Offensive-Waterskiing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

28.4%

Resolved

122

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$395

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-19 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

63% 15% -$43

Sports

20% 28% +$5

Politics

12% 17% +$7

Crypto

3% 25% -$3

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+16	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-20 06:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+5	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-19 10:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	14	$22	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-19 20:05
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	11	$21	1,125	125	+1,000	Milwaukee Brewers	+$1	05-20 02:22
ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito	14	$20	57	38	+19	Yuki Naito	+$0	05-20 08:05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	8	$12	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 20:10
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$10	9	9	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$8	05-20 04:30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	6	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 20:05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	7	$10	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-19 19:59
ITF Takasaki: Kyoka Okamura vs Valentina Ryser	7	$9	38	11	+27	Valentina Ryser	-$1	05-20 06:46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	3	$8	16	16	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$4	05-20 02:27
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejans	5	$7	19	19	+0	Tristan Schoolkate	-$1	05-19 19:59
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka	7	$7	55	0	+55	Sasikumar Mukund	-$7	05-20 06:29
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	7	$7	1,008	8	+1,000	Atlanta Braves	-$1	05-19 23:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$6	56	45	+10	No	+$13	05-25 22:54
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	4	$6	6	6	+0	Over	$0	05-19 19:59
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	4	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	05-20 07:01
ITF Toyama: Moeka Miyata vs Haruka Nishimura	4	$6	14	10	+5	Moeka Miyata	$0	05-20 08:30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	5	$5	500	0	+500	New York Yankees	-$5	05-20 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	3	$4	107	107	+0	No	+$0	05-22 14:09
Cervia: Jacopo Vasami vs Enrico Dalla Valle	3	$4	8	8	+0	Enrico Dalla Valle	+$0	05-20 12:44
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19?	3	$4	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 19:51
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	3	$4	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 19:20
ITF Takasaki: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Hikaru Sato	4	$4	303	0	+303	Hikaru Sato	-$4	05-20 03:38
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	4	$4	111	0	+111	Washington Nationals	+$7	05-20 01:52
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	3	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-20 02:28
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$4	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-20 14:11
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	3	$4	9	9	+0	Over	$0	05-19 20:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	3	$4	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-20 06:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	5	$4	61	61	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:45
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	4	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-19 23:12
Trump kiss by May 31?	4	$4	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-20 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 11:31:16	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x0a7a21…
06-19 10:24:41	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaac99b…
06-19 09:23:46	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x4101d5…
06-19 09:23:44	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x3fc77e…
06-17 19:44:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x57be95…
06-17 19:20:52	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x2cdeca…
06-17 19:04:37	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x592a27…
06-17 19:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xce752b…
06-17 19:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x42ce59…
06-17 18:44:11	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xc69958…
06-17 18:36:28	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x82cc04…
06-17 18:01:20	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x071387…
06-17 18:01:11	will pltr reach 141 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb291c0…
06-17 17:58:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe24010…
06-17 17:58:14	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x35da77…
06-17 17:58:13	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca9bd5…
06-17 17:58:11	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4ff637…
05-30 16:28:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9c44b5…
05-30 16:28:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x021c55…
05-30 16:28:12	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x8427cc…
05-28 01:56:33	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x875a45…
05-27 16:55:43	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x205658…
05-27 16:10:30	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xb68cf4…
05-26 12:42:57	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd980d4…
05-26 11:06:04	Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrand	Robin Bertrand	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x447c92…
05-26 11:06:02	Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrand	Robin Bertrand	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb49025…
05-26 10:49:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x475178…
05-26 06:36:55	Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb9efaf…
05-26 06:36:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8e0771…
05-26 05:35:52	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4b44c5…
05-26 05:05:23	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xc87c19…
05-26 03:36:01	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x02ddf8…
05-26 03:35:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x864fa7…
