Realized P&L
+$27
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
123
Trades
407
lifetime
Volume
$6.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
53% 92% +$44
Sports
29% 90% -$7
Tech
9% 91% -$2
Politics
9% 50% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +195 $161 70¢ $137 -$24 10-03 04:07
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +138 $115 92¢ $127 +$12 10-03 19:49
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +103 $102 97¢ $100 -$2 09-27 00:09
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +56 $55 100¢ $55 +$0 09-30 20:14
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $47 99¢ $47 +$0 10-02 09:41
Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? No +45 $44 99¢ $44 +$0 10-02 07:57
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? No +43 $42 100¢ $43 +$1 09-29 13:33
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +42 $40 98¢ $41 +$1 09-29 16:29
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +36 $29 99¢ $36 +$7 09-25 09:25
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +43 $29 83¢ $35 +$6 09-27 17:52
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +54 $20 64¢ $35 +$15 10-02 18:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? No +67 $55 50¢ $33 -$22 09-30 16:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 10-01 03:06
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +32 $32 98¢ $32 $0 10-02 08:23
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +49 $39 60¢ $29 -$9 09-27 17:52
Will Ferencvaros finish first in UEL league phase? No +29 $28 96¢ $28 -$1 09-30 18:27
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? No +31 $22 65¢ $20 -$2 09-29 07:40
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +30 $24 63¢ $19 -$5 10-03 05:45
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-01 19:00
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 10-01 19:32
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$0 09-21 05:02
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +18 $17 95¢ $17 +$0 09-21 08:28
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +18 $17 84¢ $15 -$2 10-03 23:38
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +17 $16 89¢ $15 -$1 09-27 00:03
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? No +18 $15 80¢ $14 $0 10-04 10:01
Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 09-21 04:28
Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$1 09-21 14:31
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 $0 09-27 00:14
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +85 $21 14¢ $11 -$10 10-01 17:30
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +17 $10 61¢ $10 +$0 10-02 17:05