Hoarse-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-01 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$13

Other

0% 88% -$2

Politics

0% 67% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	96¢	$-5	$0	09-01 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$222	222	+222	Yes	+$0	03-12 09:15
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 6	1	$222	222	+222	No	+$0	04-05 08:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$221	222	+222	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:29
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$217	218	+218	No	+$0	03-14 20:32
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$216	217	+217	No	+$1	04-17 10:26
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$216	216	+216	Yes	+$0	04-12 09:35
ethereum above 2500 on february 24	1	$215	216	+216	No	+$0	02-22 12:10
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$215	215	+215	No	+$0	04-07 06:21
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	1	$215	215	+215	No	+$0	03-10 16:23
bitcoin above 78k on february 13	1	$213	214	+214	No	+$0	02-11 23:00
bitcoin above 78k on march 29	1	$212	213	+213	No	+$0	03-27 20:27
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$212	212	+212	No	+$0	03-25 16:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$212	212	+212	No	+$0	03-20 11:40
bitcoin above 78k on april 2	1	$211	211	+211	No	+$0	04-01 05:02
bitcoin above 80k on february 21	1	$211	211	+211	No	+$0	02-19 15:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 10	1	$210	211	+211	No	+$0	02-09 01:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 22	1	$210	211	+211	No	+$0	04-21 13:30
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on february 8	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	02-07 02:06
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	1	$210	210	+210	Yes	+$0	03-05 14:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23?	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	05-22 08:01
bitcoin above 78k on march 24	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	03-23 16:09
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 14?	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	05-12 23:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	04-15 10:54
ethereum above 1800 on march 19	1	$209	210	+210	Yes	+$0	03-18 08:55
bitcoin above 76k on february 27	1	$209	209	+209	No	+$0	02-25 02:00
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 17	1	$207	208	+208	No	+$1	02-15 23:58
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$207	207	+207	No	+$0	03-01 03:09
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3200 on february 6	1	$206	206	+206	No	+$0	02-05 03:52
bitcoin above 82k on january 10	1	$205	205	+205	Yes	+$0	01-09 02:08
bitcoin above 76k on february 15	1	$205	205	+205	No	+$0	02-14 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 14:34:12	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2630f6…
09-01 14:33:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa2bb03…
08-12 06:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa7d618…
08-03 17:58:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa83b1c…
07-31 15:13:45	bitcoin above 68k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xde4700…
07-15 17:59:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 16?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x20e9af…
06-21 20:27:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xe7fc93…
06-15 11:04:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a5c55…
06-15 11:03:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x01a222…
06-15 11:01:43	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8a8e42…
06-12 09:19:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x5784fe…
05-23 13:05:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x95b23a…
05-23 12:53:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb623aa…
05-23 12:51:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xeaf6c9…
05-22 08:01:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x22ad51…
05-12 23:48:18	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 14?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x23383f…
05-09 14:36:22	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x648423…
05-09 14:30:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x24f655…
05-07 15:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xa84bb0…
04-29 14:13:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x053c61…
04-24 10:59:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea87ea…
04-24 10:57:26	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf874f0…
04-21 13:30:08	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 22	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x194524…
04-17 10:26:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x7b2a72…
04-15 10:54:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x439c12…
04-12 09:35:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x25ec00…
04-08 08:08:37	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x01dbf8…
04-07 06:21:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xe1f564…
04-05 08:54:21	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 6	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x8eb32a…
04-01 05:02:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 2	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x86b8cd…
03-30 03:05:36	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x5737d5…
03-27 20:27:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 29	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0xa589a4…
03-25 16:05:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xb0f1eb…
03-23 16:09:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x260acd…
03-20 11:40:07	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x7b08c6…
03-18 08:55:51	ethereum above 1800 on march 19	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x74054c…
03-17 23:54:11	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9fe3c7…
03-17 23:52:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8e2937…
03-14 20:32:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x491669…
03-12 09:15:03	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x782577…
03-10 16:23:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x63be2b…
03-05 14:52:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 6	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xedcc69…
03-01 03:09:05	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xc9f7cd…
02-25 02:00:58	bitcoin above 76k on february 27	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x3c10cb…
02-22 12:10:18	ethereum above 2500 on february 24	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x1bfcf5…
02-19 15:14:06	bitcoin above 80k on february 21	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x50bdd4…
02-15 23:58:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 17	No	BUY	208	99¢	$207	0x22db13…
02-14 01:54:43	bitcoin above 76k on february 15	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x210086…
02-11 23:00:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 13	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x78b7a9…
02-11 09:43:09	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x8ce201…
02-09 01:20:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 10	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xc71733…
02-07 02:06:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on february 8	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x038e11…
02-05 03:52:21	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3200 on february 6	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xe5c4bf…
02-01 07:54:04	bitcoin above 92k on february 2	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x04b440…
01-31 11:10:06	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x7f8506…
01-29 12:16:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 30	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x56504a…
01-27 09:55:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 28	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x327a79…
01-24 10:39:58	ethereum above 3600 on january 26	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x0d4417…
01-22 15:39:24	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8ae210…
01-21 09:50:28	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x83ba97…
01-18 05:43:08	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x6b2655…
01-15 00:33:22	bitcoin above 82k on january 17	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xe00a79…
01-13 18:21:47	will solana reach 180 in january 2026	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xd6fd6e…
01-11 03:35:26	bitcoin above 102k on january 13	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x4b444f…
01-09 02:08:52	bitcoin above 82k on january 10	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x6f92e9…
01-05 20:43:51	ethereum above 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xea3109…
01-03 14:41:39	ethereum above 2400 on january 5	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x43bc92…
01-02 01:38:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x75f928…