Ragged-Bulb — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

32,253 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$86.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 09-09 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% -$4,040

Other

1% 23% +$45

Politics

0% 22% -$14

Sports

0% 75% -$18

Pop-Culture

0% 12% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	3	$409	505	505	+0	Yes	+$207	07-05 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:55 UTC	10	$244	287	221	+66	Down	+$54	04-02 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:40 UTC	6	$231	487	0	+487	Down	-$19	04-02 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:50 UTC	11	$210	486	0	+486	Up	+$6	04-02 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:35 UTC	8	$204	418	0	+418	Down	+$25	04-02 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:05 UTC	8	$204	286	110	+176	Up	+$49	04-02 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:50 UTC	6	$203	399	0	+399	Up	+$21	04-02 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:05 UTC	8	$193	503	0	+503	Up	+$17	04-02 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:25 UTC	5	$190	401	0	+401	Down	+$9	04-02 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:35 UTC	8	$184	553	0	+553	Up	+$60	04-02 16:38
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$182	23,222	16,722	+6,500	No	-$40	06-20 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	22	$180	222	205	+16	Up	+$54	05-15 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	24	$177	232	203	+29	Up	+$27	05-15 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:10 UTC	8	$175	395	0	+395	Up	-$15	04-02 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	26	$166	2,138	476	+1,662	Down	+$85	05-15 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	28	$162	510	252	+258	Up	+$79	05-18 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	18	$161	2,062	899	+1,163	Down	-$69	05-16 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	24	$161	224	181	+43	Down	+$42	05-15 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:00 UTC	5	$157	353	0	+353	Up	+$13	04-02 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	22	$156	1,378	519	+859	Up	+$178	05-14 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	18	$155	223	223	+0	Up	+$79	05-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	14	$152	253	173	+80	Down	+$14	05-12 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:40 UTC	14	$148	341	0	+341	Down	-$41	04-19 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	6	$145	334	0	+334	Up	+$24	04-02 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	16	$144	251	188	+63	Up	+$108	06-01 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:35 UTC	7	$143	393	0	+393	Up	+$16	04-02 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:40 UTC	6	$142	588	0	+588	Up	+$83	04-02 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:15 UTC	8	$142	512	0	+512	Up	+$7	04-02 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:40 UTC	5	$137	380	0	+380	Up	-$4	04-02 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:10 UTC	5	$136	317	0	+317	Down	+$25	04-02 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 14:01:49	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc244dc…
09-09 14:01:12	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3a72f7…
09-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa178f7…
09-09 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1c6076…
09-09 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb302ff…
09-09 13:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x930a0c…
09-09 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xbe54f3…
09-09 13:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1114a2…
09-09 13:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xb3c90a…
09-09 13:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xbca199…
09-09 13:58:03	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3570c9…
09-09 13:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfee756…
09-09 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x9065c5…
09-09 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x9a2e75…
09-09 13:56:10	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x03a676…
09-09 13:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xec1b6d…
09-09 13:55:40	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5fd5d…
09-09 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1d9b0d…
09-09 13:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6d1973…
09-09 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9ed5d7…
09-09 13:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7d48d6…
09-09 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x02bf78…
09-09 13:52:07	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c8714…
09-09 13:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xad781b…
09-09 13:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x47cb65…
09-09 13:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdda2af…
09-09 13:51:25	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x48fcdb…
09-09 13:51:00	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x312a46…
09-09 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x704e6b…
09-09 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x5ab8f6…
09-09 13:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xa57d27…
09-09 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x2bbae1…
09-09 13:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x897da2…
09-09 13:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa95fea…
09-09 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85996a…
09-09 13:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba7067…
09-09 13:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x01b9ed…
09-09 13:46:30	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x80d6c2…
09-09 13:46:24	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbc88cc…
09-09 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9dbf32…
09-09 13:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdfef2f…
09-09 13:44:57	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8b8f81…
09-09 13:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf9251…
09-09 13:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd9a805…
09-09 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xd353ce…
09-09 13:42:39	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x956c0d…
09-09 13:42:31	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x38199e…
09-09 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2d1d07…
09-09 13:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea44f3…
09-09 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x114a65…
09-09 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b6a40…
09-09 13:40:27	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x74dad4…
09-09 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4662db…
09-09 13:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50b1ca…
09-09 13:37:58	BNB Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb829a3…
09-09 13:37:49	BNB Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x897b11…
09-09 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x742061…
09-09 13:36:48	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x605a31…
09-09 13:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a6fea…
09-09 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe35302…
09-09 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc50a23…
09-09 13:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc39991…
09-09 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9e905f…
09-09 13:35:55	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xded051…
09-09 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49eb1a…
09-09 13:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe40895…
09-09 13:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x12e22e…
09-09 13:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x691f48…
09-09 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63a907…
09-09 13:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7fe063…
09-09 13:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x08ffa1…
09-09 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa386f5…
09-09 13:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc34399…
09-09 13:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2b9d41…
09-09 13:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x277d00…
09-09 13:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xab2bbb…
09-09 13:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x1c917d…
09-09 13:32:18	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x43f580…
09-09 13:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x18d332…
09-09 13:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x209158…
09-09 13:30:27	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x03e9f5…
09-09 13:30:22	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc9daf4…
09-09 13:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfbe206…
09-09 13:28:36	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8a27ac…
09-09 13:28:16	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf75dee…
09-09 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa011a3…
09-09 13:27:19	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x14f339…
09-09 13:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcf9776…
09-09 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x9394c0…
09-09 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6de1b0…
09-09 13:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f7ef4…
09-09 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe653c0…
09-09 13:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x62b6a5…
09-09 13:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x358e5a…
09-09 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7e9cd…
09-09 13:21:30	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7cc940…
09-09 13:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1db77a…
09-09 13:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4250f…
09-09 13:19:19	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x059204…
09-09 13:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x49e1b2…