Careless-Galley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

847

Trades

1,144

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-29 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 76% -$10

Other

4% 90% -$1

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-15 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	$0	10-28 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	$0	10-28 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-16 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-21 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	-$2	10-29 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 21:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:30 UTC	3	$6	8	3	+5	Up	+$0	04-12 21:40
solana up or down june 26 2026 9am et	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	06-26 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Down	-$2	09-18 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 15:56
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 6pm et	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-26 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-16 00:42
xrp up or down june 26 2026 10am et	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-26 14:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 15:15 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	04-13 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC	3	$5	7	3	+3	Up	-$2	04-13 17:02
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-26 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	-$5	05-21 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	3	$5	6	3	+3	Down	+$1	04-13 17:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 17:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	$0	04-20 17:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 15:15 UTC	2	$5	4	3	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$1	05-21 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	-$1	05-18 15:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$5	18	7	+11	Up	-$1	05-15 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$5	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	09-25 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-15 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$0	05-16 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x43595b…
10-29 20:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x246720…
10-29 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x330449…
10-29 20:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7fcd9…
10-29 20:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdaf1c9…
10-29 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabb9ab…
10-29 19:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e74c8…
10-29 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c3762…
10-29 17:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x36f93f…
10-29 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8841f1…
10-29 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0749e3…
10-29 16:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25b516…
10-29 16:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xd2b9e8…
10-29 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x12e9b2…
10-29 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d1337…
10-29 16:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e43fc…
10-29 16:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65bc8c…
10-29 16:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb140f0…
10-29 16:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x263614…
10-29 16:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x8c9ca1…
10-29 16:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfcb137…
10-29 15:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd335bb…
10-29 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9a543a…
10-29 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa8dbf6…
10-29 14:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb10805…
10-29 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe2afd8…
10-29 13:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc8a8d9…
10-29 13:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x11840f…
10-29 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fb77e…
10-29 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x29e9c5…
10-29 12:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x69dcf0…
10-29 12:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9c5802…
10-29 11:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe3fd28…
10-29 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x69fb48…
10-29 11:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d651a…
10-29 10:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x048897…
10-29 10:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x153e85…
10-29 10:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x280f01…
10-29 10:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x41615d…
10-29 10:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaaf861…
10-29 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x856532…
10-29 08:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x848831…
10-29 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xe51999…
10-29 08:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe5165c…
10-29 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8c1f54…
10-29 08:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x77ed51…
10-29 08:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc7fbbe…
10-29 07:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x280f80…
10-29 06:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d16ea…
10-29 04:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe06e2e…
10-29 00:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xb550ab…
10-29 00:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd28f43…
10-29 00:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x307164…
10-29 00:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xff060c…
10-28 23:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5d4315…
10-28 22:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x10f1bd…
10-28 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x94ec9d…
10-28 18:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xff58a2…
10-28 18:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcfc6ee…
10-28 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe96691…
10-28 17:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5701f…
10-28 17:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x17631f…
10-28 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x74dc2a…
10-28 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x545a30…
10-28 13:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc8d9e0…
10-28 13:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xa1a63d…
10-28 13:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1fc72c…
10-28 01:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf4b647…
10-28 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x467721…
10-28 01:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x220b70…
10-28 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbad9b1…
10-27 23:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc719d8…
10-27 23:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x978362…
10-27 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x79412c…
10-26 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x36cb85…
10-26 21:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xca7763…
10-26 18:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xbc5c18…
10-26 18:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0xa80d83…
10-26 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xa2436c…
10-26 17:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7de416…
10-26 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfce28a…
10-26 16:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x08b54b…
10-26 16:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb69540…
10-26 16:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5dbd3b…
10-26 16:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x44dcd7…
10-26 16:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x25bf49…
10-25 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e9e64…
10-25 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xefc88c…
10-25 17:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x84782d…
10-25 16:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9964c…
10-25 16:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaa8f7…
10-23 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4df9a2…
09-29 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x200ddf…
09-29 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x53d434…
09-29 14:59:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12ef61…
09-29 14:58:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x59f5db…
09-29 14:40:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe1a7bb…
09-29 14:37:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0738d0…
09-29 14:09:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe9a43…
09-29 14:07:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ec3a0…