Bumpy-Treaty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-15 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 31% $-1,084

Sports

1% 0% $-82

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1783421400	8	$950	867	867	+0	open	—	07-07 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$901	607	607	+0	Down	+$301	05-08 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	42	$883	783	527	+256	Down	+$417	05-08 13:40
btc updown 5m 1783421700	3	$856	662	662	+0	open	—	07-07 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$819	659	659	+0	Down	+$403	05-08 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$681	856	685	+171	Up	+$243	05-08 13:48
btc updown 5m 1783422900	7	$668	1,090	507	+583	open	—	07-07 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$585	1,936	294	+1,642	Down	$-55	05-08 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$584	566	483	+83	Up	+$64	05-08 13:03
btc updown 5m 1783422300	7	$553	1,210	556	+655	open	—	07-07 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$474	896	896	+0	Up	$-19	05-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$460	621	621	+0	Up	+$60	05-08 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$437	1,576	0	+1,576	Up	$-437	05-08 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$410	1,492	0	+1,492	Up	$-410	05-08 14:02
btc updown 5m 1784143500	5	$341	689	192	+496	open	—	07-15 19:28
btc updown 5m 1784143200	4	$318	339	339	+0	open	—	07-15 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$314	446	175	+270	Up	$-86	05-08 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$300	1,275	0	+1,275	Up	$-300	05-08 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$267	554	0	+554	Up	$-267	05-10 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$265	3,050	0	+3,050	open	—	05-19 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$262	659	0	+659	Up	$-262	05-08 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$246	606	0	+606	Up	$-246	05-08 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$240	190	190	+0	Down	+$40	05-08 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$229	170	103	+67	open	—	05-19 13:33
btc updown 5m 1783422600	3	$225	889	0	+889	open	—	07-07 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$200	392	0	+392	Down	$-200	05-10 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$183	133	133	+0	Up	+$80	05-08 12:26
btc updown 5m 1783422000	2	$125	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	07-07 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	Down	$-100	05-08 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$98	200	141	+59	Down	$-2	05-08 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 19:30:52	btc updown 5m 1784143800	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7b59a4…
07-15 19:30:38	btc updown 5m 1784143800	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xbec4c6…
07-15 19:30:31	btc updown 5m 1784143800	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xd5b4cd…
07-15 19:30:26	btc updown 5m 1784143800	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x630212…
07-15 19:28:14	btc updown 5m 1784143500	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x17f844…
07-15 19:28:02	btc updown 5m 1784143500	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x011c71…
07-15 19:27:14	btc updown 5m 1784143500	Down	BUY	432	23¢	$100	0x102826…
07-15 19:27:02	btc updown 5m 1784143500	Up	SELL	192	68¢	$131	0x4b6eed…
07-15 19:25:56	btc updown 5m 1784143500	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x15294d…
07-15 19:23:35	btc updown 5m 1784143200	Down	SELL	179	80¢	$143	0x164626…
07-15 19:22:49	btc updown 5m 1784143200	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xbc68c5…
07-15 19:22:28	btc updown 5m 1784143200	Up	SELL	160	31¢	$49	0xcb7b3c…
07-15 19:20:20	btc updown 5m 1784143200	Up	BUY	160	16¢	$25	0xea31f0…
07-07 11:21:53	btc updown 5m 1783423200	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x82f6cd…
07-07 11:21:44	btc updown 5m 1783423200	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xda495a…
07-07 11:21:41	btc updown 5m 1783423200	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x97cade…
07-07 11:20:40	btc updown 5m 1783423200	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xeeeef8…
07-07 11:20:38	btc updown 5m 1783423200	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8b3aee…
07-07 11:18:59	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6c68e7…
07-07 11:17:44	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xbdecb9…
07-07 11:17:05	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x441082…
07-07 11:16:47	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x649347…
07-07 11:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Up	SELL	507	47¢	$238	0xa17baf…
07-07 11:15:38	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x47ab0e…
07-07 11:15:22	btc updown 5m 1783422900	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb063d9…
07-07 11:11:31	btc updown 5m 1783422600	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x97dcb2…
07-07 11:11:22	btc updown 5m 1783422600	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x019008…
07-07 11:10:26	btc updown 5m 1783422600	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x552962…
07-07 11:08:32	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x856e85…
07-07 11:06:34	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xcdc8d1…
07-07 11:06:02	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x78ae35…
