Austere-Delivery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$218

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

140

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-218

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$880	1,124	526	+598	Up	+$277	05-10 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$872	1,248	500	+748	Up	$-327	05-10 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$789	923	923	+0	Up	+$689	05-09 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$470	1,989	815	+1,174	Down	$-230	05-10 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$342	525	185	+340	Up	+$282	05-10 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$324	381	381	+0	Up	$-76	05-10 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$300	1,240	0	+1,240	Down	$-300	05-10 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$300	906	0	+906	Down	$-300	05-10 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$300	216	216	+0	Up	+$100	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$282	644	644	+0	Up	+$132	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$265	167	167	+0	Down	+$65	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$251	782	281	+501	Up	$-149	05-13 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$181	169	169	+0	Up	$-19	05-07 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$178	289	289	+0	Up	$-22	05-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$152	111	111	+0	Down	+$52	05-10 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$146	202	87	+115	Down	$-4	05-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$145	96	96	+0	Down	+$45	05-09 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$145	143	143	+0	Down	+$95	05-13 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$135	1,226	125	+1,101	Up	$-115	05-11 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$130	81	81	+0	Down	+$30	05-09 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$108	106	106	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$107	215	83	+132	Up	$-43	05-13 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$100	312	0	+312	Up	+$212	05-09 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Up	+$85	05-06 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$100	1,320	0	+1,320	Up	$-100	05-13 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	05-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$100	152	0	+152	Down	+$52	05-06 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	186	0	+186	Down	+$86	05-06 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$100	161	0	+161	Down	+$61	05-07 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Up	$-100	05-06 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 20:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xd78039…
05-14 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x99eb22…
05-13 23:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x572eb7…
05-13 23:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	36¢	$16	0x4b845e…
05-13 23:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x888209…
05-13 23:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xc0f3ae…
05-13 23:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xd73fb0…
05-13 23:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xa6ab4d…
05-13 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x6a9cc3…
05-13 22:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe72504…
05-13 22:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xe06865…
05-13 22:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x82623f…
05-13 22:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe39209…
05-13 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xcc8844…
05-13 22:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3513e2…
05-13 22:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	340	7¢	$25	0x374f37…
05-13 22:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	104	17¢	$18	0x0dbba3…
05-13 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x504985…
05-13 22:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x58bfd4…
05-13 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	136	18¢	$25	0x5c675c…
05-13 22:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x62a88d…
05-13 22:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	287	9¢	$25	0x6267e0…
05-13 22:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0xc7ee4e…
05-13 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	501	20¢	$100	0x700a82…
05-13 21:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	281	18¢	$51	0xa88e5a…
05-13 21:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x10f644…
05-13 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	143	84¢	$120	0x71c8ae…
05-13 21:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	143	17¢	$25	0x764b1b…
05-13 21:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdabfc3…
05-13 21:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x250849…
05-13 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe019e4…
05-13 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1d6e2f…
05-13 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x4130c9…
05-13 21:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x27ea1b…
05-13 21:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	49	91¢	$44	0x657732…
05-13 21:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0xfa8512…
05-13 21:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	422	6¢	$25	0xcb58d6…
05-13 21:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xb978f2…
05-13 21:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xcaf44c…
05-13 20:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xc06239…
05-13 20:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,157	2¢	$18	0x990f99…
05-13 20:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	335	2¢	$7	0x85e5a2…
05-13 20:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf84c7e…
05-13 20:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x21b589…
05-13 20:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x85a76b…
05-13 20:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xfd6991…
05-13 20:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	533	5¢	$25	0x86025c…
05-13 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,320	8¢	$100	0x9bd561…
05-13 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	292	10¢	$30	0x7f01b6…
05-13 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	171	12¢	$20	0x22ee0d…
05-13 19:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	87¢	$39	0x00137c…
05-13 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xd67a6c…
05-13 19:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x5d5fc8…
05-13 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	83	38¢	$32	0x9ed9f5…
05-13 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x150a73…
05-13 19:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x299c8a…
05-13 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe0b0de…
05-13 12:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe45220…
05-13 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe9530b…
05-13 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa0b327…
05-11 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2fba8c…
05-11 23:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x51b18d…
05-11 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3d80c2…
05-11 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x308bb5…
05-11 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x512c4b…
05-11 22:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	143	13¢	$19	0xdca0ad…
05-11 22:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x146a8c…
05-11 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0ef4de…
05-11 22:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x8dd295…
05-11 22:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	421	5¢	$20	0x9cb70c…
05-11 22:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x15e8d3…
05-11 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xe1eca2…
05-11 22:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf9aae7…
05-11 22:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	471	4¢	$20	0xfbe398…
05-11 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc7435c…
05-11 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,085	9¢	$98	0x613595…
05-11 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x580fc3…
05-11 22:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x33d4dc…
05-11 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x0b31ea…
05-11 21:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xa34234…
05-11 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	701	4¢	$25	0xc01dea…
05-11 21:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	278	3¢	$8	0x19e303…
05-11 21:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x2f8275…
05-11 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	41	72¢	$30	0x740525…
05-11 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	351	38¢	$133	0x8924f0…
05-11 21:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xaa2c7c…
05-11 21:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x9c6251…
05-11 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	227	17¢	$39	0x959844…
05-11 21:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x9a2289…
05-10 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd79927…
05-10 02:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x142e6a…
05-10 02:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe3390c…
05-10 02:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1ea58c…
05-10 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x544228…
05-10 02:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	402	5¢	$21	0xa95af7…
05-10 01:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	634	8¢	$50	0x770907…
05-10 01:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x9002fb…
05-10 01:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	328	8¢	$25	0xd8750d…
05-10 01:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68	58¢	$39	0x37adb1…
05-10 01:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x221b48…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	142	$111.7K	1,467	05-14 20:29
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	142	$80.2K	6,875	05-14 20:29
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	142	$37.7K	4,300	05-14 20:29
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	142	$36.1K	3,165	05-14 20:28
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	142	$32.1K	1,309	05-14 20:27
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	142	$31.3K	6,803	05-14 20:29
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ddfa	142	$29.7K	15,505	05-14 20:29
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	142	$29.1K	1,152	05-14 20:27