Scratchy-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

773

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-07 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% $-11

Other

30% 0% $-1

Sports

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	35	$116	255	254	+1	open	—	04-08 03:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$84	106	105	+1	open	—	03-29 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	29	$77	213	208	+5	open	—	06-20 13:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$56	36	35	+1	open	—	04-12 17:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	16	$53	106	105	+1	open	—	04-07 05:39
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	15	$51	32	42	-10	open	—	06-20 14:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$50	44	41	+3	open	—	04-16 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$49	72	70	+2	open	—	04-17 13:38
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	7	$46	42	41	+1	open	—	03-08 07:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$45	97	95	+2	open	—	03-23 17:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$43	56	59	-3	open	—	06-20 14:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$42	46	45	+1	open	—	04-12 04:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	15	$41	168	165	+3	open	—	04-11 02:26
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	7	$36	44	20	+24	open	—	04-14 20:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	11	$32	25	35	-10	open	—	06-14 21:23
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	12	$32	30	42	-12	open	—	06-16 18:36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	7	$32	61	0	+61	open	—	04-10 12:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$31	0	36	-36	open	—	06-10 05:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$30	26	25	+1	open	—	04-13 08:00
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	13	$29	37	37	+0	open	—	06-05 19:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$28	16	15	+1	open	—	03-10 13:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-28 10:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-22 04:16
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$26	16	15	+1	open	—	03-15 18:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$26	26	25	+1	open	—	04-09 16:15
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$24	26	25	+1	open	—	04-12 07:47
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$24	26	24	+2	open	—	04-11 13:55
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	11	$24	39	39	+0	open	—	06-17 09:10
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	3	$24	16	15	+1	open	—	03-22 19:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$23	16	15	+1	open	—	04-17 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 05:56:05	atp gomez valle 2026 07 07	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x651c63…
06-20 14:18:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xd280ab…
06-20 14:16:58	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x5e3949…
06-20 14:13:26	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xe77ff7…
06-20 14:09:11	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x5a6413…
06-20 14:06:04	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x5e3b08…
06-20 14:00:44	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfd1771…
06-20 14:00:29	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf5752d…
06-20 13:43:58	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4bc907…
06-20 13:41:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xf4f899…
06-20 13:38:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	115	8¢	$9	0xdc1caa…
06-20 02:29:02	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by august 30 20260609151517551	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x673013…
06-20 02:28:58	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9a4e8f…
06-20 02:28:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x59a15c…
06-20 02:28:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x363215…
06-20 02:28:52	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x5e67ce…
06-20 02:28:38	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x10a6e4…
06-20 02:28:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x37ebfc…
06-20 02:28:29	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0x32013d…
06-20 01:06:05	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf120aa…
06-20 00:58:49	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa54902…
06-19 23:48:25	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x015c74…
06-19 23:26:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2844a7…
06-19 21:55:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2354a7…
06-19 21:08:22	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1c79ee…
06-19 20:53:44	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3f4927…
06-19 19:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1548de…
06-19 19:14:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x7e201f…
06-19 18:54:16	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x505182…
06-19 17:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d633a…
06-19 17:06:56	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x121190…
06-19 17:06:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3812e6…
06-19 13:57:58	wta sabalen bartunk 2026 06 19	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x94188d…
06-19 13:43:28	atp zverev collign 2026 06 19	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x116e34…
06-19 13:21:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3c40df…
06-19 13:07:04	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x539946…
06-19 12:52:10	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xd9979b…
06-19 11:53:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe8ca20…
06-19 11:39:26	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8d9adf…
06-19 10:57:08	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19	Taylor Fritz	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa4baac…
06-19 04:45:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xff160f…
06-19 03:54:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc771ff…
06-18 21:48:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x1b5acb…
06-18 21:28:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x164e93…
06-18 20:27:01	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb1dba7…
06-18 19:44:04	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x21eb03…
06-18 19:36:22	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1ceda6…
06-18 18:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x791f4e…
06-18 17:54:34	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x144972…
06-18 17:40:14	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa1774c…
06-18 16:54:04	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x97ba13…
06-18 16:24:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x77fa32…
06-18 16:08:20	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xeb3357…
06-18 16:00:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x62c87e…
06-18 15:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0c8d33…
06-18 15:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4d8107…
06-18 15:00:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3cee9e…
06-18 15:00:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xab64ed…
06-18 14:40:32	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xea8071…
06-18 14:07:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc27d32…
06-18 14:07:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x5dc968…
06-18 13:34:20	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x9a55fe…
06-18 13:26:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa0fcb5…
06-18 11:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb7c58c…
06-18 11:25:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xcb5f09…
06-18 10:22:04	atp marozsa fritz 2026 06 18	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68e421…
06-18 08:39:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x802b74…
06-18 07:36:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x042118…
06-18 07:20:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c492a…
06-18 06:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc13dc5…
06-18 06:24:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x604f81…
06-18 06:17:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x0215fb…
06-18 05:29:35	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4f8053…
06-18 04:06:38	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x320dc6…
06-18 00:13:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4b78c2…
06-17 21:51:04	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x834138…
06-17 20:16:07	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x074c37…
06-17 17:25:23	mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0f766a…
06-17 17:09:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x49f7a3…
06-17 17:09:07	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x514f72…
06-17 14:41:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xba1b6e…
06-17 14:41:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x092c65…
06-17 14:34:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x7a1c6f…
06-17 14:25:28	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x14f1f5…
06-17 14:00:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x347293…
06-17 13:52:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x39dfcc…
06-17 13:43:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x626e31…
06-17 13:43:56	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xeb7782…
06-17 13:43:49	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1cc479…
06-17 13:37:40	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x1529f0…
06-17 13:27:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5faee9…
06-17 12:17:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0f0b5f…
06-17 11:29:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd8834…
06-17 09:10:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8bfdec…
06-17 09:01:53	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9b2965…
06-17 08:47:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9b0758…
06-17 08:38:29	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by august 30 20260609151517551	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9577b5…
06-17 08:23:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xcf2c9d…
06-17 08:07:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7aa582…
06-17 07:44:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x216d36…