Colossal-Neighborhood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

49% 88% -$7

Crypto

48% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 50% -$1

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on april 23	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	04-22 13:52
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:38
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 3	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-03 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	04-27 13:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 14	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-13 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-21 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	06-02 13:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-17 13:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-10 12:31
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 165 189	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-24 13:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	05-10 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-20 13:10
bitcoin above 78k on january 2	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	01-01 11:06
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-20 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-04 04:44
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-11 13:42
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	01-13 10:40
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-25 10:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-15 06:16
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-31 13:24
will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	02-13 11:18
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	03-04 13:10
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	02-07 09:32
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$73	73	+73	No	+$0	01-21 13:30
will melania opening weekend box office be between 2m and 2pt5m	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	01-31 06:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 66forhigher	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	04-11 08:48
ethereum above 1700 on april 12	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	04-11 08:37
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-07 11:30
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	01-05 11:30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-07 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:07:06	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x8d9948…
09-08 06:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x9308b2…
09-08 06:14:40	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x66af5d…
08-07 09:08:18	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde8df9…
08-07 09:07:46	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xca9245…
07-17 11:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf50db…
06-02 13:28:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x83846d…
05-25 10:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8c4f60…
05-21 11:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xdee928…
05-10 11:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x974834…
05-07 11:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xabe65f…
05-07 11:30:09	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa4047c…
05-07 11:23:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x803234…
05-07 11:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaf3e5b…
05-04 04:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc4b9ec…
04-27 13:24:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x1a3536…
04-22 13:52:10	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2e0370…
04-20 11:35:00	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xca9955…
04-16 12:38:18	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x12b7e2…
04-13 10:26:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 14	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa00a3d…
04-11 08:48:35	highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 66forhigher	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x78faae…
04-11 08:38:17	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0f367f…
04-11 08:37:43	ethereum above 1700 on april 12	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe136ea…
04-03 13:47:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 3	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb4a867…
03-31 13:24:49	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xf8bdb8…
03-24 13:32:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 165 189	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6a7528…
03-20 13:10:35	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb7620f…
03-17 13:04:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcde27d…
03-15 06:16:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa23a26…
03-12 13:48:31	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 5c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x126f26…
03-11 13:42:57	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8c1fe8…
03-04 13:10:09	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc9eaae…
02-13 11:18:11	will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x443ae9…
02-07 09:32:19	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x86a90f…
02-02 11:49:30	will shelter opening weekend box office be between 3m and 3pt5m	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c38bf…
01-31 06:05:24	will melania opening weekend box office be between 2m and 2pt5m	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x257600…
01-31 05:55:50	nba bkn det 2026 02 01	Pistons	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x5a600f…
01-31 05:43:22	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x355755…
01-21 13:50:16	will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac79d1…
01-21 13:30:02	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xc4c3eb…
01-13 10:40:23	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x4fe7d7…
01-10 12:31:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x401b92…
01-05 11:30:15	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa547d4…
01-01 11:06:07	bitcoin above 78k on january 2	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2932ec…