Warm-Doubter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

612

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-27 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 50% $-4

Other

40% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	12	$1.4K	660	760	-100	open	—	03-20 03:21
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	3	$699	357	350	+7	open	—	01-31 18:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$677	340	340	+0	open	—	02-02 03:35
will gta 6 cost 100	4	$593	350	245	+105	open	—	02-28 10:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	3	$566	628	0	+628	open	—	04-07 22:58
bitcoin above 68k on february 20	2	$514	514	0	+514	open	—	02-20 17:00
will gold gc hit high 5100 by end of january 412 277 258 652	8	$485	250	250	+0	open	—	01-27 22:09
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	9	$464	380	380	+0	open	—	01-27 20:08
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	14	$430	376	326	+51	open	—	03-25 08:20
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	8	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	03-03 02:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$400	210	210	+0	open	—	03-16 22:23
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	7	$395	454	454	+0	open	—	01-14 03:55
will dogecoin dip to 0pt1 in february 2026	3	$343	343	0	+343	open	—	02-02 03:39
val tzc lyon 2026 01 28 game2	2	$329	329	0	+329	open	—	01-28 23:59
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	2	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-06 10:28
mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 tig	1	$230	230	0	+230	open	—	03-08 04:56
ethereum above 2200 on march 3	3	$212	116	106	+10	open	—	03-03 05:37
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-24 23:15
Will the US strike Mexico next?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 22:51
will mamdani say transparency during the next nyc mayors office announcement	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-18 17:42
mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 mon1	12	$196	196	0	+196	open	—	03-08 06:55
cs2 mouzn omega1 2026 02 16 total games 2pt5	3	$184	95	95	+0	open	—	02-16 20:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$168	186	26	+160	open	—	03-03 00:49
will ethereum reach 2100 february 16 22	6	$158	129	129	+0	open	—	02-18 17:56
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	8	$150	104	104	+0	open	—	02-17 00:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-02 23:50
will ethereum reach 2200 february 16 22	4	$147	89	73	+16	open	—	02-19 20:10
highest temperature in miami on february 19 2026 80 81f	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	02-20 02:59
val mibr nrg 2026 02 15 total games 3pt5	5	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-16 01:52
will ethereum reach 2300 february 16 22	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	02-22 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 03:10:20	val sta1 exl1 2026 05 26 game2	LAZER	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xa89613…
05-25 21:50:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xa5a679…
05-22 23:28:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 18-24?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8e8a9f…
05-20 09:42:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 18-24?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x04ee05…
05-14 01:33:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	SELL	64	83¢	$53	0x8e91f4…
05-14 01:33:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x687e14…
05-07 03:41:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0xd32914…
05-05 02:19:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xadbc0f…
05-05 01:11:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0xfdd3c2…
05-05 00:48:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x47d215…
05-05 00:46:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x7c021a…
05-04 19:56:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	46¢	$26	0x710b07…
05-04 10:18:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xdc75f3…
05-04 10:13:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	172	17¢	$30	0xe4393d…
04-29 03:16:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xc48074…
04-27 04:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0x72e99b…
04-23 09:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x613d96…
04-22 22:20:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	83	25¢	$21	0x73e888…
04-18 21:34:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x8afc3f…
04-14 10:16:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x536884…
04-14 10:16:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x3f934f…
04-14 10:15:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x65f884…
04-14 09:23:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe4a20a…
04-13 23:12:41	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x826310…
04-13 23:12:33	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x960890…
04-13 19:01:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xc2b767…
04-12 19:08:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x5e3970…
04-10 22:22:17	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x82d8fc…
04-07 22:58:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0xe322d5…
04-07 22:58:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x49eaf9…
04-06 10:28:21	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x04b00e…
04-06 10:27:01	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9937b1…
04-05 23:27:45	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6db633…
04-02 21:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcfe981…
04-02 20:39:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	No	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0xa72ad0…
03-30 23:40:15	ethereum above 2500 on april 2	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3ce94a…
03-30 10:00:18	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xcf5403…
