Neglected-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$468

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-30 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

84% 33% $-1

Crypto

16% 64% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$143	87	87	+0	open	—	06-30 19:04
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$135	89	89	+0	open	—	06-29 21:26
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$87	98	0	+98	open	—	06-30 19:10
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	06-29 19:17
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	1	$8	9	0	+9	Mumbai Indians	+$1	05-04 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:02
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 06:26
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	3	$6	7	3	+5	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$-1	05-06 16:13
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$4	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 10:57
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$3	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	$-3	05-07 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 08:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 07:55
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-06 15:17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	1	$1	3	0	+3	Chennai Super Kings	$-1	05-05 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:10:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x68eac0…
06-30 19:04:49	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x89fcf7…
06-29 21:28:17	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	87	64¢	$56	0x749d15…
06-29 21:26:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	89	64¢	$57	0x7904d5…
06-29 19:21:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	89	87¢	$78	0xe28e76…
06-29 19:17:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8fe74a…
06-29 13:29:07	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x938725…
06-02 14:52:04	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ad3d2…
06-02 14:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa9cc33…
06-02 06:40:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x3d9640…
06-02 06:26:01	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$4	0x1edae5…
06-02 06:18:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2f5ff1…
05-07 08:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x303a48…
05-07 08:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1bb549…
05-07 08:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa55149…
05-07 08:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xacccd2…
05-07 07:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x9b7284…
05-07 07:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xe03501…
05-07 07:54:52	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x3e30bc…
05-07 07:53:21	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7cb883…
05-07 07:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd8df09…
05-07 05:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf89495…
05-07 05:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8bb818…
05-07 04:59:10	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xb385fa…
05-07 04:55:15	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x307c7d…
05-06 16:13:52	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xe562bf…
05-06 16:13:31	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xa83710…
05-06 15:44:00	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70261a…
05-06 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x18939a…
05-06 10:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xe5f2d6…
05-06 10:55:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7f43b8…
05-06 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xede483…
05-06 10:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x981109…
05-06 10:06:36	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd23a9d…
05-06 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x339b70…
05-06 09:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe488d7…
05-06 09:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc04a0d…
05-06 06:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x3a3e22…
05-06 06:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x880c35…
05-06 05:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x234632…
05-06 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x99be45…
05-06 05:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x815e84…
05-06 05:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x3a6a8f…
05-06 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa4a438…
05-06 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0fffd6…
05-06 05:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x985910…
05-06 05:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe7cdc5…
05-05 16:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x6ec4a5…
05-05 16:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfb62aa…
05-05 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x54e941…
05-05 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x19a180…
05-05 14:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x4f8206…
05-05 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa37ad2…
05-05 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x738946…
05-05 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x398a25…
05-05 14:25:10	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x40fcb9…
05-05 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x452952…
05-05 12:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xd9ee9a…
05-05 12:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7748b9…
05-05 11:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x37593d…
05-05 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc558a4…
05-04 17:05:04	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x0f6e6c…
05-04 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x01c43c…
05-04 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x6ba8e7…