Big-Hearted-Lieutenant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

12,780

Trades

48,146

lifetime

Volume

$240.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-29 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

56% 56% -$3,270

Crypto

44% 48% -$3,130

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 4705 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	—	+6	$4	100¢	$6	+$3	10-29 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-29 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	121	$282	547	0	+547	Down	-$13	10-11 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	13	$281	381	0	+381	Yes	+$99	09-23 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 10?	10	$264	320	0	+320	No	-$264	09-09 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 6?	13	$264	322	0	+322	Yes	+$58	09-05 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?	11	$258	329	0	+329	Yes	+$72	09-14 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 5?	10	$257	312	0	+312	Yes	+$54	09-04 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?	17	$256	318	0	+318	No	-$256	09-16 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	1	$248	360	0	+360	Yes	+$112	09-21 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	6	$246	297	0	+297	Yes	+$50	09-07 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	15	$237	322	0	+322	No	-$237	09-09 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?	19	$236	357	0	+357	Yes	+$121	09-22 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 4?	10	$234	320	0	+320	No	-$234	09-04 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 15?	18	$230	322	0	+322	No	-$230	09-15 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?	18	$229	368	0	+368	Yes	+$138	09-20 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	26	$222	380	0	+380	No	-$222	09-21 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21?	29	$218	325	0	+325	Yes	+$108	09-20 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 4?	14	$217	322	0	+322	Yes	+$105	09-03 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 10?	8	$215	241	0	+241	Yes	+$26	09-10 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24?	16	$212	317	0	+317	No	-$212	09-24 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	25	$211	360	0	+360	Yes	+$149	09-21 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	9	$211	239	0	+239	Yes	+$28	09-10 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?	18	$210	200	200	+0	No	-$17	07-30 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 5?	8	$208	240	0	+240	Yes	+$31	09-05 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	89	$208	391	0	+391	Down	-$12	10-11 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 1?	9	$208	300	0	+300	No	-$208	09-01 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	14	$203	320	0	+320	Yes	+$117	09-07 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?	15	$201	269	0	+269	Yes	+$68	09-22 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 1?	15	$201	299	0	+299	No	-$201	09-01 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?	21	$199	320	0	+320	No	-$199	09-17 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 11?	6	$195	240	0	+240	No	-$195	09-11 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xd2f959…
10-29 10:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xca8f77…
10-29 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfa9585…
10-29 10:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xdaad5a…
10-29 10:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4ba3f5…
10-29 10:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc97695…
10-29 10:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9b8208…
10-29 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x633851…
10-29 10:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x8bec6e…
10-29 10:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa86cbe…
10-29 10:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf40d4a…
10-29 10:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6bb4ac…
10-29 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xa21e10…
10-29 10:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcf3485…
10-29 10:21:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x926e3d…
10-29 10:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x22315b…
10-29 10:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xeae3b0…
10-29 10:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x303fae…
10-29 10:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x59abf1…
10-29 10:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x61622c…
10-29 10:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x40a3a4…
10-29 10:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8eb8e6…
10-29 10:00:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa029e7…
10-29 09:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x35394a…
10-29 09:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9e73d9…
10-29 09:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd631f7…
10-29 09:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x686d04…
10-29 09:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb32107…
10-29 09:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xb9463a…
10-29 09:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0efc3b…
10-29 09:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x044a5a…
10-29 09:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x50103e…
10-29 09:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9bf189…
10-29 09:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x31f064…
10-29 09:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x160024…
10-29 09:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcd4f12…
10-29 09:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x4d00ca…
10-29 09:20:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8c812a…
10-29 09:20:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe5f43c…
10-29 09:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd6a715…
10-29 09:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xef4168…
10-29 09:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6a57d7…
10-29 09:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa69b4e…
10-29 09:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf22e5d…
10-29 09:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7ea5b1…
10-29 09:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9cb70e…
10-29 09:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x91ac81…
10-29 09:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa0e784…
10-29 09:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x28085f…
10-29 09:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x22691a…
10-29 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4831ef…
10-29 09:10:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa1861b…
10-29 09:10:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc1335d…
10-29 09:10:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8aab15…
10-29 09:10:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4ee961…
10-29 09:00:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x61c0c0…
10-29 09:00:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2807cb…
10-29 08:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x994e4d…
10-29 08:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x29d3a9…
10-29 08:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3ac953…
10-29 08:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc8bd8a…
10-29 08:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xce6261…
10-29 08:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xacbf08…
10-29 08:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf1425f…
10-29 08:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x596cb6…
10-29 08:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa00f06…
10-29 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdfde19…
10-29 08:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xa72bda…
10-29 08:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7bafa9…
10-29 08:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdb83f7…
10-29 08:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x4b14f2…
10-29 08:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1ca6ba…
10-29 08:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb216f3…
10-29 08:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xd32ff7…
10-29 08:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x8b029c…
10-29 08:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x453837…
10-29 08:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x169c0f…
10-29 08:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xc0b50c…
10-29 08:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a763f…
10-29 07:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xac646c…
10-29 07:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x802dd4…
10-29 07:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x7cf9d9…
10-29 07:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5832f3…
10-29 07:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xcf2aa4…
10-29 07:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb2a0a6…
10-29 07:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8cd5d8…
10-29 07:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1db647…
10-29 07:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xff02c9…
10-29 07:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe38f6d…
10-29 07:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7114e3…
10-29 07:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xcc8216…
10-29 07:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x73b230…
10-29 07:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x62029e…
10-29 07:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa0ca4d…
10-29 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa54561…
10-29 07:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x84c6a7…
10-29 07:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xd02632…
10-29 07:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xaa71bf…
10-29 07:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8fbfe1…
10-29 07:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7aec5e…