Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

108

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 09-03 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

71% 60% -$91

Crypto

27% 41% -$124

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Politics

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	12	$120	241	0	+241	cancelled	+$1	07-11 07:25
Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	7	$70	227	0	+227	Yes	-$35	09-03 09:41
will base launch a token by june 30 2027	4	$53	59	59	+0	open	—	08-05 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?	5	$50	143	0	+143	Yes	-$50	07-06 05:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$36	31	31	+0	Yes	-$4	08-05 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$30	49	0	+49	Down	-$30	09-03 09:47
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	08-05 00:17
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	08-05 00:14
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	08-05 00:15
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	08-05 00:14
Argentina to win the second half?	2	$20	67	0	+67	Yes	-$20	07-07 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Up	-$20	09-03 10:12
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?	2	$20	118	0	+118	Yes	-$20	08-03 02:51
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$20	50	0	+50	No	+$30	07-13 17:02
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$20	27	0	+27	Down	+$7	09-03 09:41
Argentina vs. Egypt: Second half draw?	2	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	07-07 17:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?	2	$20	37	0	+37	Yes	-$20	07-06 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	2	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	08-01 06:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$20	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 00:15
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	08-05 00:16
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	2	$16	48	48	+0	Yes	-$4	08-05 00:16
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	2	$15	74	74	+0	Yes	-$5	08-05 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	07-16 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	-$10	07-20 05:23
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7?	1	$10	25	0	+25	No	+$15	07-07 05:16
Will CA Grau win on 2026-08-01?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	+$6	08-01 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	-$10	07-14 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	-$10	08-01 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	-$10	07-15 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	+$9	07-16 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 12:07:30	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x06832d…
09-03 12:02:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc68915…
09-03 12:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x06ad45…
09-03 10:17:42	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5b0049…
09-03 10:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf5ac4d…
09-03 10:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6b7f7f…
09-03 10:12:43	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x94358a…
09-03 09:53:03	Ethereum above 2,390 on September 3, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x0e8a1a…
09-03 09:53:00	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x7f5b77…
09-03 09:47:54	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9012c3…
09-03 09:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf6923e…
09-03 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x80c5bf…
09-03 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd29dbf…
09-03 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9fddf7…
09-03 09:47:37	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa5f006…
09-03 09:41:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x05f9f0…
09-03 09:41:06	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xd29ac1…
09-03 09:41:04	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8b1eff…
09-03 09:41:04	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x44a237…
09-03 09:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2e866c…
09-03 09:41:03	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xbfc4e7…
09-03 09:41:01	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x89a0c9…
09-03 09:41:00	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd961e1…
09-03 09:41:00	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x928368…
09-03 09:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8d4d0f…
09-03 09:41:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2cd5c3…
09-03 09:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x220610…
09-03 09:40:58	Bitcoin above 77,600 on September 3, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe73fd1…
09-03 09:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd9eaa6…
09-01 08:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x95bf5d…
09-01 02:39:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe4e779…
08-31 03:56:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x6f784b…
08-31 03:43:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf60fee…
08-05 00:17:06	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x326540…
08-05 00:16:36	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	SELL	74	6¢	$5	0x9a4816…
08-05 00:16:26	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x4c4943…
08-05 00:16:12	Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x34e27a…
08-05 00:16:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x45f817…
08-05 00:15:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x8158ec…
08-05 00:15:21	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x25b8a4…
08-05 00:14:38	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xbcb4a8…
08-05 00:14:23	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x87f522…
08-05 00:13:56	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0x8bce35…
08-03 08:52:11	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd53eb7…
08-03 08:52:11	Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2659c1…
08-03 02:53:44	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xefa846…
08-03 02:51:26	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa8def7…
08-03 02:51:12	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xbf94d4…
08-02 06:30:08	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xc8246f…
08-02 01:08:02	Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x624731…
08-02 01:08:00	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3c9b27…
08-02 01:08:00	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x387105…
08-01 22:39:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xac1ce4…
08-01 22:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0dd117…
08-01 22:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x302e21…
08-01 22:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2b67d8…
08-01 21:02:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x519300…
08-01 20:46:41	Will CA Grau vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfbd157…
08-01 20:46:39	Will CA Grau win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x70a238…
08-01 20:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef21e6…
08-01 20:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x22f3ad…
08-01 18:05:09	Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5905a1…
08-01 17:10:33	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb09d44…
08-01 16:27:05	Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x39c546…
08-01 16:25:59	Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x18fe81…
08-01 06:46:44	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9b3031…
08-01 06:39:47	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5e2fc9…
08-01 06:39:42	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x04ca94…
08-01 06:39:38	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5d5ad6…
08-01 06:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb8de26…
08-01 06:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9469ff…
08-01 06:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x528d7e…
08-01 06:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbb6bf4…
08-01 06:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x29aec5…
08-01 06:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 2?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4e56fd…
08-01 06:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 2?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2ac78a…
08-01 06:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x09ad1d…
07-26 11:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xec2a1a…
07-22 16:39:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8b662d…
07-20 05:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe81e37…
07-20 05:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd75590…
07-20 05:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcda0bb…
07-18 03:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 19?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcbc95f…
07-18 03:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 19?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9bf7ce…
07-18 03:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 19?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x498608…
07-17 21:45:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 17?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa7a8e9…
07-16 14:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6c7ccd…
07-16 14:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x674984…
07-16 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x226f11…
07-16 04:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4b187c…
07-15 21:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on July 15?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x322bc7…
07-15 21:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0b6d18…
07-15 15:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x90b0e4…
07-15 15:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7974d0…
07-14 15:14:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe17688…
07-14 15:14:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc9d643…
07-14 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd8daf6…
07-14 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd8c294…
07-14 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd048e7…
07-13 18:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9d72c7…