Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$527

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 08-26 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

95% 51% -$43

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 40% +$0

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	1	$50	98	0	+98	Yes	+$48	07-27 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 28?	1	$50	80	0	+80	No	-$50	07-28 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 29?	1	$50	135	0	+135	No	-$50	07-29 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 26?	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	07-26 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 26?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$1	08-26 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?	1	$40	45	0	+45	Yes	+$5	08-08 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	1	$39	41	0	+41	Yes	+$2	08-07 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 31?	1	$38	42	0	+42	Yes	+$4	07-31 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 2?	1	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	+$3	08-02 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 1?	1	$5	250	0	+250	Yes	-$5	08-01 06:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$5	41	41	+0	No	+$1	07-20 05:36
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	3	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-27 20:41
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?	2	$3	20	10	+10	No	+$1	07-20 05:40
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	07-27 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-19 05:52
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	07-19 17:31
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	2	$3	12	12	+0	No	+$1	07-26 18:52
cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt96	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 12:09
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-27 20:41
will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	+$0	07-27 12:39
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 22:48
will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 52b 20260717035215859	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 22:48
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 22%+?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 20:42
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 22:49
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 05:51
yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742 638	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 22:49
will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 31b 20260717034820298	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 22:49
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 05:51
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 22:49
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 40%-42%?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	07-19 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x4364cf…
08-08 07:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xe95afd…
08-07 07:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x476cb0…
08-02 07:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x9bab78…
08-01 06:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc90271…
07-31 08:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x93ba57…
07-29 06:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x63b697…
07-28 11:13:37	Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xe3883b…
07-28 03:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x3bdedd…
07-27 22:50:33	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x0cf1df…
07-27 22:50:30	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xfaaa8e…
07-27 22:50:28	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb02fd2…
07-27 22:50:25	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xc36778…
07-27 22:50:22	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x0d5b51…
07-27 22:50:18	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xb72ac2…
07-27 22:50:15	Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc578ae…
07-27 22:50:12	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x49c96f…
07-27 22:50:09	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x6f89f6…
07-27 22:50:06	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xb78e73…
07-27 22:49:54	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x99b50e…
07-27 22:49:49	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7b1230…
07-27 22:49:07	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742 638	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x58f02c…
07-27 22:49:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe9baa9…
07-27 22:49:00	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 31b 20260717034820298	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xebf8e1…
07-27 22:48:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfbd05d…
07-27 22:48:40	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 52b 20260717035215859	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe1ef4c…
07-27 20:42:00	Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 22%+?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6a7528…
07-27 20:41:46	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xa968cb…
07-27 20:41:36	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xda45a2…
07-27 20:41:30	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xcd8d18…
07-27 12:39:34	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x2f8c25…
07-27 03:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xf1ed47…
07-26 18:52:45	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xc0bae7…
07-26 18:52:34	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xa17e99…
07-26 07:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x8cccb0…
07-21 12:09:36	Will CME (CME) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x9f2d1b…
07-20 05:40:55	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x8894f2…
07-20 05:37:27	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc154be…
07-20 05:36:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$3	0x6bc68f…
07-20 05:35:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$1	0xa8d812…
07-19 17:31:00	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x412372…
07-19 17:29:58	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x45a6ba…
07-19 05:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xdd0e6c…
07-19 05:51:54	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf5bf96…
07-19 05:51:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xa9d8da…
07-19 05:45:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 40%-42%?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x73403e…
07-18 21:02:40	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026 from july 16	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x89cbb3…
07-18 20:57:51	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xca04e9…
07-18 20:57:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$1	0x15adad…
07-18 20:54:33	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3b6c76…
07-18 20:44:06	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2e8762…
07-18 20:34:07	has quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 1pt11	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xecb545…
07-18 20:27:00	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x418100…
07-18 18:52:04	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x154966…
07-18 18:39:37	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0f0857…
07-18 18:29:39	Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3679d3…
07-18 18:02:48	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x50cc4b…
07-18 17:57:28	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt6b 20260703212929587	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x67d330…
07-18 17:56:48	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd42cbf…
07-18 17:42:54	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt96	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9eb47d…
07-18 17:37:37	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 31b 20260717034820298	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa66225…
07-18 17:11:46	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 52b 20260717035215859	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfe9c7f…
07-18 16:21:39	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x1d1343…
07-18 16:17:46	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3e9c16…
07-18 16:06:48	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbc83f3…
07-18 15:59:15	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x188e54…
07-18 15:48:52	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe97322…
07-18 15:44:42	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x53b614…
07-18 15:40:36	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x280510…
07-18 15:35:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xaa221c…
07-18 13:00:30	Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 22%+?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x38e6e3…
07-18 12:04:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 40%-42%?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3a7fc…
07-18 09:35:49	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x479ea6…
07-18 09:14:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9a314f…
07-18 09:09:22	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f1adc…
07-18 09:02:33	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba2648…
07-18 08:50:03	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x36e1ba…
07-17 21:23:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd157db…
07-17 21:14:49	Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x885c9a…
07-17 21:09:57	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc80472…
07-17 21:05:54	Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb4a565…
07-17 21:02:13	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8b9a22…
07-17 20:56:24	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x38a727…
07-17 20:44:09	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x22b4aa…
07-17 20:41:16	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x610d6f…
07-17 20:36:36	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6ccef1…
07-17 20:32:18	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x763fcb…
07-17 20:26:39	Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbdd463…
07-17 20:22:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x48ca3a…
07-17 20:13:12	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x714a64…
07-17 20:09:52	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x00bca2…
07-17 19:41:37	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf1af00…
07-17 19:39:36	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc6bdcc…
07-17 19:39:09	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa91bc1…
07-17 19:38:16	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x671025…
07-17 19:37:12	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7d5801…
07-17 18:40:28	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfada9b…
07-17 18:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 19?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x555246…
07-17 18:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 19?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb36d61…
07-17 18:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaed3ac…