Trusting-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$238

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-12 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 70% $-0

Other

44% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	5	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-18 11:59
val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	5	$6	10	4	+6	open	—	04-19 00:06
cs2 3dmax fal2 2026 04 13 game1	2	$6	6	5	+0	open	—	04-13 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 20:44
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	4	$5	8	2	+6	open	—	04-18 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 16:32
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	3	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-15 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 00:41
cs2 m8 g2 2026 04 13	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 15:25
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-12 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776071700	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 09:21
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-10 00:59
val ts3 pr1 2026 04 17	3	$3	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 12:10
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14 game2	3	$3	9	2	+7	open	—	04-14 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$3	101	1	+100	Up	$-1	05-08 06:13
cs2 b8 pssnua 2026 04 14 game1	3	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 19:05
val fs1 var 2026 04 17 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:54
cs2 b8 aur1 2026 04 15 game1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 16:36
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15 game1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 18:30
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 00:17
val drx1 ge1 2026 04 18 game2	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 09:31
val fur eg2 2026 04 17	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776235200	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-15 06:45
val fs1 var 2026 04 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x9d4ab8…
05-12 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x8ac0d4…
05-10 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1d1715…
05-10 00:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x1a6c4e…
05-10 00:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb58438…
05-10 00:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2a76c4…
05-10 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe35d90…
05-10 00:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x626056…
05-10 00:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x61df25…
05-10 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5ca384…
05-10 00:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8f5c19…
05-10 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc85cd5…
05-10 00:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xff28d5…
05-10 00:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd59db5…
05-10 00:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x23afd5…
05-10 00:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa00e2a…
05-10 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x947078…
05-10 00:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe3259d…
05-08 13:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x090996…
05-08 13:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f6efe…
05-08 13:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1619d5…
05-08 13:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x3eef12…
05-08 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa195f3…
05-08 13:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x02c4c0…
05-08 13:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc3e574…
05-08 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd215f9…
05-08 06:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x725604…
05-08 06:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x02c901…
05-08 06:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf1d152…
05-08 04:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x3f3518…
05-08 04:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9683d5…
05-08 04:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x28f930…
05-08 04:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x04a831…
05-08 03:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1862b6…
05-08 03:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc215cd…
05-07 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1946c1…
05-07 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xf5ed73…
05-07 20:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x97d415…
05-07 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb13bdf…
05-07 20:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe02883…
05-07 20:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd3965d…
05-07 20:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe221d2…
05-07 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x009e95…
05-07 20:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc1446b…
05-07 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x2c2e54…
05-07 20:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2a72e3…
05-07 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9e54b5…
05-07 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x76c8fe…
05-07 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x14e6b3…
05-07 11:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x40aa69…
05-07 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x19abd6…
05-07 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xfece4a…
05-07 11:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf5d770…
05-07 11:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xffd5ee…
05-07 11:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x60cb6f…
05-07 10:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x89a183…
05-07 09:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf31acf…
05-07 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xecab2e…
05-07 09:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7933dc…
05-07 09:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x425498…
05-07 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe6a03e…
05-06 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb611cf…
05-06 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x555757…
05-06 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x35b3ad…
05-06 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd95fa5…
05-06 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a8c40…
05-06 16:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xadd102…
05-06 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x64051b…
05-06 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xcf5e19…
05-06 16:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x55f9fe…
05-06 16:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x025930…
05-06 16:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2511f5…
05-06 16:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xad9c98…
05-06 16:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x03b16f…
05-06 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xaab1eb…
05-06 14:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa2cb82…
05-06 14:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xceccf4…
05-06 14:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc94327…
05-06 14:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6df38c…
05-06 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa20c41…
05-06 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x456804…
05-06 14:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1810eb…
04-19 09:15:38	val rrq1 t1 2026 04 19	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4a7c80…
04-19 00:06:30	val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	G2 Esports	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc42e24…
04-19 00:06:28	val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	G2 Esports	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5e1b8a…
04-18 23:55:50	val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	G2 Esports	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x4ba5ef…
04-18 23:15:38	val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	G2 Esports	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x486cda…
04-18 23:09:08	val g21 lev1 2026 04 18	G2 Esports	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe7f376…
04-18 23:02:24	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x06b091…
04-18 15:47:40	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x2f7e0d…
04-18 15:44:44	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Spirit	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x58c69a…
04-18 15:27:14	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Spirit	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcce9c2…
04-18 13:44:02	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8bde2…
04-18 11:59:06	val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	DetonatioN FocusMe	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1a7597…
04-18 11:19:26	val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd6c0ad…
04-18 11:08:00	val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1aa4e4…
04-18 10:58:00	val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	ZETA DIVISION	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xeaad41…
04-18 10:48:18	val zeta2 dfm1 2026 04 18	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x916697…
04-18 09:31:14	val drx1 ge1 2026 04 18 game2	DRX	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x580fc5…
04-18 09:09:38	val drx1 ge1 2026 04 18 game2	DRX	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x645b86…