Great-Ectodermal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

121

Trades

1,010

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

78% 45% +$9

Politics

9% 29% +$0

Sports

8% 45% +$1

Crypto

3% 75% -$2

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	17	$175	195	209	-14	No	-$3	03-31 21:56
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	7	$174	138	138	+0	No	+$1	04-04 19:55
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	5	$96	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-28 18:54
Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	6	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$2	05-01 01:28
will arirang bts debut week album sales be between 4m and 4pt5m	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-10 22:40
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt5 and 2pt0	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	02-20 13:30
will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 00:56
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the toronto raptors	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$2	02-02 14:53
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-14 05:52
will the philadelphia 76ers win more than 43pt5 regular season games in 202526	3	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 19:00
will a contestant numbered 101 125 win beast games season 2	6	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	02-23 22:41
us mobileinternet outages caused by iran	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-23 07:13
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-18 09:40
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 ea sports fc 1 times	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-30 14:41
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	04-09 04:42
will han duck soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison	4	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	01-08 15:15
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$2	06-08 22:41
will communist party of nepal unified marxistleninist cpn uml win less than 20 seats in nepals 2026 house of representatives election	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-07 01:10
will wicked for good be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-22 13:49
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-18 13:41
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-20 03:11
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be at least 200k	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-22 00:08
will jacob elordi be nominated for best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$57	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	01-18 13:53
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 live service 1 times	5	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-31 21:12
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	04-24 05:27
will russia enter stinky by march 31	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-26 19:39
will grok win the okbet trading competition	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	-$1	01-21 21:04
will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	2	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$2	02-24 20:41
will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:00 UTC	5	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	01-13 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 00:03:43	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x284d7a…
07-16 10:34:49	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeb8ac0…
07-15 08:45:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x21fbd1…
06-08 22:41:45	Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc91978…
06-01 08:34:01	Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x123e96…
05-23 04:54:17	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	293	0¢	$0	0x137570…
05-20 03:11:29	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9bbc20…
05-19 07:55:38	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	476	0¢	$0	0xa0010f…
05-18 22:38:33	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0xefcc3d…
05-18 13:41:41	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x652e05…
05-18 04:27:15	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	867	0¢	$2	0x5512f7…
05-17 18:34:42	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0x962243…
05-17 18:22:59	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x23a887…
05-16 21:35:36	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x56b424…
05-15 23:17:40	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x300e44…
05-15 21:41:25	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x534094…
05-15 21:40:54	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x41e5ae…
05-15 00:44:15	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7a239b…
05-15 00:41:06	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0xc7df77…
05-14 09:33:24	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x996be2…
05-14 02:23:14	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1b8ea9…
05-13 23:07:52	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	307	0¢	$0	0xd4d1c1…
05-13 23:06:56	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0xde84a9…
05-13 23:06:56	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0xb354ca…
05-13 23:06:56	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xa19395…
05-13 23:06:56	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	347	0¢	$0	0x2643fe…
05-13 23:06:56	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x25c2f5…
05-01 01:28:08	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa53dcb…
04-30 09:13:12	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf814d1…
04-28 23:16:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	438	0¢	$0	0x841979…
04-27 19:25:24	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0fc5f3…
04-26 15:26:36	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb24ce5…
04-26 04:39:18	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x0c01db…
04-26 03:44:00	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x5e054c…
04-26 03:43:46	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	990	0¢	$2	0x0f4a77…
04-26 01:34:08	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0xc0a743…
04-26 01:34:08	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2f2c23…
04-26 01:34:08	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x242493…
04-26 01:28:44	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x38ff24…
04-25 21:39:10	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0fc27c…
04-25 20:12:44	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x00dbf3…
04-25 18:52:22	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x13b584…
04-25 17:34:18	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x29295e…
04-25 17:00:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2091c0…
04-25 13:08:30	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a145b…
04-25 02:32:32	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc4f54a…
04-25 00:16:22	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$1	0x09ba36…
04-25 00:16:04	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	186	0¢	$1	0x3ab357…
04-25 00:15:30	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	950	0¢	$1	0x6702f8…
04-25 00:14:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x88da9a…
04-24 18:43:26	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	406	0¢	$1	0x5842c1…
04-24 16:45:40	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xde733b…
04-24 16:41:28	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x528a13…
04-24 14:40:00	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5948dc…
04-24 11:53:14	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x739833…
04-24 11:25:38	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xdfee85…
04-24 11:11:46	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	492	0¢	$1	0xf18104…
04-24 09:57:50	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x084647…
04-24 05:27:58	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xae2853…
04-24 05:27:58	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4f90c4…
04-24 05:27:58	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x21c45a…
04-24 00:32:40	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd071d7…
04-24 00:32:40	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaef18c…
04-24 00:32:40	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2dd05d…
04-23 23:02:08	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x71445a…
04-23 22:56:24	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x10d284…
04-23 21:30:00	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xf7b83f…
04-23 20:04:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9ea4e2…
04-23 18:11:50	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9593e3…
04-23 16:40:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x45fc91…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xfc2a85…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x9f1b7e…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0x9ad370…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7ef6ea…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x683bf4…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5d9d85…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x13a952…
04-23 14:26:16	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x019a81…
04-23 08:56:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xf066ad…
04-23 08:56:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x73411c…
04-23 08:56:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	331	0¢	$1	0x3ed5e7…
04-23 08:16:12	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x0be825…
04-23 01:41:42	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x872edd…
04-18 22:57:16	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0x2cd548…
04-18 11:33:44	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0x679b1e…
04-17 02:19:46	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$0	0x3ff1f1…
04-16 12:56:50	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x340da6…
04-16 05:46:44	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfaf2ac…
04-15 15:22:36	Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x71c763…
04-15 05:10:52	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 0 19	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x66e191…
04-15 05:10:50	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 0 19	Yes	BUY	954	0¢	$1	0xcc01be…
04-15 00:16:48	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf1195f…
04-11 22:44:59	will the boston bruins make the nhl playoffs	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x90568d…
04-11 22:44:57	will the boston bruins make the nhl playoffs	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$18	0xd56c7c…
04-09 04:42:33	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd4d642…
04-09 03:16:09	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x686eca…
04-09 03:12:49	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x7594af…
04-08 00:01:11	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x747aa7…
04-07 19:00:19	will the philadelphia 76ers win more than 43pt5 regular season games in 202526	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x385c70…
04-07 13:17:33	will the philadelphia 76ers win more than 43pt5 regular season games in 202526	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x996535…