Dearest-Discipline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

19,948

Trades

61,489

lifetime

Volume

$2.51M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-27 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% -$39,539

Other

1% 83% +$764

Politics

0% 67% +$1,060

Sports

0% 54% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:35 UTC	19	$12.2K	6,451	6,610	-159	Up	+$743	02-22 10:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:05 UTC	3	$6.8K	3,561	3,557	+4	Down	+$222	03-27 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	8	$6.4K	3,281	3,278	+2	Up	+$136	03-26 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:50 UTC	29	$6.3K	6,613	0	+6,613	Up	-$1,222	02-22 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:20 UTC	17	$5.5K	5,951	1,400	+4,551	Up	-$904	02-21 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:20 UTC	4	$5.4K	4,094	4,085	+10	Down	-$1,905	03-27 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:35 UTC	27	$5.1K	2,618	2,617	+1	Down	+$51	03-27 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:30 UTC	3	$5.1K	2,567	2,567	+0	Up	+$16	03-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:35 UTC	13	$5.0K	5,197	0	+5,197	Up	-$1,236	02-21 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:25 UTC	42	$4.7K	2,365	2,365	+0	Down	+$27	03-26 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:55 UTC	3	$4.6K	2,372	2,371	+1	Up	+$47	03-26 14:59
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	7	$4.5K	2,826	2,826	+0	No	+$1,145	01-16 23:25
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 190 214	4	$4.3K	2,387	2,387	+0	No	+$497	01-17 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:10 UTC	49	$4.2K	8,642	0	+8,642	Down	-$1,245	02-22 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:45 UTC	6	$4.0K	2,076	2,075	+1	Down	+$6	03-27 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:05 UTC	53	$3.9K	2,185	2,179	+7	Up	+$81	03-27 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:30 UTC	31	$3.7K	1,940	1,937	+2	Up	+$120	03-27 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:25 UTC	4	$3.6K	1,946	1,726	+220	Up	+$30	03-26 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:25 UTC	58	$3.6K	1,944	1,937	+7	Down	+$237	03-27 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:15 UTC	2	$3.5K	3,663	0	+3,663	Up	+$121	03-27 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:55 UTC	12	$3.5K	4,550	0	+4,550	Up	-$3,497	02-22 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:35 UTC	10	$3.5K	1,939	1,926	+12	Down	+$368	03-27 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC	67	$3.4K	2,623	2,497	+126	Down	-$1,185	02-22 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	4	$3.2K	3,405	0	+3,405	Up	-$128	03-26 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:25 UTC	2	$3.2K	3,352	0	+3,352	Down	+$151	02-22 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:55 UTC	2	$3.2K	3,306	0	+3,306	Down	+$108	03-27 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:45 UTC	27	$3.0K	1,557	1,557	+1	Down	+$38	03-25 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:50 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,183	0	+3,183	Up	+$147	03-26 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:35 UTC	38	$3.0K	2,696	784	+1,911	Up	+$268	03-25 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 06:00 UTC	3	$3.0K	1,579	1,433	+146	Down	+$15	03-25 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x524ff0…
10-27 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb8bb6…
10-27 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa208d2…
10-27 11:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc402eb…
10-27 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x103579…
10-27 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6e3c2e…
10-27 10:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7ad5f9…
10-27 10:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x6887a1…
10-27 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x968d55…
10-27 10:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbb65f5…
10-27 09:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x217bcd…
10-27 09:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x99046b…
10-27 09:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x084acd…
10-27 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x368886…
10-27 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc9578b…
10-27 09:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa524f3…
10-27 08:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x8b714c…
10-27 08:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x19a272…
10-27 08:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xab0404…
10-27 07:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x76fadb…
10-27 07:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x83a54f…
10-27 07:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x1f0f66…
10-27 07:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd29f82…
10-27 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x7b1868…
10-27 07:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6d9c69…
10-27 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x592d67…
10-27 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe53efe…
10-27 06:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x1da311…
10-27 06:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe0016d…
10-27 06:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x849ff6…
10-27 06:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0ce72f…
10-27 06:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xfaec42…
10-27 06:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4efc37…
10-27 06:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8c4b1d…
10-27 06:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xf7cbaa…
10-27 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x3b8cb0…
10-27 06:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe86a24…
10-27 06:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4d4687…
10-27 05:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xeac49b…
10-27 05:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xf2e25d…
10-27 05:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x749d9c…
10-27 05:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa68251…
10-27 05:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x794208…
10-27 05:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xfddf59…
10-27 05:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x4f5aff…
10-27 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2ca0ff…
10-27 04:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xce5a8f…
10-27 04:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x664b11…
10-27 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xbb130d…
10-27 04:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x4e3b56…
10-26 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xac0ab4…
10-26 19:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x1dd8ad…
10-26 19:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xfff1bd…
10-26 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3b3839…
10-26 18:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x9b72fa…
10-26 18:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x4d2164…
10-26 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd47793…
10-26 18:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa45cce…
10-26 18:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x791d97…
10-26 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x161208…
10-26 18:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xeef650…
10-26 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xc74e49…
10-26 17:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa2b70b…
10-26 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x1aab2e…
10-26 17:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd07069…
10-26 17:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0x806a31…
10-26 17:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf12a9c…
10-26 17:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x9e9a32…
10-26 17:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xa7f800…
10-26 17:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x481565…
10-26 17:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x58800e…
10-26 16:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa86244…
10-26 16:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2fe199…
10-26 16:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	410	73¢	$300	0x3bfac1…
10-26 16:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x959490…
10-26 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	970	78¢	$757	0x3ebc11…
10-26 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	765	81¢	$620	0x96937e…
10-26 16:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	235	98¢	$230	0xc25634…
10-26 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	338	74¢	$250	0x6c9902…
10-26 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	568	66¢	$375	0xfc52ac…
10-26 15:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xa3e2b4…
10-26 14:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x42d321…
10-26 14:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	428	70¢	$300	0x348962…
10-26 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	419	72¢	$300	0xaf8f99…
10-26 14:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x71a6d9…
10-26 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xa34aee…
10-26 14:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x1390f1…
10-26 14:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0x50021a…
10-26 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x0e1ee9…
10-26 13:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	371	81¢	$300	0x6bc2a6…
10-26 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x39b5ca…
10-26 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x166b2e…
10-26 13:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x399c93…
10-26 13:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x7eec25…
10-26 13:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0x8cc23b…
10-26 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	524	57¢	$300	0x12a57e…
10-26 13:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xe4809c…
10-26 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x6cda8a…
10-26 13:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0xfe3c32…
10-26 13:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x4a64cd…