Ambitious-Examination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$535

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

120

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$84.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$54

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 09-14 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

78% 74% -$3,356

Sports

11% 72% +$1,167

Politics

8% 83% +$300

Crypto

4% 33% -$836

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+1,803	$589	3¢	$54	-$535	09-14 07:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	5	$4.0K	2,297	2,297	+0	Over	+$436	05-20 02:49
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$158	05-21 18:31
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	2	$3.4K	1,772	1,772	+0	Under	+$175	05-19 20:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$3.1K	2,494	2,494	+0	No	-$837	06-01 12:54
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5	2	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	Under	+$62	05-19 17:13
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$2.7K	1,505	1,505	+0	Yes	+$218	08-12 14:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$2.7K	3,598	3,598	+0	No	-$1,092	09-14 07:45
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	7	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	Yes	+$78	08-07 11:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko	3	$2.2K	1,116	1,116	+0	Jelena Ostapenko	+$21	05-11 12:22
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	3	$2.2K	2,408	0	+2,408	Over	-$2,190	05-21 19:17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce	2	$2.2K	1,095	1,095	+0	Martin Landaluce	+$32	05-11 12:08
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	14	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$51	05-17 18:48
crichundred wel sou 2026 08 03	2	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	Welsh Fire	+$46	08-03 20:53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	2	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$64	05-17 18:59
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	2	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$6	08-04 04:38
Knicks vs. 76ers	3	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	Knicks	+$272	05-10 20:47
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?	3	$1.6K	799	799	+0	Yes	+$8	05-10 19:13
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?	2	$1.6K	792	792	+0	Yes	+$15	05-10 17:54
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	2	$1.5K	777	777	+0	Yes	+$35	05-10 17:12
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	1	$1.5K	1,875	0	+1,875	Yes	+$375	08-12 17:44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry	2	$1.5K	767	767	+0	Leolia Jeanjean	+$64	05-04 10:31
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$1.4K	737	737	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$58	05-08 18:13
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Yufei Ren	2	$1.4K	701	701	+0	En-Shuo Liang	+$20	05-04 06:58
Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao	2	$1.3K	685	685	+0	Xinxin Yao	+$34	05-04 06:22
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$1.3K	715	715	+0	No	+$5	05-03 05:50
Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	2	$1.2K	621	621	+0	Yes	+$30	05-03 21:02
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	5	$1.1K	597	597	+0	Yes	+$53	05-03 20:42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	8	$1.1K	659	659	+0	Yes	+$190	05-02 21:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	1	$1.1K	1,277	0	+1,277	Coco Gauff	-$1,111	05-11 12:28
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	7	$1.1K	1,540	0	+1,540	Under	+$430	05-18 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 07:46:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,803	33¢	$595	0x14c059…
09-14 07:45:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,198	20¢	$640	0xea9af0…
09-08 20:28:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	46¢	$39	0x58260a…
09-08 19:55:16	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x5f7415…
09-08 17:26:45	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0xa4f72c…
09-08 17:25:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	15¢	$63	0xf32f6a…
09-08 17:24:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xe6cc2a…
09-05 05:07:57	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xf69b95…
09-02 07:08:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x187fef…
09-02 07:06:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,600	39¢	$624	0xd7a26b…
09-01 07:46:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xadfb19…
08-31 17:38:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	13¢	$29	0x43cac6…
08-28 16:31:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x3783ff…
08-27 10:38:45	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x4f13da…
08-27 06:41:19	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdfa302…
08-27 06:38:34	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x869568…
08-26 19:49:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xb300fc…
08-19 18:42:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xee6bb1…
08-18 18:11:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	71¢	$135	0xcefd5c…
08-18 16:13:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	325	43¢	$139	0x39ae4c…
08-18 14:35:03	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	325	57¢	$184	0x693e44…
08-17 18:59:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	70¢	$71	0x542154…
08-17 18:39:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xcdacb8…
08-17 18:38:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x6348b8…
08-17 18:37:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x32016a…
08-17 18:36:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xc70f26…
08-16 15:12:46	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xfe15ed…
08-16 10:50:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x8e1bca…
08-16 10:49:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	159	30¢	$48	0x91d909…
