Occasional-Channel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

1,837

Trades

4,903

lifetime

Volume

$53.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-17 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$1,849

Other

0% 46% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:55 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,394	722	+672	Up	-$380	04-03 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$958	590	590	+0	Down	+$151	05-08 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$874	634	634	+0	Up	+$20	05-08 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	44	$736	567	567	+0	Down	+$146	05-08 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	26	$704	554	442	+111	Up	+$146	05-08 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	23	$659	447	447	+0	Up	+$191	05-08 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	25	$383	407	318	+89	Down	-$2	05-08 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	11	$379	275	275	+0	Down	+$104	05-08 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:25 UTC	2	$361	247	242	+5	Up	+$20	04-03 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:30 UTC	4	$309	186	183	+3	Up	+$27	04-09 15:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC	4	$305	544	518	+25	Down	-$80	04-04 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	10	$291	387	296	+91	Down	+$12	05-08 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:35 UTC	1	$290	400	0	+400	Up	+$110	04-03 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:20 UTC	2	$286	180	175	+5	Up	+$65	04-03 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	18	$271	290	290	+0	Up	+$81	05-08 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$263	340	173	+167	Up	+$28	06-05 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 23:20 UTC	4	$262	307	297	+10	Down	-$73	04-03 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:30 UTC	9	$261	186	181	+5	Up	+$35	04-04 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$258	202	202	+0	Up	+$23	05-09 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:25 UTC	3	$254	233	226	+7	Down	-$8	04-04 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$252	194	194	+0	Up	+$69	05-08 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$250	218	218	+0	Up	+$50	05-08 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:30 UTC	2	$245	162	159	+3	Up	+$13	04-03 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:20 UTC	4	$244	527	205	+322	Up	+$19	04-03 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:25 UTC	2	$242	194	189	+5	Down	+$6	04-03 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:25 UTC	4	$230	142	140	+2	Down	+$10	04-09 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	23	$226	162	162	+0	Down	+$58	05-08 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:20 UTC	2	$222	158	153	+5	Up	+$56	04-04 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$220	489	0	+489	Up	-$220	05-08 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$220	188	188	+0	Down	+$59	05-08 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 22:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0b5e55…
10-17 22:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xef9f70…
10-17 21:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x27df64…
10-17 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2867a9…
10-17 21:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35210d…
10-17 21:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x7af30d…
10-17 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x74287c…
09-12 11:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3fb90d…
09-12 11:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x161671…
09-01 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x964333…
09-01 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc53bad…
09-01 15:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x83c7f8…
09-01 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0cacfe…
08-28 14:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc639f4…
07-15 22:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa82bc8…
07-15 22:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x98b6b8…
07-15 22:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x422929…
07-15 22:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xdca73f…
07-15 22:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xfa43de…
07-15 22:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x5dc1ac…
07-15 22:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x26d6b1…
07-15 22:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x9fd1f3…
07-15 22:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xeaf1df…
07-15 22:07:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0x62bf65…
07-15 22:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x6cb743…
07-15 22:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	76¢	$16	0xd00ebc…
07-15 22:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x566bc0…
07-15 22:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xad769c…
07-15 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x19a829…
07-11 21:04:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa4cd98…
07-09 22:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xadd733…
07-09 22:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x22e5ee…
07-09 22:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe82cc2…
07-09 01:04:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8183af…
07-09 00:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd219a0…
07-09 00:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x96e677…
07-09 00:56:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x28092f…
07-09 00:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xf69966…
07-09 00:47:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0xf82a68…
07-09 00:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x973f01…
07-09 00:46:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x95ab8e…
07-09 00:45:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb2b30e…
07-09 00:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x0fd732…
07-09 00:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x84cc35…
07-09 00:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x82de56…
07-09 00:38:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0x1da1c0…
07-09 00:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x00c516…
07-09 00:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x828650…
07-09 00:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x460a0c…
07-09 00:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x5c21fd…
07-09 00:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf95418…
07-09 00:32:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xc0a43d…
07-09 00:32:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x89c3dc…
07-09 00:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x665e19…
07-09 00:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x41e24b…
07-09 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd405d9…
07-09 00:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa922a8…
07-09 00:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x5f0cba…
07-09 00:27:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x42676b…
07-09 00:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xf9f54f…
07-09 00:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x610111…
07-09 00:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x4d076e…
07-09 00:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x8deb0c…
07-09 00:21:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x7c98ed…
07-09 00:20:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x3382aa…
07-09 00:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x8b7af1…
07-09 00:15:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x223420…
07-09 00:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc040b8…
07-09 00:09:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xaef258…
07-09 00:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1d18fd…
07-09 00:08:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xdeb448…
07-09 00:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb790a7…
07-09 00:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x293d1d…
07-09 00:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4bde68…
07-09 00:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x371472…
07-08 23:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x33d296…
07-08 23:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x817c3a…
07-08 23:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe41474…
07-08 23:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x2b5975…
07-08 23:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x217b0d…
07-08 23:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xff1f27…
07-08 23:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x911d67…
07-08 23:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x25e335…
07-08 23:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xce79e3…
07-08 23:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xbb87a4…
07-08 23:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf8c0b6…
07-08 23:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x0ff626…
07-08 23:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xb9935a…
07-08 23:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x192e84…
07-08 23:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x877635…
07-08 23:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x4b9c2d…
07-08 23:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x3bc805…
07-08 23:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2da32d…
07-08 23:38:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xda3b10…
07-08 23:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xbd92c7…
07-08 23:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x2914b2…
07-08 23:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x31efca…
07-08 23:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x91c3e0…
07-08 23:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5ce4f1…
07-08 23:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x38ddd3…