Gullible-Jet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,592

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% 17% $-6

Politics

19% 100% +$2

Sports

7% 0% $-20

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	158	$1.6K	2,004	1,932	+72	open	—	01-30 12:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	34	$693	530	570	-40	open	—	03-31 08:12
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	30	$652	310	408	-99	open	—	01-26 18:02
the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	36	$649	311	375	-64	open	—	02-22 06:07
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$608	362	362	+0	open	—	04-14 20:49
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	20	$494	420	460	-40	open	—	04-03 06:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	36	$484	2,250	250	+2,000	open	—	04-05 05:47
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	21	$359	180	230	-50	open	—	01-14 16:43
nor ham bra 2026 04 06 bra	32	$359	245	250	-4	open	—	04-06 18:19
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	18	$325	240	240	+0	open	—	03-30 20:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	25	$319	328	292	+36	open	—	06-28 22:09
cde tro rcl 2026 02 04 rcl	14	$315	163	163	+0	open	—	02-04 21:42
fl1 tou lil 2026 04 12 lil	5	$312	162	161	+0	open	—	04-12 16:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$268	150	150	+0	open	—	03-31 05:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$268	150	150	+0	open	—	01-30 17:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$250	750	750	+0	open	—	04-08 04:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$236	160	160	+0	open	—	03-04 20:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$228	230	140	+90	open	—	03-30 13:26
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	26	$201	246	90	+156	open	—	01-24 00:02
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	4	$200	110	110	+0	open	—	01-12 16:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$185	60	136	-76	open	—	06-22 22:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	12	$138	400	0	+400	open	—	06-29 17:32
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	13	$136	110	85	+25	open	—	06-11 20:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$123	103	153	-50	open	—	03-08 19:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$123	80	80	+0	open	—	04-12 19:22
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	9	$117	154	10	+144	open	—	03-04 19:11
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	27	$113	186	177	+9	open	—	01-11 12:21
tur goz gal 2026 04 08 gal	5	$108	71	70	+1	open	—	04-08 18:42
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$104	279	0	+279	open	—	07-11 23:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 08:56:01	nor bra ik 2026 07 12 spread home 1pt5	SK Brann	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd053bd…
07-11 23:03:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0xb5485d…
07-11 16:27:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xb876eb…
07-11 13:00:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x504469…
07-08 21:16:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x16f44f…
07-07 22:23:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x08f80b…
07-06 20:03:17	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x410851…
07-03 21:54:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7bf83e…
07-03 21:16:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x80f439…
07-03 20:53:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x245018…
07-03 20:50:19	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf212d2…
07-03 20:49:01	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x86f4da…
07-03 20:48:07	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x449ebb…
07-03 20:46:59	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x395329…
07-03 20:08:19	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf99ce0…
07-03 20:08:14	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	12	56¢	$6	0x1dde7c…
07-03 20:04:59	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x854a13…
07-03 19:58:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x9422b5…
07-03 16:40:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9ed17b…
07-02 14:32:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd6a089…
07-01 19:29:52	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x33765d…
07-01 11:05:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2fed9a…
06-30 05:33:35	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xde55f9…
06-29 17:32:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xa17939…
06-29 10:55:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x797497…
06-29 00:27:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xff6eb4…
06-28 23:43:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xce0f51…
06-28 22:09:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x5043f6…
06-28 22:04:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xcf6541…
06-28 05:42:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa30b7d…
06-26 22:21:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcb4aef…
06-25 19:21:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x7c7e36…
06-25 17:50:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6e2481…
06-24 21:32:35	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x503d35…
06-24 20:53:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	20¢	$34	0x4109d0…
06-23 01:19:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x47466c…
06-22 22:36:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	94¢	$124	0xe36055…
06-22 19:53:37	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x8e5923…
06-22 15:07:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	8¢	$11	0x17bfb7…
06-22 06:57:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9bce4a…
06-22 06:51:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3003ea…
06-22 06:44:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7a06ba…
06-22 02:54:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa15251…
06-22 02:38:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbe046c…
06-22 01:44:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc5cbf4…
06-21 22:07:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xd78a85…
06-21 21:50:50	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3e2f03…
06-21 21:49:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x2f661a…
06-21 17:51:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x8b2d9c…
06-21 17:40:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xeba207…
06-18 17:34:01	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x92ac80…
06-18 13:16:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x252421…
06-18 09:02:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xc981a2…
06-16 22:58:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x411f8c…
06-16 22:53:13	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Norway	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xf14aad…
06-16 22:44:50	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Norway	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5561cc…
06-16 18:28:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	58¢	$61	0x25a3b9…
06-16 18:01:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x7b0148…
06-16 16:13:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xf938e7…
06-16 15:43:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xec43d3…
06-16 13:00:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x40c26d…
06-16 11:21:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9b64eb…
06-16 07:58:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x4144be…
06-16 07:01:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x56ac06…
06-16 06:58:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3a3ffb…
06-16 05:23:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x90a8bd…
06-15 16:24:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xc45352…
06-15 16:21:55	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x08b89d…
06-15 16:18:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4ba9a4…
06-15 05:07:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc45bbf…
06-15 05:00:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x709059…
06-15 04:58:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x402e1f…
06-15 02:35:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xcb7dff…
06-15 00:41:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8cbe41…
06-14 23:50:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x875220…
06-14 22:15:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4fb4b7…
06-14 22:10:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x278ab4…
06-14 22:10:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0bc0f9…
06-14 01:00:54	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x6d39f4…
06-13 22:27:10	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd45f7c…
06-13 22:08:58	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2db1b4…
06-13 10:45:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xb67135…
06-12 09:52:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x99fe91…
06-12 09:34:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x50927c…
06-12 05:03:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x4f46eb…
06-12 05:00:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0f8c15…
06-12 04:59:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0xcbbb60…
06-11 20:50:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe35ce8…
06-11 20:48:42	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	South Africa	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xe03df1…
06-11 20:48:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x37635a…
06-11 20:48:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	South Africa	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x58afbf…
06-11 20:43:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x51b3a6…
06-11 20:40:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x526b48…
06-11 20:40:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x44bae2…
06-11 20:40:52	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0a48ae…
06-11 20:40:37	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xac15a3…
06-11 20:40:30	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xd50dc4…
06-11 20:17:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0a9dca…
06-11 20:16:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9e38ce…
06-11 19:49:30	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0x443ac1…