Realized P&L
+$11.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
964
Trades
140,019
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 14:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
67%
55%
+$4,819
Other
33%
51%
+$6,305
Crypto
0%
50%
+$69
Sports
0%
74%
+$147
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
+$30
Tech
0%
100%
+$112
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 5,562 | $289.6K | 483,999 | 514,032 | -30,032 | Yes | -$4,394 | 03-01 01:33 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 6,150 | $91.7K | 210,213 | 216,918 | -6,704 | Yes | -$10 | 03-30 17:07 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 3,896 | $62.8K | 116,135 | 116,778 | -643 | No | +$1,177 | 03-31 17:36 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 4,128 | $56.8K | 145,534 | 148,390 | -2,856 | No | +$398 | 03-31 13:36 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 4,127 | $39.0K | 91,214 | 94,461 | -3,247 | Yes | +$402 | 04-21 12:17 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 2,684 | $38.7K | 215,517 | 225,980 | -10,464 | Yes | -$5 | 03-01 01:33 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2,955 | $35.0K | 83,210 | 85,120 | -1,910 | No | +$583 | 03-17 13:00 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 3,991 | $34.7K | 129,983 | 129,047 | +936 | Yes | +$1,010 | 03-13 12:14 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 2,806 | $30.6K | 66,545 | 67,642 | -1,097 | Yes | -$298 | 04-21 11:56 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2,692 | $29.2K | 75,389 | 75,859 | -470 | Yes | +$618 | 03-08 21:08 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2,614 | $27.6K | 75,459 | 77,387 | -1,927 | No | +$270 | 03-08 21:09 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 3,045 | $27.2K | 110,408 | 112,980 | -2,572 | No | +$343 | 03-30 04:55 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 1,722 | $26.0K | 38,066 | 38,789 | -723 | Yes | +$317 | 03-03 21:38 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 2,038 | $21.9K | 49,857 | 50,732 | -875 | No | +$187 | 03-23 12:05 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 1,784 | $20.0K | 60,686 | 66,167 | -5,481 | No | +$814 | 01-07 22:14 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 781 | $19.9K | 37,463 | 34,190 | +3,273 | No | -$140 | 01-15 00:00 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 1,091 | $17.9K | 23,737 | 23,674 | +63 | No | +$193 | 01-15 05:29 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 1,535 | $16.1K | 27,774 | 30,058 | -2,284 | No | +$838 | 03-10 16:55 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773 | 855 | $14.1K | 20,888 | 21,598 | -709 | No | +$264 | 03-27 13:55 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 1,408 | $13.9K | 20,804 | 20,950 | -146 | No | +$220 | 01-31 22:43 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | 887 | $13.2K | 23,064 | 23,301 | -238 | Yes | -$48 | 03-07 00:45 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 1,614 | $12.7K | 80,362 | 83,586 | -3,224 | No | +$315 | 03-23 11:29 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465 | 1,072 | $12.5K | 18,572 | 18,426 | +146 | No | +$119 | 03-06 09:27 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 1,252 | $11.3K | 27,375 | 27,872 | -498 | No | +$242 | 04-13 10:25 |
| will iran strike cyprus in march | 1,151 | $10.9K | 17,684 | 18,060 | -376 | No | +$1 | 03-09 20:46 |
| will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276 | 843 | $10.8K | 30,471 | 31,114 | -643 | Yes | +$448 | 03-03 00:28 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 420 | $8.6K | 11,320 | 12,179 | -858 | Yes | +$74 | 03-03 21:21 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 708 | $8.4K | 11,070 | 11,743 | -673 | No | +$262 | 01-16 10:49 |
| iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334 | 627 | $8.3K | 26,793 | 25,192 | +1,601 | Yes | +$10 | 03-01 07:16 |
| trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583 | 655 | $8.0K | 11,416 | 12,360 | -945 | Yes | +$648 | 01-06 10:47 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||