Big-Hearted-Simple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

279

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 35corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:27
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in lucknow on april 2 2026 37c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 15:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:40
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85ce27…
10-28 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x925c9b…
10-27 08:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb82ff…
10-26 09:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10192f…
10-22 10:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe33719…
10-20 07:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cb0cd…
10-19 08:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2e22b…
10-18 09:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x140d94…
10-17 11:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8837bb…
10-16 08:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95ffc6…
10-15 09:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3f1b6…
10-14 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10e579…
10-13 08:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23523d…
10-12 08:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaabc3…
10-11 08:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf562f4…
10-08 08:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a4adf…
10-07 14:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17aaa8…
10-06 07:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7ceba…
10-04 15:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9c7b…
10-03 05:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a5f2d…
10-02 07:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4948…
10-01 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef1513…
09-30 12:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9af491…
09-29 14:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1520de…
09-28 09:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x517a8d…
09-27 08:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x646ad5…
09-25 12:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33d557…
09-24 08:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d67dd…
09-23 06:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95c76d…
09-22 07:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x761522…
09-21 09:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa52537…
09-20 05:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb8e2…
09-19 08:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d60f8…
09-18 06:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd76f62…
09-17 03:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66e561…
09-16 08:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b6067…
09-15 09:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aa2ac…
09-14 08:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051214…
09-12 16:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb285e…
09-11 07:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5869d2…
09-10 06:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79cd4…
09-09 02:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x571030…
09-08 02:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5cec2…
09-07 08:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb87e5a…
09-06 17:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x655394…
09-06 09:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38ce5f…
09-05 09:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe193f…
09-04 17:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c2713…
09-03 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49ebbb…
09-02 07:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56ee57…
08-30 08:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb308e…
08-29 07:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b5802…
08-28 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa6d65…
08-27 08:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x903d7a…
08-26 08:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb36b7b…
08-25 09:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d8e52…
08-24 09:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9be8d9…
08-23 14:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6287bd…
08-22 08:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4ae39…
08-21 07:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbc7b8…
08-20 08:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684fe1…
08-19 10:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6069c…
08-18 08:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f9768…
08-17 07:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9e844…
08-16 11:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064f12…
08-15 09:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6a08a…
08-14 06:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68f655…
08-13 07:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ba17…
08-12 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc389f4…
08-11 06:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc273e8…
08-10 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06ac2e…
08-09 01:20:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67d58b…
08-08 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec28ee…
08-07 01:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7854db…
08-06 06:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8620ff…
08-05 07:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c0d0d…
08-04 08:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3897e…
08-03 07:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dc7dc…
08-02 01:33:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09d321…
08-01 06:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78dca3…
07-31 08:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe447e6…
07-30 06:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec4416…
07-29 06:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8664fc…
07-28 06:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x005647…
07-27 08:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64a6ff…
07-26 06:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x914262…
07-25 07:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x183afd…
07-24 09:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546733…
07-23 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f864d…
07-22 01:49:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcfe61…
07-20 23:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5431c3…
07-20 07:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5f2b7…
07-18 23:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8110a…
07-18 00:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d5da1…
07-17 06:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77f2e9…
07-15 22:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d2df3…
07-15 07:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4c7fb…
07-14 07:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf69f42…
07-13 07:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd1fc6e…
07-12 02:13:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7be928…