Knotty-Experimentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,445

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-23 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

45% — —

Other

25% — —

Politics

16% 0% $-10

Sports

11% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	6	$624	1,000	200	+800	open	—	02-19 09:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	25	$580	2,012	1,600	+412	open	—	01-30 16:40
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	40	$448	400	400	+0	open	—	02-08 18:29
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	18	$416	11,023	4,974	+6,048	open	—	02-03 20:03
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	8	$378	272	272	+0	open	—	04-03 13:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$376	7,010	1,410	+5,600	open	—	04-10 00:28
will kanye release bully by march 27	18	$367	630	630	+0	open	—	03-27 10:39
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	10	$309	4,557	4,557	+0	open	—	04-07 20:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$275	2,921	297	+2,624	open	—	02-02 14:20
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	4	$269	333	333	+0	open	—	01-26 16:25
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	6	$248	247	125	+122	open	—	02-09 03:14
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	8	$246	361	361	+0	open	—	03-29 16:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	9	$232	1,488	0	+1,488	open	—	04-11 03:21
btc updown 15m 1770595200	4	$227	267	42	+225	open	—	02-09 00:12
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$223	133	133	+0	open	—	02-11 22:26
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	4	$216	318	0	+318	open	—	02-11 23:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$200	171	171	+0	open	—	02-06 13:59
will progressive run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$200	232	0	+232	open	—	02-09 02:09
italy nordio reform referendum passes	10	$194	219	219	+0	open	—	03-23 11:39
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	8	$194	313	313	+0	open	—	02-04 22:57
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	9	$175	158	158	+0	open	—	03-26 16:42
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	2	$170	119	119	+0	open	—	02-18 01:31
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	3	$164	109	109	+0	open	—	04-04 16:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$161	398	398	+0	open	—	04-04 14:56
btc updown 15m 1770594300	7	$157	174	172	+2	open	—	02-08 23:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$156	244	224	+20	open	—	04-23 03:59
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	6	$153	665	665	+0	open	—	04-09 23:53
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	11	$149	169	169	+0	open	—	02-05 17:19
bitcoin up or down february 8 9am et	9	$147	300	0	+300	open	—	02-08 13:49
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	5	$147	300	0	+300	open	—	02-08 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:04:51	btc updown 5m 1784764800	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb47d15…
07-23 00:04:25	btc updown 5m 1784764800	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3078df…
07-22 23:33:30	btc updown 5m 1784763000	Down	SELL	26	52¢	$13	0x5a6e95…
07-22 23:32:06	btc updown 5m 1784763000	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd60589…
07-22 23:13:30	btc updown 5m 1784762100	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa4476a…
07-22 23:12:24	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x592e43…
07-22 23:12:03	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0dc2d5…
07-22 23:11:57	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc20a75…
07-22 23:11:48	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Up	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0x0a0a9b…
07-22 23:11:39	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc162ce…
07-22 23:08:04	btc updown 5m 1784761500	Down	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x1e16f8…
07-22 23:03:51	btc updown 5m 1784761200	Up	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0x9f19ef…
07-22 22:24:45	btc updown 5m 1784758800	Up	SELL	71	74¢	$53	0xfbf5bf…
07-22 22:21:54	btc updown 5m 1784758800	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4ef161…
07-21 23:26:52	btc updown 5m 1784676300	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd58d74…
07-21 23:18:48	btc updown 5m 1784675700	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcad9eb…
07-21 23:18:25	btc updown 5m 1784675700	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x78a9f3…
07-21 22:25:58	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6acd69…
07-21 22:25:09	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31485c…
07-21 22:24:22	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc9ed3e…
07-21 22:22:16	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb5275f…
07-21 22:21:19	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Down	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xdfbc25…
07-21 22:20:33	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xfce016…
07-21 22:18:40	btc updown 5m 1784672100	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x50cf7c…
07-21 22:16:48	btc updown 5m 1784672100	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5fc53a…
07-21 22:12:48	btc updown 5m 1784671800	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0373cf…
07-21 22:12:45	btc updown 5m 1784671800	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x6d94ff…
07-21 22:11:43	btc updown 5m 1784671800	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b31f8…
07-21 17:23:55	btc updown 5m 1784654400	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf69b3e…
07-21 17:23:55	btc updown 5m 1784654400	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xeb4140…
07-21 17:23:55	btc updown 5m 1784654400	Down	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0x28ec04…
07-21 17:23:55	btc updown 5m 1784654400	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x00a800…
