18	0xfac9a9…
07-14 17:22:02	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0xfc3b0d…
07-14 15:05:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	102	16¢	$17	0x66ee38…
07-14 13:00:26	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	102	57¢	$58	0x35ea87…
07-14 12:47:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	105	61¢	$64	0x5cf6dc…
07-14 01:31:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xeaae6f…
07-14 01:17:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xbdd30a…
07-14 01:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?	Yes	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x7bc9d1…
07-13 23:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x5dd2f5…
07-13 23:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5046f1…
07-13 23:53:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0x9942f2…
07-13 23:53:43	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	60	73¢	$44	0x72b087…
07-13 23:18:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x371721…
07-13 18:59:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfe6672…
07-13 10:17:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x9f255b…
07-12 20:18:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xed575c…
07-12 14:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12?	Yes	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0xc6080d…
07-12 14:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xfd8a23…
07-12 14:29:07	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x27e12d…
07-09 22:09:35	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0x19f9a7…
07-09 22:07:52	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x5f97ac…
07-09 19:32:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0x4297a3…
07-09 19:28:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0xcd7ac2…
07-08 21:52:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0xa10874…
07-08 21:26:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x30bdb8…
07-08 21:06:02	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xb3792f…
07-08 21:04:13	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x95270c…
07-08 20:54:59	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xe661ef…
07-08 20:53:19	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x7e3a97…
07-07 19:31:10	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	86	61¢	$53	0x61d974…
07-07 17:58:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xd39d8d…
07-07 17:33:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xfa800a…
07-07 17:31:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0xe0b362…
07-07 17:24:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x2876c3…
07-07 17:22:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xc88aad…
07-07 16:44:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	150	43¢	$64	0xf36b5a…
07-07 16:43:59	spy closes above 750 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	94	70¢	$66	0x77a5db…
07-07 14:59:44	spy closes above 750 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	94	88¢	$83	0x1baa6d…
07-01 16:30:16	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	176	45¢	$79	0xc0d200…
07-01 16:28:25	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	358	23¢	$82	0x13f020…
07-01 16:12:28	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	358	18¢	$64	0xbc4ec2…
07-01 16:11:23	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0xe2e4da…
07-01 10:32:56	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	120	77¢	$92	0x884474…
06-30 23:18:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	93	82¢	$76	0x91c8c5…
06-30 22:38:23	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x103d45…
06-30 20:11:19	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	77	77¢	$59	0x0d71c8…
06-30 12:54:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	172	34¢	$58	0x348164…
06-30 12:53:52	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	79	76¢	$60	0x996e9d…
06-29 12:18:47	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	79	78¢	$62	0x11b97e…
06-26 11:43:14	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	114	79¢	$90	0x2041b4…
06-26 11:25:14	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x74db3b…
06-25 11:44:25	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x1e6b77…
06-25 11:40:55	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0x8959a2…
06-24 12:22:49	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	124	75¢	$93	0x3e68c8…
06-23 21:37:20	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0xb2f680…
06-23 21:35:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	91	71¢	$65	0xadc73e…
06-23 21:34:11	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	91	72¢	$66	0xe4a6e6…
06-23 21:26:37	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0x024ae4…
06-23 19:44:10	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x78d42d…
06-23 13:43:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0x235541…
06-09 14:50:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xb7b3b3…
06-09 14:49:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x717489…
06-09 14:38:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x9add2d…
06-09 14:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0x69858e…
06-09 14:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x9a7c34…
05-05 13:10:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x65007c…
05-05 13:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0xc7f21f…
05-05 13:10:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x6133f3…
05-04 21:31:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0x72d4c3…
05-04 21:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3e15bc…
05-04 21:30:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0xafc258…
05-04 21:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9d4cff…
05-04 21:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x78e1d2…
05-04 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb1952a…
05-04 21:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5452c5…
05-04 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa43846…
04-30 10:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x11c0e4…
04-30 10:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x93306d…
04-30 10:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x3f328b…
04-30 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xa6b470…
04-30 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0x8213d1…
04-30 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x5859e5…
04-30 10:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa1ae2c…
04-30 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1a54f8…
04-30 10:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x50ad3e…
04-29 22:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x8bac38…
04-29 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x040820…
04-29 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbb2e96…
04-29 22:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x66d5b2…
04-29 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x15d323…
04-29 22:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x69de70…
04-29 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb0f500…
04-29 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x8ef7ae…
04-29 21:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x807eef…
04-29 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x8558f5…
04-29 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x26fb92…