Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$89

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

235

Trades

1,518

lifetime

Volume

$76.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$520

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

41% 55% -$2,157

Crypto

30% 37% -$2,366

Politics

26% 50% +$583

Tech

3% 50% -$82

Sports

0% 50% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+735	$507	70¢	$511	+$4	10-30 06:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No		+600	$102	2¢	$9	-$93	10-23 11:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$5.5K	8,000	3,000	+5,000	Yes	-$1,232	06-01 00:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	15	$4.0K	2,329	2,510	-181	No	-$166	05-28 11:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	12	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$75	05-29 14:51
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	24	$3.0K	6,329	2,900	+3,429	No	+$94	01-04 13:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	26	$2.9K	500	2,500	-2,000	No	+$100	05-28 01:21
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	21	$2.7K	2,500	4,600	-2,100	Yes	+$1,290	01-06 22:09
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$2.1K	1,700	700	+1,000	No	+$156	06-21 10:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	28	$1.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	08-16 18:08
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	17	$1.7K	1,900	2,375	-475	Yes	-$895	01-05 15:36
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$45	08-21 14:25
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	13	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$20	05-29 03:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	12	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$5	05-29 15:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.5K	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$514	05-30 00:18
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	11	$1.3K	735	931	-197	Yes	+$215	02-15 16:10
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	14	$1.1K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$248	01-28 19:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	16	$1.1K	1,000	900	+100	Yes	+$8	08-06 18:13
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	11	$1.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$16	03-31 13:06
lol gen jdg 2026 07 17 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$940	1,650	0	+1,650	Gen.G	+$710	07-17 10:41
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be between 27m and 30m	35	$897	8,563	8,688	-125	No	-$876	01-10 22:08
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	7	$870	3,000	0	+3,000	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$870	05-29 14:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	19	$856	835	760	+75	Yes	+$233	05-22 22:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	18	$843	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$469	05-27 20:12
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	2	$840	2,000	2,000	+0	Joao Fonseca	-$520	05-29 15:35
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	5	$831	500	500	+0	Yes	+$141	07-21 19:31
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	12	$734	852	852	+0	Yes	-$238	05-29 22:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$732	400	400	+0	No	+$66	06-16 07:45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$711	400	400	+0	Yes	+$87	04-08 07:26
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	16	$668	590	359	+231	Casper Ruud	+$73	05-28 21:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	29	$637	4,160	4,160	+0	Yes	-$281	05-29 12:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	6	$614	800	300	+500	Yes	+$60	06-14 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:29:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	735	69¢	$507	0x96d5da…
10-23 11:15:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0xc155b1…
08-23 22:07:46	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,500	1¢	$35	0xf9933e…
08-21 20:27:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	150	93¢	$139	0xc06e72…
08-21 14:25:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	800	72¢	$576	0x90c4af…
08-19 22:36:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	350	45¢	$158	0x3e5ae2…
08-18 19:52:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x9e5504…
08-17 10:57:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	52	86¢	$44	0x7320fb…
08-17 08:30:55	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xfe6e39…
08-17 06:32:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xe4b328…
08-17 04:32:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe9cfb3…
08-17 03:15:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x9b8d36…
08-17 03:14:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0x9185c9…
08-17 02:44:07	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	242	36¢	$86	0x55beb8…
08-16 23:53:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x8a6740…
08-16 23:52:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0x301e66…
08-16 23:52:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xb8421a…
08-16 21:58:52	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb74e14…
08-16 20:30:57	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x615d8f…
08-16 18:08:07	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	713	22¢	$157	0x7ea508…
08-16 11:51:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x844fce…
08-16 11:51:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x5176de…
08-16 11:41:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xaea304…
08-16 11:31:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xe6bc4c…
08-16 11:21:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xb22da7…
08-16 11:11:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x90cbc0…
08-16 10:56:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	22¢	$47	0xd55365…
08-15 09:12:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xe34789…
08-15 09:12:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0xd77c55…
08-15 09:12:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x61155a…
08-15 09:12:04	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x36ba87…
08-15 03:20:15	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7fab6e…
08-14 23:46:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x39dbca…
08-14 12:43:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x372aca…
08-14 09:33:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0b9299…
08-14 08:16:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x694ca4…
08-14 08:05:31	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd3a499…
08-14 08:05:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	101	36¢	$36	0x37fcbd…
08-14 08:05:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x29ceb9…
08-14 07:49:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	590	1¢	$8	0x4a8c8c…
08-13 13:19:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	24¢	$240	0x2f969f…
08-12 08:30:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7086f7…
08-12 07:52:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	195	66¢	$130	0xf7c713…
08-11 22:14:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	451	18¢	$81	0x625f85…
08-11 22:07:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x860568…
08-11 21:54:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x9a9b8b…
08-11 21:54:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	96	66¢	$63	0x4ff838…
08-11 21:40:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x9e4770…
08-11 21:07:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x2a72eb…
08-11 20:49:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7e05d9…
08-11 20:25:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x048463…
08-11 20:23:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	205	18¢	$37	0x7c7646…
08-11 18:23:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	124	18¢	$22	0xd03aca…
08-11 17:07:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xd54a05…
08-11 14:53:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x186dfc…
08-11 11:23:31	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	22¢	$45	0x5c9f30…
08-11 10:30:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x84780d…
08-11 09:12:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$3	0x989eb8…
08-11 06:23:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x63d7a6…
08-11 06:02:31	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x376362…
08-10 22:48:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x4dcd05…
08-10 22:47:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x992475…
08-10 22:17:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7e2df5…
08-10 22:16:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	22¢	$85	0x720952…
08-10 20:56:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xcb6ada…
08-10 19:15:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7d3115…
08-10 18:12:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x33c2cf…
08-10 17:08:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x08f813…
08-10 16:30:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x52f837…
08-10 15:36:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0fb3ed…
08-10 07:28:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x0fe94d…
08-10 07:07:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	23¢	$207	0x62bab5…
08-09 15:32:22	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xff71b3…
08-09 15:00:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0b15e9…
08-09 14:59:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	185	68¢	$126	0xee3469…
08-09 08:34:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xac5720…
08-08 15:36:45	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x44468e…
08-08 15:35:27	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x79810f…
08-08 14:29:12	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xaae096…
08-08 14:29:04	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x41dd5c…
08-08 11:31:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xf6aa09…
08-08 10:53:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	398	23¢	$91	0x3c9d2f…
08-08 10:49:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x3d289a…
08-08 10:10:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	598	23¢	$138	0xdecfe5…
08-08 09:10:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	73	58¢	$42	0xbcbf3e…
08-08 09:09:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	227	58¢	$132	0x974fa6…
08-08 08:35:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$5	0x96625d…
08-07 23:41:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	300	44¢	$131	0xe65ad3…
08-07 20:27:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x62595f…
08-07 17:13:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	137	66¢	$90	0xa9f225…
08-07 16:34:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x7d1389…
08-07 16:21:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0x6ffe51…
08-07 16:20:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xd5e19e…
08-07 16:19:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x886161…
08-07 16:18:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xcb586b…
08-07 15:53:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xa35db2…
08-07 15:24:39	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x10e6f9…
08-07 14:42:13	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x454885…
08-07 13:26:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	350	12¢	$42	0x5f4dd9…
08-07 11:05:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xbd0842…