Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$685

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved (90d)

542

Trades (90d)

2,458

2,458 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.8K

$18.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-30 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

99% 43% -$688

Politics

1% 50% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 621 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	17	$254	273	113	+160	No	+$12	10-24 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 25?	11	$194	130	130	+0	Yes	+$64	10-25 19:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 25?	20	$184	241	70	+170	No	-$5	10-25 21:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	18	$160	264	22	+242	Yes	-$6	10-25 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 26?	17	$158	295	0	+295	Yes	-$1	10-25 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	14	$154	175	53	+122	No	+$13	10-24 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	16	$150	251	0	+251	No	-$5	10-22 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	14	$149	236	40	+195	Yes	+$29	10-24 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 22?	24	$148	311	0	+311	No	+$3	10-22 17:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	13	$141	220	40	+180	Yes	-$2	10-25 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	9	$134	122	58	+65	Yes	+$13	10-24 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 24?	11	$134	123	60	+63	No	-$9	10-24 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	15	$130	173	37	+136	No	-$7	10-25 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	10	$128	148	54	+94	No	$0	10-25 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	10	$127	128	60	+68	Yes	-$8	10-25 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 26?	20	$127	252	0	+252	No	+$9	10-26 02:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	9	$124	138	58	+80	Yes	+$10	10-24 22:05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 24?	16	$124	170	37	+133	No	+$6	10-24 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	11	$123	127	46	+80	Yes	+$10	10-24 14:32
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	8	$122	74	74	+0	No	+$25	10-24 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	12	$121	196	0	+196	No	-$26	10-23 06:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	11	$120	140	50	+90	No	$0	10-25 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24?	6	$119	98	58	+40	No	+$16	10-24 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	14	$116	212	0	+212	Yes	$0	10-26 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 24?	9	$113	99	59	+40	No	+$5	10-24 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?	5	$111	80	60	+20	No	+$8	10-24 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	12	$111	104	59	+45	Yes	+$28	10-25 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?	15	$110	143	36	+107	No	+$15	10-25 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	14	$107	205	0	+205	No	-$2	10-26 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	16	$107	215	0	+215	No	-$2	10-23 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:01:12	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x191964…
10-30 07:08:30	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4116c9…
10-30 05:51:43	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xef1d46…
10-30 02:54:22	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x17b25b…
10-30 01:04:21	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x69d4d0…
10-29 23:17:54	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfa66bb…
10-29 17:34:58	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xb87afa…
10-29 17:34:28	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$8	0x5c502b…
10-29 15:56:29	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8a43fe…
10-29 15:53:31	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe5daf5…
10-29 15:49:20	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x6fb901…
10-29 13:26:26	Will Lamar Jackson have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdd12f7…
10-29 13:00:49	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0dd196…
10-29 12:20:26	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xaf2904…
10-29 11:11:16	Will Quentin Johnston have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb3de2f…
10-29 10:40:19	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0085fb…
10-29 10:06:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x050381…
10-29 10:03:13	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xc27b4d…
10-29 10:02:41	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x918fe2…
10-29 09:30:43	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x6a56f5…
10-29 08:36:05	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbb7304…
10-29 08:02:41	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb5b08a…
10-29 07:39:08	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x991524…
10-29 07:38:05	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xc1779d…
10-29 07:34:37	Will PP receive less than 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4f9ca0…
10-29 07:32:17	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xd47bcf…
10-29 07:30:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xff0f32…
10-29 07:28:41	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x9d687a…
10-29 07:28:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x53115a…
10-29 07:27:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb15852…
10-29 07:27:28	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x881366…
10-29 07:03:16	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xedb29c…
10-29 03:17:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0xd8de95…
10-29 02:55:56	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xd22b85…
10-29 01:48:23	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xd2a168…
10-29 00:23:01	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc9476e…
10-29 00:10:10	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x18795a…
10-29 00:05:47	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4cd93e…
10-28 23:50:41	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xa78636…
10-28 23:11:01	Next Israeli government a minority government?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeef588…
10-28 23:10:02	Next Israeli government a minority government?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcbe436…
10-28 23:10:02	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1e69dc…
10-28 21:08:02	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x75b658…
10-28 21:07:20	Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1c7385…
10-28 19:18:01	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x54b6eb…
10-28 18:46:02	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6a9a10…
10-28 18:02:50	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x3ad8fc…
10-28 18:00:16	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcdb8ac…
10-28 18:00:08	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xbc2117…
10-28 17:16:49	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8a4ac4…
10-28 16:03:08	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x02daf8…
10-28 15:12:37	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xbaca6f…
10-28 14:35:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x68a8bb…
10-28 14:20:56	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6cbbe8…
10-28 14:06:05	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x55ee0c…
10-28 13:20:56	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x34ba65…
10-28 13:20:25	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x87415d…
10-28 12:59:55	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x49dcaf…
10-28 12:43:38	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x210fdd…
10-28 12:33:10	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x710e77…
10-28 12:23:59	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x84d13c…
10-28 11:51:58	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x7af577…
10-28 11:46:10	Next Israeli government a minority government?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe75b19…
10-28 11:40:35	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x461db2…
10-28 11:21:22	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x550747…
10-28 11:15:04	Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5bea8e…
10-28 08:09:25	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x80a770…
10-28 06:59:52	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1a26ef…
10-28 06:19:37	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x01b380…
10-28 06:13:47	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xffcaf3…
10-28 06:08:56	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x8c6ed6…
10-27 21:53:56	Will Bruno Retailleau receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdddef9…
10-27 21:53:17	will the us 30 year fixed rate mortgage hit 7pt00 low by december 31 2026 from october 27	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x94d52f…
10-27 21:52:35	Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7a06d5…
10-27 21:52:27	Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xefd8c5…
10-27 21:52:14	Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdbcd89…
10-27 21:52:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9a2347…
10-27 21:52:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x08facd…
10-27 21:51:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd3ed6c…
10-27 21:51:56	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6bddaa…
10-27 21:51:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0c276c…
10-27 21:51:51	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 13.5%+?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x93ef16…
10-27 21:51:47	Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x49b736…
10-27 21:51:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x340081…
10-27 21:51:42	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd8cfab…
10-27 21:51:38	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbb890c…
10-26 03:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2a93bc…
10-26 03:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x1245f3…
10-26 03:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7d73ef…
10-26 03:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd03689…
10-26 03:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x75e9f8…
10-26 03:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xae26ff…
10-26 03:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xcf31c3…
10-26 03:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x738a91…
10-26 03:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x5a8833…
10-26 03:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1b33dc…
10-26 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xad8f53…
10-26 03:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf8e46b…
10-26 03:12:05	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x44468f…
10-26 03:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7e4323…