Dearest-Diffuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

262

645 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$30.0K

$126.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-30 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 97% +$207

Other

7% 77% -$281

Politics

0% 75% -$2

Sports

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	06-23 10:05
bitcoin above 70k on august 7 2026	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	08-06 15:02
bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 02:23
bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$2	08-12 22:47
bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-16 05:03
bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	08-18 00:50
bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 12:28
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 11:45
bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-15 10:52
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	07-24 00:58
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-02 14:34
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	07-25 02:01
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	08-07 16:46
bitcoin above 68k on august 1 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	07-31 16:57
bitcoin above 58k on august 17 2026	11	$2.0K	981	981	-0	Yes	+$1	08-17 08:29
bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	3	$1.8K	908	908	+0	No	+$2	06-13 11:34
bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$3	08-04 02:31
bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	7	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$350	08-20 06:34
bitcoin above 66k on july 7 2026	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$2	07-07 11:12
bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	2	$1.1K	544	544	+0	Yes	+$2	08-13 11:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	Yes	+$1	05-09 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	04-26 22:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-05 00:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	04-28 22:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-02 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	04-30 22:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-06 01:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-07 23:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	04-29 22:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-10 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$91	0x045aba…
10-30 03:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xa97e64…
10-29 04:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3eea39…
10-28 06:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x383e1e…
10-28 06:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x5778e6…
10-28 06:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x522289…
10-27 22:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x6603b1…
10-27 10:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x38e225…
10-25 06:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xcf11f7…
10-25 00:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xefd34f…
10-24 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$89	0x90be37…
10-23 23:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x8360e8…
10-23 23:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x989b19…
10-21 07:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x12da2d…
10-20 03:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x5e8274…
10-13 07:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x7e393b…
10-12 06:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x95f250…
10-12 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xf5d3bc…
10-12 06:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfebabc…
10-12 06:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf33c00…
10-11 07:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x4274fb…
10-10 06:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x92f008…
10-10 06:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0x566ee9…
10-10 02:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe36831…
10-10 02:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xd2956e…
10-08 08:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf9147…
10-08 08:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x06f288…
10-07 06:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x7ac756…
10-04 06:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xdd0893…
09-30 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x7a0122…
09-30 07:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x955403…
09-30 07:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x409269…
09-30 07:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x94ffa4…
09-30 07:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5f93cc…
09-30 07:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x3d765e…
09-30 07:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3a1ce5…
09-30 07:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x1067db…
09-30 06:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xbc4ef9…
09-30 03:42:08	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x2038f9…
09-27 08:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x959f2b…
09-27 07:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0xcdb20a…
09-27 07:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd9e2f7…
09-27 07:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x20840d…
09-27 06:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x48df9f…
09-25 08:38:02	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x57d3d8…
09-17 03:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 17?	No	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0xec06e9…
09-17 03:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce202b…
09-15 03:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x4152cd…
09-15 03:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xf45921…
09-13 02:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?	No	SELL	38	70¢	$27	0x1e274c…
09-13 02:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x030325…
09-13 01:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0x3faa20…
09-13 01:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd3c045…
09-12 23:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc1b1f0…
09-12 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x3c7920…
09-12 07:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$169	0x2e0717…
09-12 07:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x5c6f98…
09-12 06:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x49f59f…
09-12 06:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x700a4b…
09-11 22:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xaa9218…
09-10 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0xe33b01…
09-10 22:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x593907…
09-09 22:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 10?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x368b1e…
09-09 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 9?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd74015…
09-09 06:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 9?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0x8b1163…
09-09 06:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 9?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0xa7c810…
09-08 23:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 9?	No	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0xd50ebf…
09-07 07:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x54bdbf…
09-07 07:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x57e032…
09-07 07:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x48f352…
09-07 07:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x0e9862…
09-07 07:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xd6df5e…
09-07 06:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x095941…
09-07 06:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x431ef0…
09-07 06:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xa98636…
09-07 06:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x8ce8fc…
09-07 06:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8e5f2f…
09-07 06:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x48a67c…
09-07 06:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x15b7cf…
09-07 06:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xa4e7ce…
09-07 06:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x14d963…
09-07 05:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc2b276…
09-07 05:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x982311…
09-07 05:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x8f4364…
09-07 05:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x55993c…
09-07 04:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e2e2c…
09-07 04:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x3d269e…
09-07 03:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x142cfd…
09-07 03:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd6796d…
09-07 00:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7a2df4…
09-06 02:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x2b52af…
09-06 02:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x85d9db…
09-05 23:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x454e06…
09-05 23:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x845cb8…
09-05 01:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xd47291…
09-05 00:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x272a52…
09-04 05:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0x9f0176…
09-04 01:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	346	99¢	$342	0x0f1031…
09-03 09:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x37f1e8…
09-03 09:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	328	99¢	$324	0x08c92d…