Mushy-Rotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

12,234

lifetime

Volume

$98.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-12 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	18	$107	65	65	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	11	$67	50	50	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 11:20
bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	6	$64	47	47	+0	open	—	01-02 16:20
solana up or down january 2 10pm et	6	$61	43	43	+0	open	—	01-03 04:20
btc updown 15m 1770906600	4	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	02-12 14:35
btc updown 15m 1773769500	4	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 17:55
btc updown 15m 1770816600	4	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	02-11 13:35
sol updown 15m 1775149200	2	$31	22	11	+11	open	—	04-02 17:14
xrp updown 15m 1775569500	3	$30	24	23	+0	open	—	04-07 13:59
xrp updown 15m 1775606400	2	$30	21	11	+11	open	—	04-08 00:14
btc updown 15m 1775594700	3	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	04-07 20:59
btc updown 15m 1775175300	3	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	04-03 00:27
eth updown 15m 1775365200	2	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	04-05 05:11
sol updown 15m 1775182500	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 02:29
eth updown 15m 1775026800	3	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	04-01 07:13
sol updown 15m 1775121300	3	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	04-02 09:27
sol updown 15m 1775457000	3	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 06:43
btc updown 15m 1775149200	3	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	04-02 17:14
btc updown 15m 1775171700	3	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	04-02 23:29
sol updown 15m 1775619000	3	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	04-08 03:44
eth updown 15m 1775409300	3	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	04-05 17:30
eth updown 15m 1775066400	2	$29	20	10	+10	open	—	04-01 18:12
btc updown 15m 1775153700	3	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	04-02 18:28
btc updown 15m 1775394000	2	$29	24	12	+12	open	—	04-05 13:14
btc updown 15m 1774946700	3	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	03-31 08:59
sol updown 15m 1775022300	2	$29	23	11	+11	open	—	04-01 05:56
sol updown 15m 1775355300	3	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	04-05 02:28
sol updown 15m 1775573100	3	$29	23	23	+0	open	—	04-07 14:59
xrp updown 15m 1774906200	2	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	03-30 21:40
btc updown 15m 1775141100	2	$28	21	11	+11	open	—	04-02 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:47:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x563758…
05-09 11:34:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x94f6f0…
05-09 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x9f1840…
05-09 11:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9efee0…
05-09 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x414873…
05-09 11:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xf76b84…
05-09 11:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x9d7538…
05-09 11:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0d3fc3…
05-09 11:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x028885…
05-09 11:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x7b3142…
05-09 11:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4a6c3e…
05-09 11:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6c082f…
05-09 11:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xac00f3…
05-09 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9feba7…
05-09 10:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe28c91…
05-09 10:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x648516…
05-09 10:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4b01a3…
05-09 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x1ae4cd…
05-09 10:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2e2f2a…
05-09 10:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x8e362f…
05-09 10:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x949839…
05-09 10:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x922990…
05-09 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7ef997…
05-09 10:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd8aee5…
05-09 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1cc0ed…
05-09 10:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xb27bfb…
05-09 10:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x50067d…
05-09 10:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8e18f7…
05-09 10:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x079fc8…
05-09 10:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf4975e…
05-09 10:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8c065c…
04-08 03:44:09	sol updown 15m 1775619000	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xd3fc53…
04-08 03:41:05	sol updown 15m 1775619000	Down	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xacc6d2…
04-08 03:40:03	sol updown 15m 1775619000	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xaf7c4d…
04-08 02:55:27	btc updown 15m 1775616300	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xef3a01…
04-08 02:55:03	btc updown 15m 1775616300	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x46899f…
04-08 02:40:05	btc updown 15m 1775615400	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe93232…
04-08 02:10:05	sol updown 15m 1775613600	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9fd139…
04-08 01:25:07	eth updown 15m 1775610900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x95d5a7…
04-08 00:25:13	xrp updown 15m 1775607300	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7f2ee2…
04-08 00:14:17	xrp updown 15m 1775606400	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xeb014b…
