Shimmering-Nexus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$405

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

237

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 49% -$268

Other

1% 100% +$27

Politics

1% 0% -$143

Sports

1% 0% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	7	$374	341	341	+0	Up	+$55	05-07 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$339	245	181	+65	Up	+$19	05-07 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	10	$339	277	206	+71	Up	+$5	05-08 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	9	$337	204	197	+8	Up	+$17	05-08 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	10	$335	301	171	+130	Up	+$5	05-08 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$304	332	205	+127	Down	-$98	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$278	229	229	+0	Up	+$48	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$254	175	130	+45	Up	-$17	05-08 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$231	137	130	+7	Down	+$27	05-09 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$217	113	113	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	10	$215	251	112	+140	Down	+$6	05-08 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	8	$196	139	139	+0	Up	+$44	05-08 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$195	162	162	+0	Down	+$25	05-07 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$191	121	121	+0	Up	+$27	05-08 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	6	$186	115	108	+7	Down	+$29	05-08 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$184	125	125	+0	Up	+$65	05-07 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$153	191	81	+110	Up	+$7	05-09 16:19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	2	$152	82	82	+0	Yes	+$12	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$150	159	0	+159	Up	+$9	05-08 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	9	$149	106	111	-5	Up	+$36	05-08 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$142	113	93	+20	Down	+$40	05-07 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$137	83	83	+0	Up	+$27	05-07 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$137	144	144	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$131	140	90	+50	Down	+$19	05-08 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$130	155	0	+155	Up	-$130	05-09 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$124	79	65	+14	Down	+$4	05-07 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	7	$124	323	0	+323	Down	-$124	05-08 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$120	227	0	+227	Up	+$59	05-07 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$119	87	63	+24	Up	+$7	05-08 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$118	110	60	+50	Up	+$2	05-07 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 14:05:56	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	455	1¢	$5	0x217607…
05-14 14:05:53	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$7	0xa6a1d5…
05-14 14:05:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	9¢	$10	0x39a978…
05-14 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x71975d…
05-14 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x85b2bf…
05-14 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa24f73…
05-14 13:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x61ab57…
05-14 13:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xcb9a23…
05-14 13:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xddbaea…
05-14 13:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8c305d…
05-14 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x152d39…
05-14 13:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x58309e…
05-14 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x758a14…
05-14 13:25:31	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x734d6d…
05-14 13:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc5f354…
05-10 16:24:11	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0x509534…
05-10 13:57:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x607dbc…
05-10 13:55:50	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xaf5042…
05-10 13:51:49	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	716	5¢	$34	0xd667bd…
05-10 13:51:44	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	4¢	$13	0xf03dde…
05-10 13:51:44	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb2011f…
05-10 07:46:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	753	9¢	$68	0x133bbb…
05-10 07:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x19f99c…
05-10 07:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2a5aa8…
05-10 07:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x8c57b0…
05-10 06:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x16fb9b…
05-10 06:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5abc5…
05-10 06:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9c1823…
05-10 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcf0537…
05-10 06:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9afbfb…
05-10 06:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa2a512…
05-10 05:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xef4bf2…
05-10 05:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7bb03a…
05-10 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xf87c71…
05-10 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf14922…
05-10 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xbb2b59…
05-10 05:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x343ef6…
05-10 05:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd17436…
05-09 21:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7c7729…
05-09 21:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x458954…
05-09 21:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9017f8…
05-09 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe7326a…
05-09 21:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa0f796…
05-09 20:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb94017…
05-09 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x85a86d…
05-09 20:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x00e269…
05-09 19:37:57	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline	Pistons	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x3dbbf1…
05-09 19:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8b130c…
05-09 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	223	4¢	$10	0x38c9e6…
05-09 19:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4730d2…
05-09 18:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x02fc78…
05-09 18:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x97c120…
05-09 18:45:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x86e6b9…
05-09 18:44:55	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x9e3369…
05-09 18:42:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xa01bdd…
05-09 18:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x19467c…
05-09 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x576071…
05-09 18:40:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x3283dc…
05-09 18:27:20	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0e8734…
05-09 18:27:13	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xa2a6fc…
05-09 18:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x05a6c2…
05-09 18:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7731ff…
05-09 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3c1833…
05-09 18:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4ebbbd…
05-09 17:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x5f8a7b…
05-09 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x70c6d8…
05-09 17:56:32	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x5fd6af…
05-09 17:54:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0x874ae2…
05-09 17:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c9d28…
05-09 17:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x450464…
05-09 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06dee3…
05-09 17:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x147fb4…
05-09 17:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0313f5…
05-09 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xca8d94…
05-09 17:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xece71e…
05-09 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x2da1f6…
05-09 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe7ce4f…
05-09 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x112497…
05-09 17:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf0e62e…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x513d9c…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x4a5b4e…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x11fe0c…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x010968…
05-09 17:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x67788b…
05-09 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0xb0b6cb…
05-09 17:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x5d1680…
05-09 17:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x58049b…
05-09 17:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59125e…
05-09 17:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xba8f30…
05-09 17:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5a77a9…
05-09 17:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0xfbb474…
05-09 17:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x535f81…
05-09 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x17da44…
05-09 17:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa1fe1b…
05-09 17:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x770e8c…
05-09 17:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xa49a78…
05-09 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd40509…
05-09 17:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x60ca9d…
05-09 17:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbf26cd…
05-09 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x33a8c5…