05-26 03:35:56	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xecf6cc…
05-26 03:35:54	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7ae64a…
05-26 03:33:48	Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	972	0¢	$1	0x4216b5…
05-26 03:33:47	Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$0	0x794700…
05-26 03:33:47	Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0x337f63…
05-26 02:29:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcf48d0…
05-25 22:54:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4cdf72…
05-25 22:54:02	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	692	0¢	$1	0x67d330…
05-25 22:53:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2489fd…
05-25 22:53:55	Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x016352…
05-25 22:53:52	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9757ac…
05-25 22:53:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x1dfed7…
05-25 20:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x933942…
05-25 19:41:31	Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 38.5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0bab87…
05-25 18:57:19	Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Under 4.5	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff85b2…
05-25 06:28:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x6ff19a…
05-25 06:15:26	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6fa89d…
05-25 06:15:24	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6fa0b9…
05-25 06:00:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	Sri Lanka A	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x7e8ee2…
05-25 05:44:31	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	Sri Lanka A	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x58e4f8…
05-25 05:44:22	Blue wave in 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x211609…
05-23 02:33:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x34e6e8…
05-23 00:39:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf91fc8…
05-23 00:39:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x3b6933…
05-22 14:10:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8065e3…
05-22 14:10:01	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e95b6…
05-22 14:09:55	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$2	0x0e2449…
05-21 22:01:39	ITF Maringa: Ezequiel Monferrer vs Nicolas Zanellato	Nicolas Zanellato	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6231f8…
05-21 22:01:35	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x038526…
05-21 17:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x33a4af…
05-21 17:49:11	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xbb5d18…
05-20 15:56:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xd5b6ef…
05-20 14:38:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfe3c45…
05-20 14:37:31	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x11caf5…
05-20 14:37:01	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Storm Hunter vs Xiyu Wang	Storm Hunter	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xfcfd2a…
05-20 14:36:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xc779a2…
05-20 14:34:15	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Storm Hunter vs Xiyu Wang	Storm Hunter	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x638568…
05-20 14:34:09	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x909358…
05-20 14:13:34	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf82941…
05-20 14:11:31	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x3d480a…
05-20 12:44:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe8f3f0…
05-20 12:44:05	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Teodora Kostovic	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2fa3a…
05-20 12:44:01	Cervia: Jacopo Vasami vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Jacopo Vasami	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x8c7c4c…
05-20 12:28:04	Cervia: Jacopo Vasami vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Jacopo Vasami	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xebd014…
05-20 12:28:02	Cervia: Jacopo Vasami vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Jacopo Vasami	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x16d8f5…
05-20 12:27:57	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x0985c2…
05-20 10:49:22	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume	Kathinka von Deichmann	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c21e0…
05-20 10:31:45	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xebf2d8…
05-20 08:35:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x251131…
05-20 08:30:23	ITF Toyama: Moeka Miyata vs Haruka Nishimura	Haruka Nishimura	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5ad186…
05-20 08:28:21	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x31b008…
05-20 08:25:29	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44581e…
05-20 08:13:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf477df…
05-20 08:12:31	ITF Toyama: Moeka Miyata vs Haruka Nishimura	Haruka Nishimura	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x561170…
05-20 08:10:21	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x73f62e…
05-20 08:06:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xebb3a7…
05-20 08:05:29	ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito	Hina Inoue	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa03dfd…
05-20 08:05:27	ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito	Hina Inoue	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1ffcd…
05-20 08:05:25	ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito	Hina Inoue	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa82a19…
05-20 08:05:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8c0001…
05-20 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc17806…
05-20 07:56:21	ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito	Hina Inoue	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x02fa73…
05-20 07:45:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x919fca…
05-20 07:45:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x0926f5…
05-20 07:42:40	ITF Toyama: Moeka Miyata vs Haruka Nishimura	Haruka Nishimura	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2f69b9…
05-20 07:34:04	ITF Toyama: Moeka Miyata vs Haruka Nishimura	Haruka Nishimura	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6c261e…
05-20 07:31:51	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x64fd37…