Rare-Democrat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

3,301

Trades

3,946

lifetime

Volume

$209.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-27 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Sports

97% 54% -$10,531

Other

3% 49% +$483

Politics

0% 42% +$18

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers		+94	$50	42¢	$40	-$10	10-27 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba hou nyk 2026 02 21	3	$700	997	372	+625	Knicks	-$254	02-22 01:13
nba uta hou 2026 02 23	84	$650	896	340	+556	Rockets	+$26	02-24 04:53
mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	2	$639	692	692	+0	Atlanta Braves	-$81	06-12 02:07
nba phi ind 2026 02 24	61	$631	481	548	-67	76ers	+$34	02-25 01:16
mlb det tex 2026 07 02	1	$600	1,200	0	+1,200	Texas Rangers	+$600	07-02 23:19
mlb pit phi 2026 06 29	1	$600	1,250	0	+1,250	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$650	06-29 21:56
mlb laa oak 2026 06 21	1	$600	1,304	0	+1,304	Los Angeles Angels	+$704	06-21 19:20
nba sas det 2026 02 23	82	$586	2,388	266	+2,122	Spurs	-$387	02-24 02:47
mlb cin pit 2026 06 27	1	$540	1,080	0	+1,080	Cincinnati Reds	+$540	06-27 19:18
mlb phi nym 2026 06 27	1	$540	1,174	0	+1,174	New York Mets	-$540	06-27 19:26
mlb pit oak 2026 06 15	1	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	Athletics	-$500	06-16 01:32
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	1	$500	833	0	+833	Thunder	-$500	02-22 05:31
mlb atl sd 2026 06 23	1	$480	960	0	+960	San Diego Padres	-$480	06-24 00:55
mlb nyy bos 2026 06 26	1	$480	1,000	0	+1,000	Boston Red Sox	-$480	06-26 22:44
mlb laa ari 2026 06 16	1	$480	960	0	+960	Los Angeles Angels	+$480	06-17 00:59
mlb sd stl 2026 06 16	1	$480	906	0	+906	St. Louis Cardinals	+$426	06-16 22:58
mlb min tex 2026 06 18	1	$480	906	0	+906	Minnesota Twins	+$426	06-18 17:59
mlb mil cin 2026 06 23	1	$480	980	0	+980	Milwaukee Brewers	+$500	06-23 22:28
mlb tex tor 2026 06 26	1	$480	980	0	+980	Texas Rangers	+$500	06-26 22:30
mlb oak sf 2026 06 24	1	$480	941	0	+941	San Francisco Giants	-$480	06-25 00:59
mlb laa ari 2026 06 17	1	$480	1,231	0	+1,231	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$480	06-17 18:56
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 16	1	$480	1,116	0	+1,116	New York Yankees	-$480	06-16 22:18
mlb min tex 2026 06 16	1	$480	873	0	+873	Minnesota Twins	-$480	06-16 23:25
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	91	$428	689	543	+146	Magic	-$11	02-25 05:57
mlb tb kc 2026 07 02	1	$400	741	0	+741	Tampa Bay Rays	+$341	07-02 22:54
mlb cws cle 2026 07 02	1	$400	833	0	+833	Cleveland Guardians	-$400	07-02 21:56
mlb cle cws 2026 06 22	1	$400	784	0	+784	Chicago White Sox	-$400	06-22 22:59
mlb atl sd 2026 06 22	1	$400	816	0	+816	San Diego Padres	-$400	06-23 01:27
mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	1	$400	816	0	+816	Cincinnati Reds	+$416	06-21 16:53
mlb nyy det 2026 06 22	1	$400	755	0	+755	Detroit Tigers	-$400	06-22 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:26:26	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xca33e9…
10-27 23:26:24	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x934842…
10-27 23:26:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xac2582…
10-27 19:29:51	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x84cac2…
10-27 19:29:39	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x86579c…
10-27 19:29:08	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x031873…
10-27 17:12:26	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe380cd…
10-27 17:12:15	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3cb148…
10-27 17:12:11	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7f3bad…
10-26 23:26:56	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x50fe61…
10-26 23:26:56	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x443f60…
10-26 23:26:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe6a584…
10-25 18:43:30	Will AZ vs. FC Twente end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x50fd61…
10-25 18:43:29	Will AZ win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xda2665…
10-25 16:40:47	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe907c6…
10-25 16:13:00	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x764f35…
10-25 16:12:50	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xce0e77…
10-25 16:12:39	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x111782…
10-25 16:12:36	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x98de19…
10-25 16:12:12	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbef1ba…
10-25 15:57:03	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x373b5f…
10-25 15:56:29	Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x54e5aa…
10-25 15:56:23	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb91174…
10-25 15:25:30	Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x60b7ea…
10-25 15:25:20	Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0d5d98…
10-25 15:25:09	Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x73dfc1…
10-25 15:25:05	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x60a008…
10-25 14:12:21	Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x02f54a…
10-25 14:12:11	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf396c7…
10-25 14:12:08	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x33395a…
10-25 13:49:35	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x64aec8…
10-25 13:49:29	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd805a8…
10-25 13:48:51	Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	Hull City AFC	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3e8cc0…
10-25 13:48:38	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x992202…
