Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

469

Trades

1,170

lifetime

Volume

$58.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-28 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 59% -$504

Other

20% 50% +$260

Politics

20% 0% -$10,324

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$0	10-28 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$5.8K	7,437	7,437	+0	No	-$5,749	10-26 00:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$4.2K	9,325	9,325	+0	Yes	-$4,143	10-26 00:10
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	7	$2.4K	1,313	1,313	+0	Yes	+$183	06-28 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:25 UTC	4	$2.0K	1,988	1,988	+0	Up	+$42	06-12 19:25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$1.7K	0	2,144	-2,144	No	-$433	06-07 23:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$1.3K	777	777	+0	No	+$215	04-13 14:25
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	4	$1.1K	745	745	+0	Yes	+$168	06-26 19:32
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	3	$1.0K	655	655	+0	Yes	+$275	06-27 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:30 UTC	1	$833	851	0	+851	Up	+$18	04-13 19:33
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	3	$822	473	473	+0	Yes	+$123	06-25 00:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	4	$802	607	607	+0	Down	+$2	06-12 19:14
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	3	$733	621	621	+0	No	+$373	06-27 04:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:40 UTC	6	$701	514	514	+0	Up	+$101	06-11 21:44
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	3	$688	439	439	+0	Yes	+$188	06-25 03:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:25 UTC	4	$653	847	0	+847	Up	+$194	04-13 19:28
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	2	$587	615	615	+0	No	+$255	06-28 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:00 UTC	3	$525	558	400	+158	Up	+$83	06-11 21:04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	4	$502	783	783	+0	No	-$498	06-25 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:35 UTC	3	$500	607	0	+607	Up	-$500	04-13 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:55 UTC	1	$458	522	0	+522	Up	+$64	04-13 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:50 UTC	1	$445	459	0	+459	Up	+$14	04-13 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:15 UTC	3	$444	417	417	+0	Up	+$44	06-11 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:05 UTC	4	$440	360	360	+0	Up	+$40	06-11 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC	1	$408	500	0	+500	Up	+$92	04-13 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:50 UTC	4	$400	357	357	+0	Up	+$0	06-12 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:30 UTC	5	$393	375	259	+116	Down	+$69	06-08 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:35 UTC	3	$368	502	0	+502	Down	-$368	04-13 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:25 UTC	3	$353	394	394	+0	Down	-$47	06-11 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:45 UTC	1	$349	368	0	+368	Up	+$18	04-13 19:46
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	2	$347	307	307	+0	No	+$77	06-30 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:11:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xed6ff4…
10-26 00:10:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9,325	0¢	$9	0x493d36…
10-26 00:10:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,437	0¢	$7	0x741459…
10-25 22:52:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7,115	33¢	$2,362	0x9e010d…
10-23 22:46:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,437	77¢	$5,756	0x8de8b9…
10-22 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x06932b…
10-22 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2fa21a…
10-22 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde088a…
10-22 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb54a7…
10-22 09:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xcf4470…
10-22 09:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x26f913…
10-22 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4520da…
10-22 09:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb9d092…
10-21 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd83852…
10-21 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x992702…
10-21 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe9e11e…
10-21 17:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33ecee…
10-21 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x701752…
10-21 17:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x320ff9…
10-21 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8fb90f…
10-21 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0bbaa9…
10-21 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xb8361a…
10-21 17:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc42f0b…
10-21 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa21308…
10-21 01:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x97e2ff…
10-21 01:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4017a5…
10-21 01:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0f8535…
10-21 01:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf3e4c1…
10-21 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x15cf0e…
10-21 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xec93f3…
10-21 00:16:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,210	81¢	$1,790	0x098a7b…
10-20 20:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x622e46…
10-20 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xea7166…
10-20 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0eb72f…
10-20 20:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe1f8c8…
10-20 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1577ec…
10-20 20:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x06d1f0…
10-20 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x693580…
10-20 20:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xbbe051…
10-20 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xd23fa5…
10-20 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa0b6cc…
10-20 20:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x49a5a6…
10-20 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x035652…
10-20 19:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2603a0…
10-20 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x66e96c…
10-20 19:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x725457…
10-20 17:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xf0d337…
10-20 17:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xa92e70…
10-20 17:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcf3621…
10-20 17:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x559cf7…
10-20 17:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7178b8…
10-20 17:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xf7cc47…
10-20 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xca97de…
10-20 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbb74f6…
10-20 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3559a9…
10-20 15:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x1ddaa3…
10-20 15:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x900223…
10-20 14:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb9be6f…
10-20 14:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x60a38c…
10-20 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4fe5a2…
10-20 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfcddd3…
10-20 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xec7497…
07-01 21:52:31	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0xadd49b…
07-01 18:17:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xdd1b27…
07-01 18:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7fe327…
07-01 18:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5ededc…
07-01 18:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4b6b86…
07-01 18:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xaaa331…
07-01 18:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4dde93…
07-01 18:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x69a8bf…
07-01 18:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4028b4…
07-01 17:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x67e2fc…
07-01 17:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xef3314…
07-01 17:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbe3a95…
07-01 17:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c719a…
07-01 17:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x6fc4ae…
07-01 17:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x972d66…
07-01 17:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x99018c…
07-01 17:33:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x88368b…
07-01 17:25:50	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x8b45e0…
07-01 17:23:41	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0x523d40…
07-01 16:12:46	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0x935191…
07-01 16:11:52	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	157	16¢	$25	0x6f3f4a…
07-01 04:09:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd5a6e8…
07-01 04:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc7aaf6…
07-01 04:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x89c1a6…
07-01 03:58:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf966ee…
07-01 03:58:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf75ab3…
07-01 03:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1ecd8d…
07-01 03:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x730031…
07-01 03:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc84e5f…
07-01 03:54:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xda3d7a…
07-01 03:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1e44ae…
07-01 03:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2de9b5…
07-01 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9b93a2…
07-01 03:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa20d5a…
07-01 03:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf53bf…
07-01 03:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x3a3b7a…
07-01 03:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x963dc5…
07-01 03:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaaf956…