Apprehensive-Peace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

532

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$5.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-30 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$5

Sports

13% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:37
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-28 04:55
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 01:59
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
ucl pet egn 2026 07 08 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	07-08 18:57
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:23
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-01 21:53
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-11 15:06
Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-11 19:25
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	06-17 22:07
crichundredw tre lon 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	London Spirit	+$0	07-26 19:04
itf matsu nakamur 2026 08 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	Ryuki Matsuda	+$0	08-17 03:44
ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	06-27 18:05
Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-14 19:16
cricgermant10 mtv mas 2026 07 23	1	$10	10	0	+10	MTV Herrenhausen	+$0	07-23 12:32
cs2 5s kg 2026 08 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Kaleido Gaming	+$0	08-24 12:46
wnba min sea 2026 07 20	1	$10	10	0	+10	Minnesota Lynx	+$0	07-21 05:45
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	1	$10	10	0	+10	Xinran Sun	+$0	10-27 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a2f54…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd33c…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd99931…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafc490…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe08728…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e47bc…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc27b9e…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342c76…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x948bb8…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc891ef…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9f677…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x623f19…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00d3eb…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c596…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b28dc…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x943793…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e223b…
10-13 15:56:03	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57ae77…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3281a1…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x632dd2…
10-12 09:19:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8dee4…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f511…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x867092…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d208e…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21ef26…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x53582c…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79429c…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd940f2…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x872ecd…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f4ecf…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b0d91…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5db9a1…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33cbad…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d733b…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac57bc…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fdba6…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae4e2…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc75f2…
10-02 14:12:39	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d9fcc…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd190a9…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb67f8…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79450c…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeff516…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73cae7…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9a760…
09-29 13:20:15	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x141646…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaf9f9d…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x937586…
09-27 20:12:02	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fbb47…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b7b94…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6911d3…
09-27 12:29:17	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1a816…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6a764…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5d9b7…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x229e6c…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40b54d…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x290bab…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc97bc6…
09-24 22:04:11	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8578f0…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacfc2a…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8afc9…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x312cdf…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e6fce…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x168c32…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5894…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac4a81…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d9213…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b8c9b…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b8760…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x619289…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7a509…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506c8f…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aec2a…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x130435…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x111643…
09-17 12:57:06	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b28d6…
09-17 04:43:57	itf ishii1 rajeck1 2026 09 17	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8003c5…
09-17 00:30:51	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccd181…
09-16 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9b06f…
09-15 17:50:49	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x548db5…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff867c…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b93f3…
09-14 19:16:45	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x852e25…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c861…
09-14 08:29:06	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b455e…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4741d…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x811e8d…
09-13 21:07:09	PSV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x724b6b…
09-13 20:08:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x932027…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46f15a…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa32eab…
09-12 18:24:33	Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0dd9…
09-12 13:09:49	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9cd41…
09-12 09:32:27	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa181a5…
09-12 03:12:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeabbdf…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6799f6…
09-11 20:37:40	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d5c67…
09-11 19:25:46	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa66c4a…
09-11 10:52:43	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0346d6…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9559e4…