10-25 13:48:33	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0aed7b…
10-25 13:15:38	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x278641…
10-24 23:16:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xf493e6…
10-24 23:16:50	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x861899…
10-24 23:16:50	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x265ce6…
10-24 18:47:14	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb1e9c5…
10-24 18:29:09	Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3af7a2…
10-24 18:28:57	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5db156…
10-24 18:28:47	Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc444cf…
10-24 18:28:42	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5a9982…
10-24 18:27:32	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xadb8de…
10-24 16:25:32	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1e1c34…
10-24 15:42:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc084f2…
10-24 14:13:45	Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdfd661…
10-24 13:56:08	Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xce8f1a…
10-24 13:55:15	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf9d6c7…
10-24 13:55:05	Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)	West Bromwich Albion FC	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe4bac7…
10-24 13:54:50	Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6537f7…
10-24 13:54:44	Will Preston North End FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6bb5d6…
10-24 13:46:26	Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)	West Ham United FC	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xda582f…
10-24 13:46:09	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4c2461…
10-24 13:43:30	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Everton FC	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2c608d…
10-24 13:43:17	Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc06d1b…
10-24 13:17:24	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd7bd10…
10-24 13:17:18	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9f937c…
10-24 13:17:08	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa81a48…
10-24 13:16:26	Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)	Hamburger SV	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x804308…
10-24 11:18:12	Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)	Charlton Athletic FC	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5b67ee…
10-24 11:17:59	Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x627166…
10-24 11:17:53	Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9dc7d8…
10-24 11:17:41	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6bd7b4…
10-24 11:17:15	Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)	Sheffield United FC	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb1a1ac…
10-24 11:17:02	Will Sheffield United FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6e0be6…
10-24 11:16:56	Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3b19af…
10-23 23:21:08	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc4a7be…
10-23 23:21:06	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa032d6…
10-23 18:47:59	Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc0b09d…
10-23 18:47:56	Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe66d72…
10-23 18:46:20	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x071f3e…
10-23 18:46:08	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7a4092…
10-23 18:29:47	Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2945b1…
10-23 18:28:29	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2d7a00…
10-23 18:13:14	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xeefd38…
10-22 16:41:09	Spread: AZ (-2.5)	Ararat-Armenia FA	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x944e74…
10-22 16:40:59	Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x4448ae…
10-22 16:38:08	Will Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9984b0…
10-22 16:38:02	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x92088b…
10-22 16:36:27	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x85760c…
10-21 18:52:59	Will Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2bf7b2…
10-21 18:52:54	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3f05a6…
10-21 18:51:20	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x77e179…
10-21 18:50:51	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0082db…
10-21 18:50:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf904a3…
10-21 18:50:27	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x473669…
10-21 18:50:15	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	Viking FK	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xac1b53…
10-21 18:50:06	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Viking FK	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x97e2ab…
10-21 16:27:54	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x66ff7e…
10-21 16:27:39	Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7253bf…
10-20 18:52:44	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x216713…
10-20 18:52:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x848677…
10-20 18:51:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x782f20…
10-20 18:51:21	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1d1bdb…
10-20 18:51:14	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8ebab2…
10-20 18:51:09	Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7f2568…
10-19 23:27:53	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xf91d5f…
10-19 23:27:51	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xb7441c…