07-07 11:05:58	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	SELL	222	39¢	$87	0x8e4a27…
07-07 11:05:41	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x65755c…
07-07 11:05:32	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	SELL	333	41¢	$137	0xdfdfa5…
07-07 11:05:16	btc updown 5m 1783422300	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x7fcb05…
07-07 11:01:07	btc updown 5m 1783422000	Up	BUY	370	7¢	$25	0xc7a114…
07-07 11:00:25	btc updown 5m 1783422000	Up	BUY	639	16¢	$100	0xfec4ec…
07-07 11:00:05	btc updown 5m 1783421700	Up	SELL	662	99¢	$656	0x02d164…
07-07 10:59:01	btc updown 5m 1783421700	Up	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0x8fd53e…
07-07 10:55:37	btc updown 5m 1783421700	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x05296c…
07-07 10:55:17	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0xb0ed69…
07-07 10:54:08	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xec9fab…
07-07 10:53:05	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	SELL	227	41¢	$93	0xc85284…
07-07 10:52:38	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xa85ffd…
07-07 10:52:28	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Down	SELL	230	59¢	$136	0xb811b8…
07-07 10:51:46	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Down	BUY	230	44¢	$100	0xb6e5b0…
07-07 10:51:37	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	SELL	225	61¢	$138	0x041ce3…
07-07 10:50:55	btc updown 5m 1783421400	Up	BUY	225	45¢	$100	0xfcf41b…
07-07 10:47:38	btc updown 5m 1783421100	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x6f5ebb…
07-07 10:45:20	btc updown 5m 1783421100	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc45b26…
07-07 10:41:37	btc updown 5m 1783420800	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5cd4d7…
05-19 13:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x7ca526…
05-19 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x14d046…
05-19 13:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf8332d…
05-19 13:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcf72a2…
05-19 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xe09348…
05-19 13:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x603081…
05-19 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x197f46…
05-19 13:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x3ab1f4…
05-19 13:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5d2460…
05-19 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3253cc…
05-19 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x276c13…
05-19 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0728b7…
05-19 13:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	836	1¢	$5	0x9eede3…
05-19 13:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4,235	0¢	$4	0xf63223…
05-10 12:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	176	46¢	$81	0x16884e…
05-10 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xaff8d8…
05-10 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x111499…
05-10 12:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	315	53¢	$167	0x9fce08…
05-09 19:29:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x709faf…
05-08 14:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	286	43¢	$123	0x6ad9e1…
05-08 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	320	39¢	$123	0xd530ea…
05-08 14:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	193	19¢	$37	0x32e38e…
05-08 14:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	443	23¢	$100	0x085f5d…
05-08 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	939	32¢	$300	0x1e6466…
05-08 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x32c274…
05-08 14:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	405	25¢	$100	0x9e402d…
05-08 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	996	30¢	$300	0xfbc3fb…
05-08 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x54c0f8…
05-08 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	400	40¢	$162	0x5b205e…
05-08 13:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	607	99¢	$601	0x496979…
05-08 13:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x41acf5…
05-08 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xc2a19c…
05-08 13:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	171	12¢	$20	0x207f7d…
05-08 13:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	303	75¢	$228	0x525062…
05-08 13:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb27eff…
05-08 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	382	61¢	$234	0xff297e…
05-08 13:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x7b224f…
05-08 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	337	25¢	$83	0x4bf41a…
05-08 13:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,475	7¢	$100	0x636170…
05-08 13:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xe7fa15…
05-08 13:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	294	90¢	$265	0xfaeccb…
05-08 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x8640dd…
05-08 13:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	527	99¢	$522	0xf4f07c…
05-08 13:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xfed78d…
05-08 13:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x9d74a9…
05-08 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe9dba6…
05-08 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd57c2…
05-08 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcaaa31…
05-08 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc9c4c4…