Tough-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

672

Trades

1,319

lifetime

Volume

$49.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-15 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% -$1,045

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Politics

0% 100% +$13

Other

0% 0% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 5 4pm et	6	$1.6K	1,254	1,254	+0	Down	+$125	03-05 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:15 UTC	5	$1.5K	2,144	2,117	+27	Up	-$15	03-08 14:18
bitcoin up or down march 8 7am et	2	$1.3K	791	789	+2	Down	-$68	03-08 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	4	$1.3K	846	837	+9	Down	+$111	03-08 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	Up	+$12	03-09 05:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 11:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	Down	+$4	03-08 11:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	650	648	+2	Up	+$61	03-09 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:25 UTC	5	$1.0K	539	538	+1	Up	+$23	03-09 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:45 UTC	4	$1.0K	531	531	+1	Up	+$17	03-09 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:20 UTC	4	$841	435	435	+0	Up	+$20	03-09 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:45 UTC	6	$674	428	426	+2	Down	-$24	03-09 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:40 UTC	2	$603	306	306	+0	Up	+$3	03-09 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:25 UTC	2	$603	326	326	+0	Down	+$4	03-05 22:27
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	4	$537	540	537	+3	Down	+$140	03-09 01:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 08:30 UTC	1	$500	1,208	0	+1,208	Up	-$500	03-08 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:00 UTC	1	$500	531	0	+531	Up	+$31	03-08 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:20 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	03-08 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:55 UTC	1	$500	531	0	+531	Up	+$31	03-08 07:59
bitcoin up or down march 5 3pm et	4	$468	253	253	+0	Up	+$8	03-05 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:30 UTC	4	$449	235	234	+0	Up	+$9	03-09 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:15 UTC	2	$422	230	229	+1	Up	+$23	03-05 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:40 UTC	4	$418	282	279	+3	Up	+$20	03-09 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	2	$411	217	217	+0	Up	+$11	03-09 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:50 UTC	2	$411	218	217	+0	Down	+$11	03-09 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:45 UTC	3	$409	521	65	+456	Down	-$187	03-05 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:40 UTC	2	$409	235	234	+1	Down	+$10	03-09 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:55 UTC	2	$407	216	216	+0	Down	+$7	03-09 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	4	$404	228	227	+1	Down	+$5	03-09 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:15 UTC	2	$402	208	208	+0	Up	+$2	03-09 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:35 UTC	2	$402	208	208	+0	Up	+$2	03-09 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x805885…
05-15 12:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b69ad…
05-15 12:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x79247c…
05-15 12:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x970b45…
05-13 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x84e972…
05-12 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb1de1c…
05-12 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x3c9408…
05-12 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf8740e…
05-12 13:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97889a…
05-12 13:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2d5386…
05-12 10:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa1a6ac…
05-12 09:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf5a57a…
05-12 08:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x125e19…
05-12 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7fea5c…
05-12 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x729366…
05-12 08:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8672b…
05-12 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x05d6d8…
05-12 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x85a095…
05-12 07:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7af97…
05-12 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6203ce…
05-12 07:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x37cea9…
05-12 07:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x932482…
05-12 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x385e5e…
05-12 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe1c9c9…
05-12 07:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x42a953…
05-09 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd3ee29…
05-09 13:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87a28e…
05-09 13:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe5bf7e…
05-09 13:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdde5d8…
05-09 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x787180…
05-09 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x36439e…
05-09 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x33f79a…
05-09 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa28c7d…
05-09 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3b992…
05-09 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc21b89…
05-09 12:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x01e5c4…
05-09 12:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6774cc…
05-09 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xabd300…
05-09 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x167da9…
05-09 12:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf77d2f…
05-09 12:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7a0213…
05-09 12:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x26baee…
05-09 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc50685…
05-09 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x45769c…
05-09 12:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x536dda…
05-09 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x913a72…
05-09 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa92a75…
05-09 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51ce26…
05-09 06:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x777b1a…
05-09 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x79347f…
05-09 05:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x97bb3c…
05-09 05:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc49c89…
05-09 05:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb2cdd1…
05-09 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xe2813e…
05-09 04:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd877e9…
05-07 03:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xef54bd…
05-07 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6e1462…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0xdccbd6…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x805665…
05-07 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1e9729…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf37cd1…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8e9304…
05-07 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8b8c1d…
05-07 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbefe35…
05-06 22:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x28a25f…
05-06 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x75b046…
05-06 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x06409e…
05-06 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdd6f26…
04-26 22:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf00a84…
04-26 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc0e04d…
04-26 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1a2759…
04-25 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45c840…
04-24 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xda2fcb…
04-24 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x089495…
04-24 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x77ab9c…
04-24 18:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcd12dd…
04-24 18:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x97d349…
04-24 17:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd397cb…
04-24 17:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x792f1d…
04-24 17:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x5ee1e3…
04-24 17:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa77f0a…
04-24 17:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4180b5…
04-24 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa19602…
04-24 16:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf5ea1b…
04-24 16:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa8b606…
04-24 16:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x195b75…
04-24 15:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x31ecf9…
04-24 15:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4d7dcc…
04-13 08:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x1303e6…
04-13 08:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1ce59a…
04-13 00:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x4f1ff7…
04-13 00:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8ed312…
04-12 21:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xb4ed68…
04-12 21:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0e4dfb…
04-12 21:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xc3c468…
04-12 21:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc1e677…
04-12 21:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x68840e…
04-12 21:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x3aa61d…
04-12 21:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfd789f…
04-12 21:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x81d2af…