(anonymous) 0xe68204…f3a082
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
760
Trades
1,053
lifetime
Volume
$61.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$1.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-28 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
87% 81% -$17
Sports
5% 81% +$36
Politics
5% 93% +$12
Crypto
3% 63% -$105
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +117 $100 96¢ $112 +$12 10-11 20:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +110 $100 98¢ $107 +$7 10-11 19:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +113 $100 94¢ $106 +$6 10-11 19:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +112 $100 92¢ $103 +$3 10-11 19:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +109 $100 92¢ $100 $0 10-11 20:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +114 $100 86¢ $97 -$3 10-11 19:57
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +117 $100 80¢ $93 -$7 10-11 19:57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +110 $100 84¢ $93 -$7 10-13 19:11
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +112 $100 72¢ $81 -$19 10-11 19:56
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +56 $50 98¢ $55 +$5 10-16 23:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +56 $50 100¢ $55 +$5 10-05 15:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +57 $50 96¢ $55 +$5 10-05 14:14
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +57 $50 94¢ $54 +$4 10-15 06:53
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $50 98¢ $54 +$4 10-15 21:17
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +54 $50 100¢ $54 +$4 10-14 16:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +56 $50 94¢ $53 +$3 10-05 14:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +55 $50 95¢ $52 +$2 10-05 14:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +54 $50 92¢ $50 +$0 10-06 07:51
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +55 $50 91¢ $50 +$0 10-06 19:36
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $50 92¢ $50 $0 10-16 15:52
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +54 $50 90¢ $49 -$1 10-05 14:14
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +34 $30 99¢ $34 +$4 10-21 00:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +35 $30 97¢ $34 +$4 10-22 12:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +33 $30 100¢ $33 +$3 10-27 20:08
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 No +33 $30 99¢ $33 +$2 10-05 19:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +35 $41 93¢ $32 -$9 10-26 13:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +33 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 10-20 13:40
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +33 $30 98¢ $32 +$2 10-28 00:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +33 $24 98¢ $32 +$8 10-26 00:32
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Under +34 $30 94¢ $32 +$2 10-28 02:34