04-08 00:10:03	xrp updown 15m 1775606400	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb29d87…
04-07 23:25:13	sol updown 15m 1775603700	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1dfc65…
04-07 22:55:05	sol updown 15m 1775601900	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3b5ca0…
04-07 22:10:03	btc updown 15m 1775599200	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0844d6…
04-07 21:25:03	eth updown 15m 1775596500	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfb62ae…
04-07 20:59:45	btc updown 15m 1775594700	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x42c984…
04-07 20:56:33	btc updown 15m 1775594700	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x3cdcba…
04-07 20:55:03	btc updown 15m 1775594700	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfb7302…
04-07 20:25:13	eth updown 15m 1775592900	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5f6b78…
04-07 20:10:05	eth updown 15m 1775592000	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc44a55…
04-07 19:25:13	btc updown 15m 1775589300	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb098ba…
04-07 18:55:03	xrp updown 15m 1775587500	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3a41b6…
04-07 18:25:13	sol updown 15m 1775585700	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xdc385b…
04-07 17:55:03	eth updown 15m 1775583900	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x64b80b…
04-07 17:25:13	sol updown 15m 1775582100	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca80b5…
04-07 16:55:03	btc updown 15m 1775580300	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x23de68…
04-07 16:25:05	xrp updown 15m 1775578500	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe76b31…
04-07 15:25:05	btc updown 15m 1775574900	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x70bc99…
04-07 14:59:11	sol updown 15m 1775573100	Up	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x245fef…
04-07 14:55:59	sol updown 15m 1775573100	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0xa7811b…
04-07 14:55:07	sol updown 15m 1775573100	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x354064…
04-07 14:25:13	eth updown 15m 1775571300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe2a3f1…
04-07 14:10:03	sol updown 15m 1775570400	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa5a03a…
04-07 13:59:47	sol updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x99775e…
04-07 13:59:31	xrp updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x709549…
04-07 13:57:57	eth updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x37bcb0…
04-07 13:56:53	eth updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xed3440…
04-07 13:56:53	sol updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x990b76…
04-07 13:56:47	xrp updown 15m 1775569500	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x6d1241…
04-07 13:55:07	sol updown 15m 1775569500	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa5a9f4…
04-07 13:55:05	xrp updown 15m 1775569500	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x36813a…
04-07 13:55:03	eth updown 15m 1775569500	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe72f6f…
04-07 13:44:59	sol updown 15m 1775568600	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x7644bd…
04-07 13:44:41	sol updown 15m 1775568600	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x424cf0…
04-07 13:40:05	sol updown 15m 1775568600	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3aa7a3…
04-07 13:25:13	sol updown 15m 1775567700	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xec345a…
04-07 13:25:13	eth updown 15m 1775567700	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb0f406…
04-07 13:25:13	btc updown 15m 1775567700	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x478e97…
04-07 13:14:19	eth updown 15m 1775566800	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xd98f5f…
04-07 13:10:07	btc updown 15m 1775566800	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe29c33…
04-07 13:10:05	xrp updown 15m 1775566800	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe598e1…
04-07 13:10:03	eth updown 15m 1775566800	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x36a041…
04-07 12:55:03	eth updown 15m 1775565900	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x87af1d…
04-07 12:25:13	xrp updown 15m 1775564100	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x96dd81…
04-07 12:25:13	btc updown 15m 1775564100	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0e2f24…
04-07 12:10:03	sol updown 15m 1775563200	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xacc53f…
04-07 11:55:07	btc updown 15m 1775562300	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3544fc…
04-07 11:55:07	sol updown 15m 1775562300	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x124312…
04-07 11:26:23	xrp updown 15m 1775560500	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x0eaae8…
04-07 11:25:13	xrp updown 15m 1775560500	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x512bc4…
04-07 10:55:05	btc updown 15m 1775558700	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4dc4dd…
04-07 10:55:05	eth updown 15m 1775558700	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1fa72d…
04-07 10:55:03	sol updown 15m 1775558700	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xca9cbd…
04-07 10:40:07	eth updown 15m 1775557800	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0e223f…
04-07 10:40:03	btc updown 15m 1775557800	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc05fa4…
04-07 10:40:03	sol updown 15m 1775557800	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb1a8f9…
04-07 10:25:53	btc updown 15m 1775556900	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xc61cca…
04-07 10:25:41	btc updown 15m 1775556900	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x2da76f…
04-07 10:25:35	eth updown 15m 1775556900	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x58ace5…