Subdued-Waterskiing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

1,130

Trades

6,868

lifetime

Volume

$58.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

92% 85% +$45

Sports

7% 61% +$1,374

Crypto

1% 36% +$216

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes		-5	-$2	70¢	$-4	-$2	06-02 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	71	$1.1K	523	590	-67	No	+$11	03-11 15:26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$934	2,106	1,106	+1,000	Yes	+$1,349	07-16 13:47
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	57	$733	432	312	+120	No	+$6	03-07 01:03
highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 58 59f	33	$463	249	219	+30	No	+$3	03-06 19:14
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	74	$454	640	0	+640	No	+$185	04-01 01:29
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	43	$446	214	240	-26	No	+$3	03-11 23:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	47	$426	473	0	+473	Yes	-$426	04-01 05:27
highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	51	$422	316	149	+167	Yes	-$140	03-18 21:39
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 34 35f	31	$419	302	126	+176	No	+$6	03-18 17:52
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	75	$419	671	0	+671	Yes	-$419	04-01 01:49
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 33forbelow	13	$406	249	162	+87	No	+$4	03-18 16:52
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 18c	76	$382	632	0	+632	No	+$250	04-01 01:29
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	40	$368	220	278	-58	Yes	-$18	06-02 12:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 11 2026 54 55f	16	$367	193	185	+8	No	+$8	03-11 04:52
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	33	$353	224	141	+84	No	+$4	03-09 06:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 36 37f	14	$350	246	108	+138	No	+$3	03-19 15:52
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 82 83f	43	$350	385	0	+385	No	+$35	04-01 18:52
highest temperature in ankara on march 30 2026 9corhigher	21	$338	343	0	+343	No	+$5	03-30 13:17
highest temperature in miami on march 8 2026 77forbelow	26	$322	171	156	+15	No	+$2	03-08 13:54
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 90forhigher	22	$318	194	132	+62	No	+$3	03-12 18:31
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 52 53f	25	$318	158	168	-11	No	+$2	03-12 17:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	28	$316	196	125	+71	No	+$3	03-13 13:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 20c	46	$308	462	0	+462	No	+$154	04-01 05:27
highest temperature in chicago on march 5 2026 52forhigher	32	$302	168	161	+7	No	+$4	03-05 13:27
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 32 33f	12	$299	140	163	-23	No	+$4	03-01 05:10
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 68 69f	17	$285	134	153	-19	No	+$1	03-10 14:17
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	21	$285	280	176	+104	Yes	-$112	04-09 12:11
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	28	$282	170	121	+49	No	+$3	03-21 05:04
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 39forbelow	12	$282	135	151	-16	No	+$3	03-11 05:48
highest temperature in atlanta on march 7 2026 74 75f	28	$282	165	123	+42	No	+$3	03-07 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 13:47:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,106	58¢	$641	0xa6de93…
06-22 04:33:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xa31193…
06-22 04:30:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,094	14¢	$291	0x4d9dd0…
06-20 02:08:58	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x6713ab…
06-20 02:08:40	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x9f92bd…
06-20 02:05:43	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xbf3030…
06-20 02:05:20	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcc83f7…
06-20 02:05:16	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x09b999…
06-20 00:49:35	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0b1b11…
06-20 00:49:16	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x09250f…
06-20 00:49:08	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xd2bb0a…
06-18 03:38:49	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x8bf029…
06-18 03:34:20	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xb91554…
06-18 03:34:19	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x34f891…
06-18 03:34:08	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x3c3a12…
06-18 03:33:19	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0xbb165f…
06-18 02:49:04	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x071004…
06-18 02:36:34	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x6aa728…
06-18 01:48:53	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3ee0b2…
06-18 01:48:17	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd7df36…
06-17 05:10:07	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfde4ea…
06-15 17:05:03	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc1477c…
06-15 16:55:51	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x057e3e…
06-05 10:49:12	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	61	53¢	$33	0x136bfd…
06-05 10:29:52	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	80	54¢	$43	0xd72349…
06-05 10:24:25	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x647592…
06-05 10:24:13	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x8c2c6b…
06-05 10:24:13	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x21c263…
06-05 10:23:09	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0x154bc6…
06-05 07:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd109bd…
06-05 07:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x16b128…
06-05 07:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x6e0c4f…
06-05 07:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x381453…
06-03 23:59:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57f7b3…
06-03 20:01:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8daa7c…
06-03 01:24:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe39f08…
06-03 00:09:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc92e85…
06-02 12:59:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$5	0xaa79d8…
06-02 12:31:58	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	102	22¢	$23	0x909dc7…
06-02 12:30:55	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xf18513…
06-02 12:30:38	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$16	0xb78226…
06-02 12:29:52	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x079045…
06-02 12:29:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	68¢	$36	0xf862f9…
06-02 12:29:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x70949a…
06-02 12:29:12	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x0d7743…
06-02 12:29:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x186657…
06-02 12:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x19dfed…
06-02 12:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfdcf60…
06-02 12:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xfd7cd5…
06-02 11:06:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	1¢	$5	0xadf563…
06-02 08:22:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$4	0xc2b528…
06-02 08:22:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$4	0x0b5062…
06-02 06:54:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xaa9904…
06-02 06:54:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x4b8680…
06-02 06:54:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbc106a…
06-02 06:20:41	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc299f…
06-02 06:13:46	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x55ba53…
06-02 05:25:05	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe89f07…
06-02 04:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x180935…
06-02 04:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x1a80d8…
06-02 04:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x72bb49…
06-02 04:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2fe237…
06-02 00:09:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb75d53…
06-01 21:19:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x2507b0…
06-01 19:08:01	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xab1ccf…
06-01 08:21:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x5db6d2…
06-01 07:59:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x77ce7e…
06-01 07:14:32	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7f8a4d…
06-01 03:13:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb3049c…
05-31 23:24:01	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x77ab76…
05-31 14:16:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x0b5677…
05-31 13:19:36	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdc3614…
05-31 10:11:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xc8db0f…
05-31 09:15:35	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x549ddc…
05-31 07:45:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x53af3e…
05-31 07:18:48	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x8c441a…
05-31 06:15:59	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x60b18a…
05-31 04:38:15	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0xe27d76…
05-30 15:50:08	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4f6bb0…
05-30 11:40:13	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x21ec01…
05-30 04:39:50	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x522268…
05-30 04:09:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xd8e558…
05-30 02:15:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc419e4…
05-29 17:00:07	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xcc8ccf…
05-29 16:54:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x79e9e6…
05-29 16:38:27	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x265bcc…
05-29 13:40:36	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x909547…
05-29 13:35:36	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x383aea…
05-29 12:41:11	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x68c135…
05-29 11:23:27	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfc4adf…
05-29 11:22:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x39b0b1…
05-29 10:55:03	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0x4bf142…
05-29 10:19:54	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x67899e…
05-29 10:03:51	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0xd93754…
05-29 09:47:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0x16aaab…
05-29 09:43:19	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8daa81…
05-29 09:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x03a957…
05-29 08:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x32cb4a…
05-29 07:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	103	91¢	$93	0xdc7a12…
05-29 07:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x0b284a…