Original-Surfboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$647

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

476

Trades

756

lifetime

Volume

$8.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-30 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Politics

60% 96% +$620

Other

22% 89% +$25

Crypto

18% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	99¢	$10	+$1	10-30 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-30 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-30 20:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mira cjl win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$1.9K	43,309	43,309	+0	No	+$77	03-31 09:26
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	60	$959	92,253	92,253	+0	No	+$143	04-13 14:57
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	52	$909	110,671	110,671	+0	No	+$138	04-19 17:27
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	16	$502	167,176	167,176	+0	No	+$167	04-30 08:53
will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	18	$319	30,244	30,244	+0	No	+$50	04-02 05:55
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 560 579	8	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	02-27 04:11
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-27 04:13
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$117	36,307	36,307	+0	No	+$44	03-13 09:27
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 560 579	8	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	02-23 06:32
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	6	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	02-20 10:17
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	6	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	02-26 05:34
elon musk of tweets march 10 20 29	3	$45	5,041	5,031	+10	No	+$15	03-11 06:21
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-09 10:00
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-19 05:32
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	3	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$1	03-23 11:17
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 120 139	4	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-13 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 165 189	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-11 13:57
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 140 159	2	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-13 14:48
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	03-04 02:47
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-17 08:19
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	16	$24	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 10:37
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-13 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 13:33
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-27 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-04 06:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	-$2	04-27 10:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$3	03-31 07:58
Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-03 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc25b4…
10-30 20:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa28b6b…
10-30 20:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0bd5a0…
10-30 20:03:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf480f7…
10-30 20:03:25	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdbe10a…
10-30 20:03:10	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57c0f9…
10-26 21:21:00	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55d4e0…
10-26 21:20:53	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82badd…
10-26 21:20:32	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa16911…
10-24 21:38:15	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa90b57…
10-24 21:38:09	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5dd562…
10-24 21:38:00	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc0975…
10-24 21:37:53	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x783eaa…
10-24 21:37:45	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ed84…
10-24 21:37:38	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x799c3f…
10-23 21:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f9af5…
10-23 21:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a1c9d…
10-23 21:23:41	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbe6a4…
10-23 21:23:32	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cdc85…
10-23 21:23:24	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e3f02…
10-17 01:10:20	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d76ee…
10-17 01:09:56	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x791cb7…
10-17 01:09:39	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcfd61…
10-17 01:09:30	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5604c…
10-17 01:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb96612…
10-17 01:08:53	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3daae5…
10-17 01:08:45	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf6f58…
10-17 01:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcde37…
10-17 01:08:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe36d7b…
10-14 10:22:53	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7eb048…
10-14 10:22:41	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e5300…
10-14 10:22:32	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87b81f…
10-14 10:22:25	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x574ede…
10-14 10:22:10	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x346628…
10-14 10:21:49	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89f89c…
10-14 10:21:28	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9bfeb…
10-12 19:18:03	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d7ce9…
10-12 19:17:51	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0aab67…
10-12 19:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8203d…
10-11 03:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc901b0…
10-11 03:31:41	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a080a…
10-11 03:31:26	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948120…
10-11 03:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5f951…
10-09 20:54:26	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd2d24…
10-09 20:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x302ff3…
10-09 20:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ed895…
10-09 20:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0cf600…
10-09 20:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18fed2…
10-09 20:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67a440…
10-08 22:40:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd1140…
10-08 22:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x16e6ae…
10-08 22:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcac40c…
10-08 22:38:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3850fa…
10-08 22:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x1d54ba…
10-08 22:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x70fdc1…
10-08 19:21:02	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f3ae2…
10-07 08:31:48	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc37707…
10-07 08:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88d2fa…
10-07 08:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf83843…
10-07 08:27:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4653b3…
10-07 08:27:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0294f…
10-04 07:22:47	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42818a…
10-04 07:22:28	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0576ac…
10-04 07:22:16	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa24247…
10-04 07:22:02	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x833a2a…
10-04 07:21:49	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7441a…
09-30 07:49:08	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5a6de…
09-29 05:33:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9762c4…
09-29 05:33:12	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02effa…
09-29 05:33:00	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa10a3f…
09-29 05:32:51	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d60d4…
09-29 05:32:41	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f7ff1…
09-29 05:32:29	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69af78…
09-29 05:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d52c5…
09-29 05:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe9716…
09-29 05:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0acdcf…
09-21 17:13:15	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1f99a4…
09-21 17:13:06	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x613fa4…
09-21 17:12:52	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73518a…
09-21 17:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfbee4…
09-18 03:10:34	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50100e…
09-18 03:10:24	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac3899…
09-18 03:10:10	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf07787…
09-18 03:09:57	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb59352…
09-18 03:09:42	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa965ec…
09-18 03:09:33	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc29a8a…
09-18 03:09:22	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4cee6…
09-18 03:09:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb08aa…
09-06 09:17:46	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x384369…
09-06 09:17:34	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d5084…
09-06 09:17:22	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x841285…
09-06 09:17:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb11cc…
09-06 09:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17446b…
09-06 09:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d86ef…
09-06 09:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e0f56…
09-06 09:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f68ac…
09-06 09:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa676e9…
09-02 11:00:54	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd36459…
09-02 06:42:27	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68f8a6…
09-02 06:42:15	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a4d68…