Tough-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,315

lifetime

Volume

$49.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-15 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-22

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 5 4pm et	6	$1.6K	1,254	1,254	+0	open	—	03-05 21:57
btc updown 5m 1772979300	5	$1.5K	2,144	2,117	+27	open	—	03-08 14:18
bitcoin up or down march 8 7am et	2	$1.3K	791	789	+2	open	—	03-08 11:10
btc updown 5m 1772966700	4	$1.3K	846	837	+9	open	—	03-08 10:50
btc updown 5m 1773032400	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	03-09 05:05
btc updown 15m 1772967600	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	open	—	03-08 11:06
btc updown 15m 1773046800	6	$1.1K	650	648	+2	open	—	03-09 09:14
btc updown 5m 1773033900	5	$1.0K	539	538	+1	open	—	03-09 05:30
btc updown 5m 1773042300	4	$1.0K	531	531	+1	open	—	03-09 07:50
btc updown 5m 1773033600	4	$841	435	435	+0	open	—	03-09 05:23
btc updown 15m 1773035100	6	$674	428	426	+2	open	—	03-09 06:00
btc updown 5m 1773049200	2	$603	306	306	+0	open	—	03-09 09:45
btc updown 5m 1772749500	2	$603	326	326	+0	open	—	03-05 22:27
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	4	$537	540	537	+3	open	—	03-09 01:55
btc updown 15m 1772958600	1	$500	1,208	0	+1,208	open	—	03-08 08:37
btc updown 5m 1772953200	1	$500	531	0	+531	open	—	03-08 07:04
btc updown 5m 1772954400	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	03-08 07:24
btc updown 5m 1772956500	1	$500	531	0	+531	open	—	03-08 07:59
bitcoin up or down march 5 3pm et	4	$468	253	253	+0	open	—	03-05 20:55
btc updown 5m 1773034200	4	$449	235	234	+0	open	—	03-09 05:33
btc updown 5m 1772748900	2	$422	230	229	+1	open	—	03-05 22:19
btc updown 5m 1773034800	4	$418	282	279	+3	open	—	03-09 05:42
btc updown 15m 1773033300	2	$411	217	217	+0	open	—	03-09 05:26
btc updown 5m 1773035400	2	$411	218	217	+0	open	—	03-09 05:53
btc updown 5m 1772750700	3	$409	521	65	+456	open	—	03-05 22:49
btc updown 5m 1773038400	2	$409	235	234	+1	open	—	03-09 06:42
btc updown 5m 1773050100	2	$407	216	216	+0	open	—	03-09 09:58
btc updown 15m 1773049500	4	$404	228	227	+1	open	—	03-09 09:55
btc updown 15m 1773062100	2	$402	208	208	+0	open	—	03-09 13:28
btc updown 5m 1773041700	2	$402	208	208	+0	open	—	03-09 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x805885…
05-15 12:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b69ad…
05-15 12:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x79247c…
05-15 12:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x970b45…
05-13 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x84e972…
05-12 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb1de1c…
05-12 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x3c9408…
05-12 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf8740e…
05-12 13:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97889a…
05-12 13:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2d5386…
05-12 10:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa1a6ac…
05-12 09:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf5a57a…
05-12 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7fea5c…
05-12 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x729366…
05-12 08:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8672b…
05-12 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x05d6d8…
05-12 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x85a095…
05-12 07:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x932482…
05-12 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x385e5e…
05-12 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe1c9c9…
05-12 07:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x42a953…
05-09 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd3ee29…
05-09 13:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87a28e…
05-09 13:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe5bf7e…
05-09 13:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdde5d8…
05-09 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x787180…
05-09 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x36439e…
05-09 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x33f79a…
05-09 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa28c7d…
05-09 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3b992…
05-09 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc21b89…
05-09 12:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x01e5c4…
05-09 12:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6774cc…
05-09 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xabd300…
05-09 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x167da9…
05-09 12:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf77d2f…
05-09 12:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7a0213…
05-09 12:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x26baee…
05-09 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc50685…
05-09 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x45769c…
05-09 12:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x536dda…
05-09 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x913a72…
05-09 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa92a75…
05-09 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51ce26…
05-09 06:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x777b1a…
05-09 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x79347f…
05-09 05:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x97bb3c…
05-09 05:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc49c89…
05-09 05:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb2cdd1…
05-09 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xe2813e…
05-09 04:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd877e9…
05-07 03:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xef54bd…
05-07 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6e1462…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0xdccbd6…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x805665…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1e9729…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf37cd1…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8e9304…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8b8c1d…
05-07 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbefe35…
05-06 22:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x28a25f…
05-06 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x75b046…
05-06 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x06409e…
05-06 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdd6f26…
04-26 22:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf00a84…
04-26 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc0e04d…
04-26 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1a2759…
04-25 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45c840…
04-24 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xda2fcb…
04-24 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x089495…
04-24 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x77ab9c…
04-24 18:15:10	btc updown 5m 1777054200	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcd12dd…
04-24 18:10:22	btc updown 5m 1777054200	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x97d349…
04-24 17:59:10	btc updown 5m 1777053300	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd397cb…
04-24 17:55:30	btc updown 5m 1777053300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x792f1d…
04-24 17:28:42	btc updown 5m 1777051500	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x5ee1e3…
04-24 17:25:30	btc updown 5m 1777051500	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa77f0a…
04-24 17:25:06	btc updown 5m 1777051200	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4180b5…
04-24 17:20:24	btc updown 5m 1777051200	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa19602…
04-24 16:23:18	btc updown 5m 1777047600	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf5ea1b…
04-24 16:20:22	btc updown 5m 1777047300	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa8b606…
04-24 16:16:06	btc updown 5m 1777047300	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x195b75…
04-24 15:40:56	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x31ecf9…
04-24 15:37:58	btc updown 5m 1777044900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4d7dcc…
04-13 08:34:33	btc updown 5m 1776069000	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x1303e6…
04-13 08:30:15	btc updown 5m 1776069000	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1ce59a…
04-13 00:39:19	btc updown 5m 1776040500	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x4f1ff7…
04-13 00:35:47	btc updown 5m 1776040500	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8ed312…
04-12 21:47:51	btc updown 5m 1776030300	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xb4ed68…
04-12 21:46:03	btc updown 5m 1776030300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0e4dfb…
04-12 21:43:55	btc updown 5m 1776030000	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xc3c468…
04-12 21:40:41	btc updown 5m 1776030000	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc1e677…
04-12 21:27:01	btc updown 5m 1776029100	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x68840e…
04-12 21:24:23	btc updown 5m 1776028800	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x3aa61d…
04-12 21:20:45	btc updown 5m 1776028800	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfd789f…
04-12 21:17:01	btc updown 5m 1776028500	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x81d2af…
04-12 21:15:55	btc updown 5m 1776028500	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7837f3…
04-12 21:03:43	btc updown 5m 1776027600	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x1e4964…
04-12 21:00:17	btc updown 5m 1776027600	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x31102f…
04-06 23:38:31	btc updown 5m 1775518500	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xcb6562…