Afraid-Epithelium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-05 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

67% 44% +$8

Crypto

25% 56% +$8

Sports

8% 40% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?	3	$34	24	24	+0	Yes	+$14	05-01 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	2	$32	34	32	+2	Yes	+$32	04-28 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$31	141	141	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 19:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	3	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	04-30 22:21
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$18	13	13	+0	Lakers	+$8	05-02 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-02 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?	3	$10	7	6	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-01 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-01 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?	2	$8	17	0	+17	No	-$8	05-02 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	05-01 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	43	43	+0	Down	$0	05-07 17:21
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	172	172	+0	No	-$1	05-11 21:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$5	600	600	+0	No	-$1	06-01 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 27?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	4	$5	28	28	+1	Nuggets	-$5	04-28 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	05-01 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 2?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	05-02 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	05-01 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on May 2?	1	$5	45	0	+45	No	-$5	05-01 15:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	05-11 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	05-15 16:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-02 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on April 27?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-01 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?	2	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	04-29 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:29:16	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe23c67…
06-04 05:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd44518…
06-04 05:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5d3e04…
06-02 21:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe149aa…
06-01 23:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf32cd6…
06-01 05:30:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0x0df5d7…
05-15 16:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4dbf85…
05-14 02:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf19473…
05-12 05:17:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x5be9b0…
05-11 21:16:18	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0c4723…
05-11 21:15:33	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	2¢	$3	0xb49184…
05-11 05:53:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7f1e7f…
05-08 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x26087b…
05-08 15:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1bd705…
05-08 15:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x27c314…
05-07 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x813dd4…
05-07 17:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xc3f80d…
05-07 14:14:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2c4ee2…
05-07 13:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe879ac…
05-07 13:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x867cdf…
05-07 13:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	1,243	0¢	$4	0xce2fd8…
05-06 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x929eb5…
05-06 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x030393…
05-06 03:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x1a9ff2…
05-06 03:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8f3f74…
05-06 02:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4b050b…
05-06 02:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8d4e2…
05-06 02:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x440a43…
05-06 02:49:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe3649e…
05-06 02:47:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x9dba6c…
05-06 02:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7591aa…
05-06 02:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x115994…
05-04 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x426233…
05-04 06:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9a8d96…
05-03 05:00:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xacfebe…
05-03 04:57:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x1ef237…
05-03 04:47:08	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	2¢	$3	0x746358…
05-02 04:30:32	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2f796f…
05-02 02:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x76832f…
05-02 02:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfee2c3…
05-02 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf21f8d…
05-02 02:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x09942b…
05-02 02:06:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x175a2c…
05-02 02:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa69220…
05-02 01:58:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xba16ee…
05-01 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd2bba…
05-01 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbe47ee…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ab0d3…
05-01 21:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd70459…
05-01 21:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x784e7f…
05-01 21:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4353bd…
05-01 21:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xe9946d…
05-01 21:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfd5068…
05-01 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x41802c…
05-01 19:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x96405f…
05-01 19:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x226f10…
05-01 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	108	12¢	$13	0x53910d…
05-01 19:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe6d344…
05-01 19:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8c3d2e…
05-01 19:32:10	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd8bd94…
05-01 19:31:44	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x73c659…
05-01 19:31:30	Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7a401…
05-01 15:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x6b382d…
05-01 15:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8c591a…
05-01 15:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb80dd4…
05-01 13:06:34	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x8a40e9…
05-01 13:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x828da4…
05-01 03:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x89d6a2…
05-01 03:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x91acd1…
04-30 22:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcb83fd…
04-30 22:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8ee446…
04-30 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc3f8fb…
04-30 22:21:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbe1a92…
04-30 20:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x38c8cf…
04-30 20:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd8abf8…
04-30 03:31:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe799f9…
04-30 03:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1a6bc5…
04-30 03:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc16b34…
04-30 03:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2c72b4…
04-30 03:24:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3213eb…
04-30 03:24:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x52faf0…
04-30 01:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x04de91…
04-29 20:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	549	0¢	$2	0xb42791…
04-29 13:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3d4f2b…
04-29 13:37:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$2	0x921528…
04-29 13:37:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0xf74fa1…
04-29 13:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x21b1a3…
04-29 13:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	372	1¢	$2	0x66dc94…
04-29 13:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa9d1ba…
04-29 13:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x287a1d…
04-29 13:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x199fce…
04-28 22:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2391a8…
04-28 22:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x976d6c…
04-28 04:45:52	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x5f2b8d…
04-28 04:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$2	0x09c682…
04-28 04:43:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	453	0¢	$1	0xeb5218…
04-28 04:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x712a67…
04-28 04:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbccf26…
04-28 04:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5cc736…
04-28 04:40:22	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xded727…