Daring-Passage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

2,523

Trades

2,961

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-26 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$71	83	0	+83	Down	+$12	05-17 10:33
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	2	$43	22	22	+0	Down	-$1	05-31 19:58
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	-$2	05-30 04:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$40	22	22	+0	Up	-$4	05-31 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	05-17 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:30 UTC	2	$38	30	8	+23	Down	+$0	08-01 18:35
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$35	22	22	+0	Down	-$9	05-28 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	2	$35	37	0	+37	Down	+$2	08-12 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:50 UTC	2	$35	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	08-19 20:51
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$33	22	22	+0	Up	-$11	05-28 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	Up	-$3	05-31 01:28
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-28 22:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	05-22 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$30	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-23 00:55
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:05 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	08-02 02:07
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	$0	05-28 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	2	$27	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	05-18 01:57
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$27	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	05-17 23:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$27	19	19	+0	Down	-$1	05-22 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$26	14	14	+0	Down	-$2	05-27 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	-$4	05-29 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$25	18	18	+0	Up	-$2	05-22 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$25	19	19	+0	Down	-$3	05-22 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$25	19	19	+0	Down	-$3	05-22 19:13
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	-$5	05-18 01:57
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	-$5	05-18 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:40 UTC	2	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	08-16 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$25	17	17	+0	Up	-$3	05-22 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3ecdaa…
10-26 14:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfe232c…
10-26 14:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8c896a…
10-26 13:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x6de57f…
10-26 02:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbd523a…
10-25 21:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5fdadc…
10-25 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x67ed1d…
10-25 14:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8453b9…
10-25 13:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8a03e…
10-25 11:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7031df…
10-25 10:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x56a8e7…
10-25 04:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdfd566…
10-25 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdbfff1…
10-24 21:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x001456…
10-24 16:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd1282a…
10-24 15:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x432e92…
10-24 14:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x125251…
10-24 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7f6831…
10-23 23:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xba5b6e…
10-23 04:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5cc02b…
10-22 23:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac6a27…
10-22 19:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f3dae…
10-22 19:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd414aa…
10-22 17:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3c2add…
10-22 13:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25a471…
10-22 02:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x203df7…
10-21 19:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0e8131…
10-21 16:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcdce8f…
10-21 15:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3d8b1f…
10-21 14:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8e88ea…
10-21 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcfefe8…
10-21 11:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc86b8a…
10-21 10:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x074a94…
10-21 10:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4dc19c…
10-21 04:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe28758…
10-20 22:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfd14b4…
10-20 19:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xde4893…
10-20 16:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1d5b6c…
10-20 15:27:12	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x126979…
10-20 13:51:42	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x86314c…
10-20 12:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4a14f2…
10-20 10:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdac561…
10-20 04:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4513cf…
10-20 01:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd3154f…
10-20 00:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x335c0b…
10-19 22:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xebbadc…
10-19 22:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf394d4…
10-19 21:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x76f52c…
10-19 20:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfc8351…
10-19 15:01:39	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x593535…
10-19 13:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xda8e8e…
10-19 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x75fa92…
10-19 13:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf6143b…
10-19 00:16:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4fdd24…
10-19 00:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8ec311…
10-18 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5f9f00…
10-18 21:01:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x81b1b8…
10-18 20:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf654be…
10-18 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x358132…
10-18 18:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5c3f3d…
10-18 17:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x606c50…
10-18 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x086733…
10-18 14:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5deb7a…
10-18 02:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb65327…
10-18 00:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfe9fbb…
10-17 19:03:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x865f12…
10-17 15:56:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe05beb…
10-17 15:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4d0b46…
10-17 13:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3be504…
10-17 12:21:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35b6c4…
10-17 04:02:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x61a3a3…
10-17 03:46:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc121be…
10-17 03:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x09dc4f…
10-17 01:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdef610…
10-17 00:46:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb0c60c…
10-16 21:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xec7d15…
10-16 18:06:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe3a26a…
10-16 17:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd1edc6…
10-16 16:01:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x17ca45…
10-16 12:36:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd1b69a…
10-16 11:21:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf8ffd4…
10-16 11:11:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbc3cd8…
10-16 03:20:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x200800…
10-16 00:52:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4391b9…
10-15 23:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeda1f8…
10-15 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb1cd79…
10-15 22:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5133e7…
10-15 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb934be…
10-15 14:27:29	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x96f587…
10-15 13:46:17	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9f72a4…
10-15 12:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc0774b…
10-15 11:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x91a5b2…
10-15 02:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x18085e…
10-15 02:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4fd6d4…
10-15 02:22:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x14c458…
10-15 02:21:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6227b4…
10-15 00:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3cc35f…
10-14 20:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5227a…
10-14 15:12:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfbc5ff…
10-14 14:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6a7dbc…