Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$300

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-12 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$3

Other

26% — —

Sports

21% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$7	10¢	$1	$-6	06-11 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-10 02:21
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$17	39	0	+39	open	—	02-12 07:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$16	28	0	+28	Yes	+$2	04-07 18:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	03-03 17:51
will warsh say asymmetric during june press conference 20260608181156671	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	06-12 07:08
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	02-13 07:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	02-13 15:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	02-06 22:20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	03-03 13:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	02-13 18:50
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	02-10 11:22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	02-10 19:24
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 23:40
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 07:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	02-14 02:52
spx up or down on march 2 2026	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	03-01 15:39
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	02-06 14:49
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	02-28 08:06
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-02 12:54
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	02-28 15:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-17 19:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	06-11 10:03
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-16 06:45
Nothing Ever Happens: March	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 23:24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-05 02:10
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-04 13:25
will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-11 08:26
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-04 01:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$4	57	0	+57	open	—	04-07 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 07:08:15	will warsh say asymmetric during june press conference 20260608181156671	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe6e409…
06-11 10:03:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd5940e…
05-21 09:16:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xf2b7c5…
05-21 00:46:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa5f77c…
05-15 19:11:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x97c128…
05-14 23:24:13	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3abdc3…
05-11 23:34:09	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa95a7a…
04-25 09:24:38	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x229839…
04-21 00:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xdb5854…
04-20 07:52:42	spy closes above 705 on april 20 2026	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x55ed45…
04-09 07:10:35	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa34ca2…
04-08 22:27:45	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x6ea922…
04-08 07:38:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd8fc7e…
04-07 23:34:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x17dbf0…
04-07 18:03:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4b6e85…
04-07 15:31:23	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd6539f…
04-07 07:31:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc81a18…
03-18 13:34:41	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x13fdc7…
03-18 04:32:29	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xcad744…
03-17 19:51:43	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x252e8e…
03-16 06:45:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xab6147…
03-11 16:28:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd9548b…
03-11 08:26:23	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4d342f…
03-07 02:50:53	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x03b705…
03-05 02:10:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x884536…
03-04 13:25:33	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x116a89…
03-04 01:55:59	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7282b9…
03-03 17:51:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xcb2147…
03-03 13:33:25	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xa8756b…
03-03 09:43:43	will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa03562…
03-02 12:54:33	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x3ee35a…
03-01 23:40:53	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x04110a…
03-01 15:39:57	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xff83a5…
03-01 07:39:39	Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xc7f52d…
02-28 15:36:01	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xce1eee…
02-28 08:06:33	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x4938d4…
02-15 03:03:47	tsla up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf4cf4e…
02-14 17:53:43	tsla above 440 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8fe85a…
02-14 02:52:17	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xc29586…
02-13 18:50:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xdd6081…
02-13 15:34:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xc11a1c…
02-13 10:48:49	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd07fa1…
02-13 07:01:27	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x4c729f…
02-13 02:46:39	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x260751…
02-12 07:39:23	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa60d8…
02-10 19:24:45	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x849180…
02-10 11:22:43	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x4cf29e…
02-10 02:53:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb15ddc…
02-10 02:21:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x8517a7…
02-09 19:38:21	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x90e388…
02-09 13:36:23	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xe84340…
02-09 08:39:15	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xda813d…
02-09 05:53:19	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xdbf9b5…
02-08 07:19:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf96b46…
02-06 22:20:09	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x876b62…
02-06 14:49:39	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x2ea08a…