Distant-Credenza — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$259

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

692

Trades

6,387

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-29 01:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

100% 15% +$259

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+40	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-28 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	37	$144	300	240	+60	No	+$84	06-02 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	29	$67	365	165	+200	Yes	+$57	05-22 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	16	$57	170	70	+100	No	+$34	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	34	$53	430	80	+350	Yes	+$5	08-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	25	$50	375	305	+70	Yes	+$43	10-09 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	18	$46	320	60	+260	No	+$29	10-13 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	11	$45	45	45	+0	Yes	+$44	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	11	$44	110	80	+30	Yes	+$40	10-16 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	24	$42	295	50	+245	No	+$14	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$41	120	50	+70	No	+$15	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	13	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	13	$39	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	07-21 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	9	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	12	$30	90	20	+70	Yes	+$4	07-03 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	26	$29	215	35	+180	Yes	-$9	07-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	7	$27	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	07-28 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	27	$27	245	25	+220	Yes	-$2	07-10 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	12	$26	90	20	+70	Yes	-$4	08-28 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$13	06-30 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	37	$26	510	466	+44	No	+$22	10-08 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	8	$25	30	30	+0	No	+$10	07-21 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	16	$23	105	15	+90	Yes	$0	06-26 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	8	$22	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	07-17 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	23	$22	310	230	+80	No	+$19	08-20 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	13	$19	185	20	+165	No	+$5	06-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	14	$19	250	50	+200	No	+$16	10-13 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	9	$19	65	20	+45	No	+$5	06-16 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	18	$18	160	50	+110	Yes	-$11	08-07 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	17	$17	380	340	+40	No	+$14	08-21 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	15	$16	280	60	+220	No	+$15	06-02 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:28:58	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9acbe9…
10-29 01:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3ce66e…
10-29 01:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb71884…
10-29 01:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xd966b8…
10-28 23:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7b6137…
10-28 23:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x48358d…
10-28 22:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7715d1…
10-28 16:20:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3d3a71…
10-28 16:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xd31c3e…
10-28 16:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa47b31…
10-28 15:51:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x488452…
10-28 13:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x362601…
10-28 05:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa94299…
10-28 05:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa55f52…
10-28 05:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1798e4…
10-28 05:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x95f4a4…
10-28 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf6b340…
10-28 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x41ebae…
10-28 05:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0fd3e3…
10-28 05:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x509491…
10-28 05:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x51f862…
10-28 05:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x855f7a…
10-28 05:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb20de5…
10-28 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x617a92…
10-28 05:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf91818…
10-28 04:58:28	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x3bd7c8…
10-28 04:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xdcbe3d…
10-28 04:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x845176…
10-28 04:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4f460c…
10-28 04:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaa3baa…
10-28 04:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x92b477…
10-28 04:15:11	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2b5e87…
10-28 02:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc36473…
10-28 01:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc90fea…
10-28 01:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9df8df…
10-28 00:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x83686d…
10-28 00:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x11c72c…
10-28 00:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xebcdc6…
10-28 00:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5fc235…
10-27 23:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xd6330a…
10-27 21:45:12	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x06647a…
10-27 21:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xec476f…
10-27 18:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbbc93c…
10-27 17:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd2f4d7…
10-27 15:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3db88c…
10-27 15:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7defab…
10-27 15:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xc22228…
10-27 15:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0316f3…
10-27 14:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf9804e…
10-27 14:36:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa0c541…
10-27 14:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd04271…
10-27 14:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xca3ec8…
10-27 14:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xaa5c2d…
10-27 14:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5721c2…
10-27 14:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5ecb97…
10-27 13:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x44f48f…
10-27 12:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf9cfcd…
10-27 09:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x434cfd…
10-27 09:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd9458d…
10-27 07:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x14c0f5…
10-27 04:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb8c8c1…
10-27 03:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3adcf9…
10-27 03:41:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3ba7fb…
10-27 03:35:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x556b51…
10-27 03:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdcb750…
10-27 03:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x15e70f…
10-27 03:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x83ce15…
10-27 03:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe4c5a8…
10-27 03:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x5c9670…
10-27 03:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x5de943…
10-27 03:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc1ac58…
10-27 03:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x46db0d…
10-27 03:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x47f167…
10-27 03:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x5d1e73…
10-27 03:28:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x711cad…
10-27 03:28:47	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xebb34a…
10-27 03:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xecc03e…
10-27 03:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x51ecea…
10-27 03:27:41	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x1c9e1c…
10-27 02:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x21941b…
10-27 02:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x82f281…
10-26 17:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x698d77…
10-26 16:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x695d74…
10-26 16:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3e61f2…
10-26 16:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x20eb22…
10-26 16:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x94903b…
10-26 16:28:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x643d1b…
10-26 16:23:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x263a03…
10-26 15:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd0eb6a…
10-26 14:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3b09c4…
10-26 14:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1e3835…
10-26 14:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x93a6d9…
10-26 11:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaca792…
10-26 07:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xe6e666…
10-26 07:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x45ec39…
10-26 06:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x4659a8…
10-26 06:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c4363…
10-26 05:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6bebdb…
10-26 01:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7be0a2…
10-26 00:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe948cc…