Dreary-Circumstance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$406

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

1,002

Trades

2,389

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-13 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 73% $-406

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	47	$950	1,759	0	+1,759	open	—	04-18 14:45
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	4	$735	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-11 17:33
btc updown 5m 1776596400	55	$499	428	412	+16	open	—	04-19 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	24	$443	420	411	+9	open	—	04-26 22:59
btc updown 5m 1776597900	13	$323	304	293	+12	open	—	04-19 11:30
btc updown 5m 1776609300	7	$305	611	0	+611	open	—	04-19 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	23	$262	277	265	+11	open	—	04-27 10:45
btc updown 5m 1776597300	17	$250	200	186	+14	open	—	04-19 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	20	$240	170	170	+0	open	—	04-27 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	30	$218	242	242	+0	open	—	04-26 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$215	251	251	+0	Down	+$15	05-10 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	22	$214	227	227	+0	Up	+$14	05-10 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	13	$211	278	278	+0	open	—	05-04 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$200	568	0	+568	Down	$-200	05-10 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	11	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$187	312	312	+0	Up	$-13	05-10 13:21
btc updown 5m 1776609000	3	$134	337	105	+232	open	—	04-19 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	20	$131	160	159	+1	open	—	04-26 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	8	$127	130	130	+0	open	—	04-27 12:36
btc updown 5m 1776596700	7	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	04-19 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	23	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 21:02
btc updown 5m 1776593700	6	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	04-19 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$117	130	130	+0	open	—	04-26 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	15	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	15	$102	212	204	+8	open	—	04-26 22:44
btc updown 5m 1776608400	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-19 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	9	$97	150	107	+43	open	—	04-27 12:18
btc updown 5m 1776597000	6	$91	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 11:13
btc updown 5m 1776599700	4	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	04-19 11:54
btc updown 5m 1776596100	5	$89	170	168	+2	open	—	04-19 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 23:03:22	btc updown 5m 1783983600	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe03b8f…
05-10 13:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	312	28¢	$87	0x2a22a0…
05-10 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xc50720…
05-10 13:08:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xeee722…
05-10 13:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9c8bb9…
05-10 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x046a27…
05-10 12:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x69a3f8…
05-10 12:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x6a60ec…
05-10 12:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x40d70e…
05-10 12:58:33	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x637069…
05-10 12:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x963d4a…
05-10 12:46:22	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2f5b7f…
05-10 12:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x67eb3c…
05-10 12:38:40	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x864894…
05-10 12:33:25	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0xe2527a…
05-10 12:28:27	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5fe5b4…
05-10 12:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0754a9…
05-10 12:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2b7ffe…
05-10 12:17:35	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x97e482…
05-10 12:17:33	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x791f60…
05-10 12:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xc61c5c…
05-10 12:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0471f3…
05-10 12:06:05	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7908df…
05-10 12:06:03	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xca25f8…
05-10 12:06:03	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x4e94e7…
05-10 12:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7ed361…
05-10 11:56:49	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x705062…
05-10 11:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb0570f…
05-10 11:47:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd2d1cb…
05-10 11:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x875b64…
05-10 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x21c2ff…
05-10 11:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa645bf…
05-10 11:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5b4dea…
05-10 11:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	290	35¢	$100	0xcce3c8…
05-10 11:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xeb263f…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfb8ed8…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf6e734…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf3cdd7…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xee1e64…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xcc68b2…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xb8b57f…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8fd4e3…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x849d36…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x81fcae…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x57bf52…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x51b75b…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4e68e7…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x49aa9e…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x3f68eb…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x346422…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x335b0e…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x224229…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x12d80b…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x1181f3…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x09e552…
05-10 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x098be2…
05-10 11:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x220ebe…
05-10 10:57:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xce3163…
05-10 10:57:10	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x94ba24…
05-10 10:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xddee5f…
05-10 10:37:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xba3014…
05-10 10:37:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6fc41e…
05-10 10:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x892bac…
05-10 10:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xacf2c9…
05-10 10:06:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5f95d1…
05-10 09:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x63f6f5…
05-10 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2f751e…
05-10 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x245912…
05-10 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe77232…
05-10 09:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$9	0x9078c4…
05-10 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x4d4b4e…
05-10 09:27:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x4c21c2…
05-10 09:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xd8215b…
05-10 09:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb7781f…
05-10 09:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xee0510…
05-10 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb63e39…
05-10 08:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa00a44…
05-10 08:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0e8141…
05-10 07:59:29	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x5cfea7…
05-10 07:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x05578d…
05-10 07:45:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1572d9…
05-10 07:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcf0110…
05-10 07:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xaafea8…
05-10 07:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8e17f3…
05-10 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x94b276…
05-10 07:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x1f2170…
05-10 07:37:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc8a994…
05-10 07:32:25	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x573cab…
05-10 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	251	46¢	$115	0x1421bc…
05-10 07:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x0ce0b4…
05-10 07:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcfddc2…
05-10 07:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe6b209…
05-10 07:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x717d93…
05-10 07:00:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x7aa78a…
05-10 06:52:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5bfeda…
05-10 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x72d9c7…
05-10 06:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x04df81…
05-10 06:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xe21be7…
05-10 06:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x577e7d…
05-10 06:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xac0d03…