Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$667

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-31 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$13

Other

40% 0% $-33

Crypto

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$43	107	107	+0	open	—	04-08 15:11
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$39	162	162	+0	open	—	04-10 12:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$33	308	0	+308	No	$-33	04-23 16:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$30	91	91	+0	open	—	05-08 12:48
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$29	33	33	+0	open	—	04-08 15:11
btc updown 5m 1782627900	2	$27	61	0	+61	open	—	06-28 06:27
btc updown 5m 1782633300	2	$20	925	0	+925	open	—	06-28 08:00
btc updown 5m 1782628800	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	06-28 06:42
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	1	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	04-04 07:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$19	76	0	+76	open	—	07-31 12:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$18	64	0	+64	open	—	05-27 06:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$16	122	0	+122	open	—	04-07 16:49
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	06-28 14:43
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$14	209	209	+0	open	—	04-10 07:04
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$10	63	0	+63	open	—	04-05 03:06
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$10	4,231	0	+4,231	open	—	04-05 03:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-14 11:34
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-07 16:50
btc updown 5m 1782632400	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-28 07:41
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$10	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 02:27
fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	06-27 07:30
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	04-08 15:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$10	135	0	+135	open	—	04-08 03:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-14 11:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	07-31 12:21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	04-23 16:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	04-23 16:11
btc updown 5m 1782628500	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-28 06:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	07-31 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 12:21:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x5f41e6…
07-31 12:21:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf9595b…
07-31 12:18:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x4e5358…
07-02 01:55:02	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	68	4¢	$2	0x0720f1…
06-28 14:43:43	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xce4f86…
06-28 14:38:29	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xea6ada…
06-28 08:21:41	btc updown 5m 1782634800	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xda20c0…
06-28 08:12:17	btc updown 5m 1782634200	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x0354ba…
06-28 08:06:43	btc updown 5m 1782633900	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf95346…
06-28 08:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782633600	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8bd180…
06-28 08:00:01	btc updown 5m 1782633300	Down	BUY	910	1¢	$10	0xeafdca…
06-28 07:58:11	btc updown 5m 1782633300	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3bd44e…
06-28 07:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782633000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe07eb9…
06-28 07:54:19	btc updown 5m 1782633000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x470500…
06-28 07:41:38	btc updown 5m 1782632400	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9d8d12…
06-28 06:42:31	btc updown 5m 1782628800	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x0d0bbb…
06-28 06:38:19	btc updown 5m 1782628500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc86b1d…
06-28 06:27:44	btc updown 5m 1782627900	Down	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xf19484…
06-28 06:27:43	btc updown 5m 1782627900	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x8e2b79…
06-28 06:24:20	btc updown 5m 1782627600	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf861ac…
06-27 07:30:11	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x593d1f…
05-27 06:19:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	29¢	$18	0x357c1e…
05-08 12:48:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	11¢	$10	0x04a32b…
05-02 16:12:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x34fffb…
05-02 16:10:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x97b54b…
04-26 02:27:54	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x387650…
04-23 16:12:44	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x72a94d…
04-23 16:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xca1c1d…
04-23 16:11:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe0a8de…
04-23 16:10:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x3b3604…
04-23 16:10:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x475d6b…
04-23 16:10:14	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x24e916…
04-23 16:08:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	217	6¢	$13	0xc28820…
04-14 11:35:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x0927c2…
04-14 11:34:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5da09d…
04-14 11:34:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0b7cd2…
04-10 12:11:55	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	162	12¢	$19	0xb33653…
04-10 12:08:43	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	162	12¢	$20	0xcaca66…
04-10 07:05:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x8eb9df…
04-10 07:04:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	2¢	$4	0x3690aa…
04-09 06:50:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa32065…
04-09 06:26:53	sol updown 5m 1775715900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4f3f50…
04-09 06:26:43	sol updown 5m 1775715900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa32fe9…
04-09 06:26:31	sol updown 5m 1775715900	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd16f01…
04-09 06:24:41	sol updown 5m 1775715600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a7fa1…
04-09 06:24:37	sol updown 5m 1775715600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e261c…
04-09 02:17:43	will trump be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 6	Yes	BUY	339	1¢	$5	0xd6538b…
04-08 15:28:19	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xec4f5a…
04-08 15:27:55	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa744fc…
04-08 15:22:49	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4bafe7…
04-08 15:14:15	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0xc6b7f8…
04-08 15:13:05	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x790433…
04-08 15:11:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	59¢	$19	0x77cc62…
04-08 15:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	107	31¢	$33	0x24735b…
04-08 15:10:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x40e333…
04-08 03:59:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x5dded3…
04-07 16:50:11	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x08f521…
04-07 16:49:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	122	13¢	$16	0xbc6959…
04-05 03:47:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xc7eb52…
04-05 03:47:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x57ca16…
04-05 03:21:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xede666…
04-05 03:20:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4957e5…
04-05 03:18:07	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3ef195…
04-05 03:09:57	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf8b1ca…
04-05 03:06:37	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x22d44f…
04-05 03:04:41	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdd7be4…
04-05 03:04:13	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	4,231	0¢	$10	0x3202bf…
04-04 07:36:13	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xfd9dc3…