07-21 17:18:48	btc updown 5m 1784654100	Up	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x85d1bd…
07-21 17:18:27	btc updown 5m 1784654100	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xb8ef70…
07-21 17:18:18	btc updown 5m 1784654100	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc39708…
07-21 17:14:13	btc updown 5m 1784653800	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd7d0c1…
07-21 17:13:37	btc updown 5m 1784653800	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xced45a…
07-21 16:06:58	btc updown 5m 1784649900	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb461ff…
07-21 15:57:57	btc updown 5m 1784649300	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x07624f…
07-21 15:54:24	btc updown 5m 1784649000	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc453af…
07-21 15:49:21	btc updown 5m 1784648700	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x277e09…
07-21 15:48:49	btc updown 5m 1784648700	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x08c0ef…
07-20 19:20:42	btc updown 5m 1784575200	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9dad2b…
07-20 19:16:18	btc updown 5m 1784574900	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa4bd36…
07-20 17:35:55	btc updown 5m 1784568900	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x52b5a5…
07-20 17:32:25	btc updown 5m 1784568600	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x15cf98…
07-20 15:02:49	btc updown 5m 1784559600	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x97b280…
07-20 14:58:48	btc updown 5m 1784559300	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x132d3c…
07-20 14:20:39	btc updown 5m 1784557200	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x1486f4…
07-20 14:20:16	btc updown 5m 1784557200	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7b94de…
07-20 14:17:24	btc updown 5m 1784556900	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe96022…
07-20 14:02:22	btc updown 5m 1784556000	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xeec070…
07-20 13:46:57	btc updown 5m 1784555100	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc8c432…
07-20 13:33:19	btc updown 5m 1784554200	Up	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0xa9947f…
07-20 13:30:15	btc updown 5m 1784554200	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbdbcd4…
07-20 13:25:42	btc updown 5m 1784553900	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x24f1b9…
07-20 12:54:01	btc updown 5m 1784551800	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x349805…
07-20 12:53:22	btc updown 5m 1784551800	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x2077b6…
07-20 12:50:07	btc updown 5m 1784551800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb8328f…
07-20 04:51:31	btc updown 5m 1784523000	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5392f0…
07-20 04:37:42	btc updown 5m 1784522100	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x143ba4…
07-20 04:20:13	btc updown 5m 1784521200	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc36d8a…
07-20 04:18:00	btc updown 5m 1784520900	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xca176b…
07-20 04:14:22	btc updown 5m 1784520600	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xba1190…
07-20 03:53:31	btc updown 5m 1784519400	Down	SELL	36	57¢	$20	0x9360b0…
07-20 03:53:00	btc updown 5m 1784519400	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc21eb2…
07-20 03:49:04	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Up	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x6d4be0…
07-20 03:49:04	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x620a47…
07-20 03:46:57	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x02c0d8…
05-18 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7326c3…
05-18 01:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xe0d9d0…
05-18 01:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7e977…
05-18 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1d09c8…
05-18 00:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2726ea…
05-18 00:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0c9914…
05-18 00:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x2f31af…
05-18 00:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8c0de8…
05-18 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x73e02e…
05-08 19:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xdb7e15…
05-04 09:48:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2441a…
05-01 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6b78e2…
05-01 18:19:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xb2280d…
05-01 18:18:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	224	3¢	$7	0xc54465…
05-01 18:18:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x259eb0…
05-01 17:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7d3ff4…
04-26 12:09:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xeecf5f…
04-26 12:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x2d1887…
04-26 11:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x62ed80…
04-25 03:29:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x928bb7…
04-24 09:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5c39a7…
04-23 11:21:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xe7bc7c…
04-23 11:14:34	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3734d8…
04-23 11:13:42	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0x5d449e…
04-23 03:59:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf0caba…
04-23 03:58:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x09c821…
04-22 23:01:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x89faf3…
04-22 22:56:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	76	12¢	$9	0x993567…
04-22 22:55:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	61	13¢	$8	0xe764d2…
04-22 22:54:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x017428…
04-22 22:54:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9bea30…