03-30 04:18:34	ethereum above 2100 on march 30	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xfebfd9…
03-27 21:02:07	ethereum above 2100 on march 30	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x342ee2…
03-27 20:56:09	ethereum above 2500 on march 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x037dd3…
03-26 21:03:07	ethereum above 2500 on march 28	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xef827b…
03-26 00:27:55	ethereum above 2500 on march 27	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x77c1e2…
03-25 08:54:17	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	SELL	19	80¢	$16	0xfd6d53…
03-25 08:36:29	ethereum above 2500 on march 26	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xf28818…
03-25 08:29:45	will ethereum reach 2200 march 23 29	No	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x192105…
03-25 08:20:57	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	126	74¢	$94	0x5e5d09…
03-24 18:02:27	will ethereum reach 2200 march 23 29	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa82c81…
03-22 23:11:19	ethereum above 2200 on march 24	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xad5e38…
03-22 23:11:01	ethereum above 1800 on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7fcf56…
03-21 20:39:47	bitcoin above 72400 on march 21 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb1f29…
03-21 20:39:39	bitcoin above 68400 on march 21 2026 5pm et	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbd9c21…
03-21 20:39:15	bitcoin above 72400 on march 21 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ebbff…
03-20 03:21:45	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8ec875…
03-20 02:52:59	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	126	68¢	$85	0x81196f…
03-19 19:17:01	ethereum above 2500 on march 21	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x55fee2…
03-19 19:01:49	will ethereum reach 2500 march 16 22	No	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0x2e1728…
03-18 22:44:01	will ethereum reach 2400 march 16 22	No	SELL	14	77¢	$10	0x5c4774…
03-18 20:12:37	ethereum above 1800 on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa48a81…
03-18 20:03:35	will ethereum dip to 2050 on march 18	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2f40ae…
03-18 20:03:25	will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 18	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5d0101…
03-18 19:30:13	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd8326c…
03-18 19:30:13	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x321376…
03-18 19:29:39	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x07b366…
03-18 19:10:15	will ethereum reach 2350 on march 18	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x994173…
03-18 07:19:21	will ethereum dip to 2050 on march 18	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee7786…
03-18 07:17:05	will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 18	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52e08c…
03-18 07:14:09	will ethereum reach 2350 on march 18	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x85e75c…
03-18 05:05:13	will ethereum reach 2500 march 16 22	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x7e6310…
03-18 04:20:47	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0xcdea31…
03-17 20:35:15	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7c332a…
03-17 20:21:17	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5784f6…
03-17 08:52:53	will ethereum reach 2400 march 16 22	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x99f590…
03-17 00:21:45	ethereum above 2400 on march 17	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8999a2…
03-16 22:23:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x2bff43…
03-16 20:21:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xda52f3…
03-16 20:18:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x53b843…
03-16 20:18:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x0c97bf…
03-16 20:17:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1fd56f…
03-16 20:14:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x7360b8…
03-16 20:14:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x023311…
03-16 20:14:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xc4fc8f…
03-16 09:38:25	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x8b85ab…
03-16 09:38:25	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x7c110b…
03-16 09:37:23	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb558c1…
03-16 06:37:57	ethereum above 2200 on march 16	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x3e8a0d…
03-15 10:35:31	will vox vox win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 141	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66e069…
03-15 10:35:23	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd7e358…
03-15 10:35:15	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa3571b…
03-14 19:58:27	ethereum above 2400 on march 17	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x147498…
03-13 21:15:55	ethereum above 2400 on march 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44ceab…
03-13 21:12:09	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x42aeed…
03-13 18:07:27	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x58b1af…
03-13 18:07:15	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa43c8d…
03-13 17:44:45	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5da715…
03-13 04:49:13	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xc6482c…
03-13 00:29:03	highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb3c084…
03-13 00:03:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 16	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5ebe62…
03-12 23:46:59	ethereum above 2200 on march 13	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x106cb9…
03-11 18:14:43	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x495137…
03-11 09:02:57	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb69166…