08-16 10:47:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x8f6406…
08-16 08:53:03	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xda1ea2…
08-16 08:51:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	107	38¢	$41	0x0a66f1…
08-16 08:51:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd0d44c…
08-16 08:50:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xca09d3…
08-15 21:07:25	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x58243b…
08-15 13:41:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x4068a8…
08-12 17:44:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,875	80¢	$1,500	0x3ca94f…
08-12 14:44:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,505	98¢	$1,482	0x9037c1…
08-10 20:37:48	mlb bos tor 2026 08 10	Boston Red Sox	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x668f1d…
08-10 20:28:49	mlb bos tor 2026 08 10	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xdd248e…
08-10 16:23:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x210115…
08-07 11:53:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,505	84¢	$1,264	0x6988d5…
08-07 11:46:13	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	1,274	99¢	$1,267	0xd3f667…
08-06 06:36:39	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x08d3fa…
08-06 06:25:02	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xd96cd2…
08-06 06:23:15	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0x62d676…
08-05 19:48:17	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x6339c8…
08-05 19:47:15	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbdb5db…
08-05 17:13:14	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x7342fd…
08-05 17:13:08	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0xe94cad…
08-05 10:31:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1abcfb…
08-05 02:14:36	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x2caed6…
08-05 02:14:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x9ba9c8…
08-05 02:14:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x1be325…
08-05 02:14:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x1436e6…
08-05 02:14:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	540	93¢	$502	0xf6d26b…
08-05 02:14:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	220	93¢	$204	0xdc6445…
08-05 02:14:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x7a88e7…
08-05 02:02:35	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6506e8…
08-05 02:01:20	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x5623bf…
08-04 19:58:21	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x00fdd4…
08-04 16:09:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,162	95¢	$1,100	0xf7c154…
08-04 04:38:27	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	148	84¢	$124	0x613777…
08-04 04:38:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	1,100	90¢	$985	0xbaf6df…
08-04 01:20:47	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	New York Yankees	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x01d246…
08-03 21:25:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	1,100	89¢	$979	0x7c8ff3…
08-03 21:19:39	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xb19c4e…
08-03 21:17:47	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xa809ff…
08-03 21:17:32	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x4f79fd…
08-03 21:16:50	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x59e709…
08-03 21:16:36	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x47424c…
08-03 21:16:14	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x897ad7…
08-03 20:53:59	crichundred wel sou 2026 08 03	Welsh Fire	SELL	1,047	100¢	$1,046	0xb2a06b…
08-03 20:24:09	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	New York Yankees	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3f655f…
08-03 20:10:05	crichundred wel sou 2026 08 03	Welsh Fire	BUY	1,047	95¢	$1,000	0x75dd25…
08-03 19:59:06	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x16444c…
08-03 19:58:20	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	95	74¢	$70	0x7c8820…
06-01 12:54:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	791	74¢	$585	0x53eeab…
06-01 12:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	791	69¢	$546	0xd36a08…
06-01 12:06:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,703	33¢	$568	0x2360b4…
05-31 07:49:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	305	85¢	$259	0x39c4d4…
05-31 07:48:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,041	85¢	$884	0xfb155b…
05-31 07:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0xfa24db…
05-31 07:45:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xb91d25…
05-31 07:45:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	85¢	$182	0x223755…
05-31 07:44:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$35	0x2474ed…
05-31 07:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0x2dd9ae…
05-31 07:37:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xee506a…
05-31 03:13:24	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0279e2…
05-30 21:16:57	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc15681…
05-30 20:58:42	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	53	63¢	$33	0xa9f17a…
05-30 18:55:44	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x893b82…
05-30 16:21:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x9a9741…
05-30 15:08:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xcddb4b…
05-30 08:57:22	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Angela Hill	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x047dc7…
05-30 08:57:17	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Angela Hill	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xdfb9c7…
05-30 08:57:17	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Angela Hill	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x283bc7…
05-30 08:57:15	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Angela Hill	BUY	75	79¢	$59	0x112301…
05-30 08:52:27	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xc46761…
05-30 08:28:05	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xaf344c…