Well-Lit-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$349

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

8,882

Trades

33,047

lifetime

Volume

$294.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-27 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 62% -$2,474

Other

25% 59% +$5,750

Sports

1% 0% -$3,000

Tech

1% 33% -$626

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2085 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	7	$3.2K	3,389	3,389	+0	No	-$2,394	10-21 16:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	7,317	0	+7,317	No	-$3,000	07-18 22:21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$1.1K	3,438	0	+3,438	Yes	+$2,338	07-14 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$998	1,990	0	+1,990	Down	-$7	06-01 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$996	1,984	0	+1,984	Up	+$1	06-01 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 3?	36	$913	1,653	0	+1,653	No	-$136	10-03 15:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	4	$904	663	663	+0	Yes	+$304	07-01 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$788	1,601	0	+1,601	Up	+$12	06-01 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	13	$776	944	385	+558	Yes	-$132	10-03 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:05 UTC	3	$714	1,606	0	+1,606	Up	+$87	08-27 00:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	4	$700	1,796	0	+1,796	No	-$700	06-18 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	2	$624	882	0	+882	Down	-$179	08-20 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	9	$600	670	0	+670	Down	+$70	04-30 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	2	$569	889	0	+889	Down	-$179	08-21 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	17	$547	925	0	+925	Up	-$547	04-30 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:05 UTC	6	$498	815	0	+815	Down	-$91	08-21 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$496	988	0	+988	Up	-$5	06-01 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?	22	$475	1,047	117	+930	No	+$19	10-03 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$441	867	0	+867	Up	+$1	05-31 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4?	6	$433	552	389	+163	No	+$7	10-03 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 4?	8	$416	365	177	+188	Yes	-$54	10-03 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$400	2,205	0	+2,205	Down	-$400	09-02 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	14	$394	756	0	+756	Up	+$362	09-03 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	5	$376	439	289	+149	No	-$224	10-22 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$375	1,272	0	+1,272	Up	-$375	04-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	14	$374	491	0	+491	Up	-$186	09-05 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	60	$370	693	0	+693	Up	-$24	10-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	17	$362	554	0	+554	Up	+$192	09-03 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$361	452	0	+452	Down	+$4	04-30 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 28?	18	$357	3,194	0	+3,194	No	-$357	06-28 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x355bc0…
10-27 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xc8273e…
10-27 11:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xdf1b24…
10-27 11:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	99	72¢	$72	0x034bf1…
10-27 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd859da…
10-27 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xb99f08…
10-27 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x80d736…
10-27 11:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x0ce674…
10-27 11:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8fbeba…
10-27 11:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8b7ed4…
10-27 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x9c8e45…
10-27 10:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x8aefa6…
10-27 10:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xc8f599…
10-27 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x52c78a…
10-27 09:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xdc994a…
10-27 09:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x899156…
10-27 08:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x681baf…
10-27 08:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x9663ff…
10-27 08:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x206969…
10-27 08:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x88976f…
10-27 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x62c186…
10-27 07:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0x126522…
10-27 07:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x376771…
10-27 07:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	90¢	$42	0x32119d…
10-27 07:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x29ebe8…
10-27 07:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd685fa…
10-27 06:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x88e4b0…
10-27 06:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1c8410…
10-27 05:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x567a42…
10-27 05:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xde8a34…
10-26 23:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xd16b44…
10-26 23:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc3780d…
10-26 23:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x215a53…
10-26 23:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x048a22…
10-26 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x40331e…
10-26 23:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x49219d…
10-26 23:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xec8fc4…
10-26 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbdc233…
10-26 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd45185…
10-26 23:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x11edd9…
10-26 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd23a6b…
10-26 22:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x98f34c…
10-26 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x39b119…
10-26 21:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8b7cc2…
10-26 21:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfef2fc…
10-26 21:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xce4bb0…
10-26 21:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xd1f8fb…
10-26 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x54fdf0…
10-26 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf9f326…
10-26 19:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5a6f4f…
10-26 19:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x95ea69…
10-26 19:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2fccd8…
10-26 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x27f1aa…
10-26 19:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb29a93…
10-26 19:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf94770…
10-26 19:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x61a821…
10-26 19:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xd4e91f…
10-26 19:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	17	39¢	$6	0x610864…
10-26 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6ba9d4…
10-26 18:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x296029…
10-26 18:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0ffd02…
10-26 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd0ea46…
10-26 18:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcf217d…
10-26 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x73fb8e…
10-26 18:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9ffa24…
10-26 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xd12fd6…
10-26 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xb12f97…
10-26 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3a8719…
10-26 17:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe40f55…
10-26 17:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xaf2ea1…
10-26 17:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5fe8a3…
10-26 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4ec346…
10-26 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xde0296…
10-26 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x88b41a…
10-26 17:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x89562a…
10-26 17:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x08a76e…
10-26 16:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa86f5f…
10-26 16:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x481868…
10-26 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xec69bd…
10-26 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x454e1f…
10-26 16:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8e4874…
10-26 16:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb2097b…
10-26 16:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcf494b…
10-26 16:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdbea0f…
10-26 15:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeb6b0e…
10-26 15:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x104352…
10-26 14:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	118	81¢	$96	0x60f307…
10-26 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x9d5b6e…
10-26 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x41f913…
10-26 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x14a69a…
10-26 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x46b72f…
10-26 13:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x7b5a91…
10-26 13:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xf074f0…
10-26 13:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x9ed3c2…
10-26 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x62c84c…
10-26 13:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0xab6496…
10-26 13:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x95fc21…
10-26 13:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x252f8a…
10-26 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x86154a…
10-26 13:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xc51912…