Third-Residence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved (90d)

1,842

Trades (90d)

2,194

8,459 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.4K

$22.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-01 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% +$31

Other

1% 34% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC	3	$39	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	08-30 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	09-12 04:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-15 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-10 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC	4	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	09-21 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	Down	+$8	10-27 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$32	41	0	+41	Down	-$32	10-23 11:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$32	36	0	+36	Down	+$4	10-28 00:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	Up	+$8	10-21 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$32	38	0	+38	Up	+$6	10-27 20:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Up	+$5	10-24 21:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Down	+$5	10-25 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Down	+$5	10-21 12:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$32	43	0	+43	Down	-$32	10-25 18:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$32	38	0	+38	Up	-$32	10-26 11:50
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$32	39	0	+39	Up	+$7	11-01 08:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Up	+$8	10-10 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Up	+$8	10-15 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Down	-$29	10-12 20:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$29	38	0	+38	Down	-$29	10-12 12:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Up	+$5	10-13 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$29	35	0	+35	Up	+$6	10-19 18:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Up	+$5	10-16 05:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:45 UTC	2	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	10-18 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Down	+$5	10-08 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$29	38	0	+38	Up	+$9	10-12 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	10-18 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$27	33	0	+33	Up	+$6	10-28 17:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:30 UTC	2	$26	29	0	+29	Down	+$3	09-21 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$26	29	0	+29	Up	+$3	09-21 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x3df58d…
11-01 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x2c6c58…
11-01 13:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x49adf9…
11-01 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc54f99…
11-01 08:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf8b7e5…
11-01 08:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0x1970ca…
11-01 03:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xa0bc63…
11-01 03:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0feaef…
11-01 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3b4d39…
11-01 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc39827…
11-01 01:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xdf9c87…
11-01 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf82664…
11-01 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x91d5f7…
10-31 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2737cc…
10-31 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xf9d480…
10-31 20:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x059b6e…
10-31 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd26f5c…
10-31 19:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0039fa…
10-31 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa78e13…
10-31 16:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x166665…
10-31 16:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xdd32cf…
10-31 14:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xd3fd63…
10-31 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x327d4e…
10-31 12:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xef1d37…
10-31 12:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x5d19f2…
10-31 07:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbdb08c…
10-31 06:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x848978…
10-31 05:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe86900…
10-31 04:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5119e6…
10-31 03:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc70629…
10-31 03:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe387f0…
10-31 03:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x3abdaa…
10-31 00:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x91b0ca…
10-30 23:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb6de37…
10-30 23:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa8d7f8…
10-30 22:54:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x152f11…
10-30 22:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x2c212a…
10-30 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xc06002…
10-30 20:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdc742d…
10-30 19:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xf30591…
10-30 19:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8f0e55…
10-30 19:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x878ad5…
10-30 17:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x0b4d54…
10-30 17:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x677d6f…
10-30 16:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x584f58…
10-30 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x222254…
10-30 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xd56018…
10-30 07:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x28dbd4…
10-30 04:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf14a83…
10-30 02:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x04275d…
10-30 02:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x230af3…
10-30 01:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xed87ba…
10-30 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6fe03c…
10-29 19:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfa7fc4…
10-29 19:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc1fded…
10-29 16:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x57a3a4…
10-29 16:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x77b6ef…
10-29 14:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4b4bf5…
10-29 13:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc19a6f…
10-29 13:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xed3e01…
10-29 12:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x725ff5…
10-29 12:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xcc55f8…
10-29 08:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x084497…
10-29 05:20:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2a4859…
10-29 03:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xb7ca63…
10-29 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd7cabe…
10-29 00:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xe8ff57…
10-28 22:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xada8d3…
10-28 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x072600…
10-28 20:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x0805e0…
10-28 19:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xcdaa54…
10-28 18:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x941a6a…
10-28 18:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5d8a6f…
10-28 17:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x1b184d…
10-28 17:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf8ab36…
10-28 17:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x54dffc…
10-28 14:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x580fbf…
10-28 13:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e1c21…
10-28 13:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x0c066b…
10-28 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x84cf6f…
10-28 12:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd6f8bc…
10-28 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1dd535…
10-28 10:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x211acc…
10-28 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe460e2…
10-28 07:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa137a3…
10-28 05:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1922a9…
10-28 02:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xda5724…
10-28 00:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9196bb…
10-28 00:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x90e574…
10-27 23:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc6c881…
10-27 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xab5f61…
10-27 22:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4702cf…
10-27 22:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0fc95b…
10-27 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf0cd5f…
10-27 20:50:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4bf296…
10-27 20:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x92765f…
10-27 19:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x399a57…
10-27 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe6644d…
10-27 19:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x043ad6…
10-27 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x4a138b…