Knobby-Poison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$478

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$188

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

68% 0% $-10

Other

32% 60% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tommy Gantt	-119	$-119	100¢	$-119	+$0	05-16 23:35
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Modestas Bukauskas	-27	$-27	100¢	$-27	+$0	05-17 01:58
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	+28	$15	78¢	$22	+$7	05-17 01:57
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	+21	$7	100¢	$21	+$14	05-17 00:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)	1	$119	0	119	-119	open	—	05-16 23:35
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	1	$100	111	0	+111	FC Bayern München	+$11	05-06 00:06
O/U 1.5 Rounds	1	$61	0	61	-61	open	—	05-16 21:29
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 00:19
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	1	$36	0	36	-36	open	—	05-16 22:27
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$27	0	27	-27	open	—	05-17 01:58
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 01:57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10?	1	$11	19	0	+19	No	$-11	05-10 14:26
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	23	0	+23	Alexander Volkov	$-10	05-09 23:49
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5	1	$10	12	0	+12	Under	+$2	05-07 11:26
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 21:17
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-14 22:45
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?	1	$9	0	9	-9	Yes	$-0	05-13 21:58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	05-13 20:43
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	05-17 00:23
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	1	$6	11	0	+11	Yes	+$5	05-10 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:58:50	UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Modestas Bukauskas	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x18d47a…
05-17 01:57:38	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x193325…
05-17 00:23:10	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x84609b…
05-17 00:19:37	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x99442d…
05-16 23:36:32	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x2285d7…
05-16 23:35:36	UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tommy Gantt	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x8bd523…
05-16 22:27:52	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xfe8876…
05-16 21:29:24	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd4e6c2…
05-16 21:17:09	UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb8d4eb…
05-14 22:45:31	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Girona FC	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7c26…
05-13 21:58:17	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18f6d7…
05-13 20:43:59	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9aaac4…
05-10 14:26:10	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x5bcbac…
05-10 04:01:27	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8685d1…
05-09 23:49:36	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x81f450…
05-07 11:26:14	CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x84ee86…
05-06 00:06:56	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2e1b84…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	9	$22.7K	170	05-16 20:57
Waterlogged-Rifle 0x52f4…2b15	7	$5.02K	12	05-17 01:38
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	7	$3.08K	23	05-17 02:42
Querulous-Variability 0xfa01…f0a7	7	$2.25K	8	05-17 01:16
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	7	$1.43K	34	05-17 02:28
Scary-Fannypack 0xa38a…821d	6	$14.0K	12	05-17 02:42
Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4	6	$2.59K	18	05-17 01:38
Dirty-Attention 0x24f1…6a07	6	$1.18K	11	05-17 01:23