(anonymous) 0xe6000a…14a907
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Realized P&L
+$152
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
902
Trades
1,390
lifetime
Volume
$3.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$75
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 10-30 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
82% 79% +$216
Sports
9% 56% -$54
Politics
8% 75% -$10
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 09-28 08:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 09-28 09:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +6 $4 72¢ $4 $0 09-28 09:33
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 10-01 05:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-01 05:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 10-07 00:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 09-28 09:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 09-28 09:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 09-29 09:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-02 08:43
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-11 09:30
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-18 05:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4 $3 57¢ $2 -$1 10-01 05:47
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-15 07:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3 $3 62¢ $2 -$1 09-27 19:10
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-30 04:46
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-27 20:17
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-27 20:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 09-29 15:10
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-27 21:09
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-08 09:49
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-21 12:39
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-05 13:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $2 42¢ $2 -$1 10-07 05:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-01 05:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-01 05:18
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 10-21 12:39
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 10-05 22:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 10-16 20:16
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-07 19:00