Obedient-Usual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,901

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-07 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	12	$180	199	100	+99	open	—	05-01 21:15
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	3	$148	269	269	+0	open	—	02-27 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	9	$132	138	52	+86	Down	+$2	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$113	184	0	+184	open	—	05-02 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	8	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	05-02 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	7	$100	170	0	+170	open	—	05-02 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$99	133	0	+133	open	—	05-01 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$98	101	0	+101	open	—	05-02 19:14
bitcoin above 60k on march 3	4	$97	900	900	+0	open	—	02-28 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$96	135	0	+135	open	—	04-27 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	7	$93	95	0	+95	open	—	04-30 14:28
btc updown 15m 1776121200	6	$82	134	11	+124	open	—	04-13 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	7	$78	92	34	+58	Down	$-29	05-05 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	7	$73	127	0	+127	open	—	04-30 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$66	136	0	+136	open	—	05-03 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$66	134	0	+134	open	—	05-04 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$66	133	0	+133	open	—	05-04 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$66	67	0	+67	Up	+$1	05-05 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	05-03 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	05-04 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	05-03 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$66	68	0	+68	open	—	05-04 14:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	3	$64	580	0	+580	No	$-64	05-07 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	5	$59	93	0	+93	Down	+$1	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	5	$59	76	0	+76	open	—	04-28 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$55	69	0	+69	open	—	05-03 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	05-04 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	05-02 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 21:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0xa9ce4d…
05-07 21:15:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	345	11¢	$38	0x59c51a…
05-07 21:15:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0x3b5956…
05-06 12:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2d72a9…
05-06 12:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xfdd248…
05-06 12:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x6e9430…
05-06 11:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x455ae2…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x2a8d30…
05-06 10:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5aa450…
05-06 10:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x46c7b4…
05-06 10:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x9ac967…
05-06 10:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x21410c…
05-06 10:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xee4b50…
05-06 10:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x5a2bdd…
05-06 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x2224b6…
05-06 09:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x1f4526…
05-06 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x86b466…
05-06 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x791e54…
05-06 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4c425a…
05-06 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x246176…
05-06 08:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xfc0f23…
05-06 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x02d6cc…
05-06 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x1fa0c5…
05-06 06:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x16996b…
05-06 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x85c11c…
05-06 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x3eca16…
05-06 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x34216b…
05-06 05:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xc3c33f…
05-06 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x51c20b…
05-06 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xabcca9…
05-06 04:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x170354…
05-06 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x9534a5…
05-06 03:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x22d945…
05-06 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xedf627…
05-06 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8c894d…
05-06 01:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5ff913…
05-06 01:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x58a999…
05-06 01:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x29d58f…
05-05 23:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xa25804…
05-05 23:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x61f31e…
05-05 23:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xebdb4e…
05-05 22:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd0d5b…
05-05 22:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x1ead07…
05-05 22:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa4282e…
05-05 22:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x37c4cc…
05-05 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe3fcdb…
05-05 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4ebb9c…
05-05 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe33864…
05-05 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xa8fc7d…
05-05 18:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x3f70b0…
05-05 16:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x03e393…
05-05 16:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x236e5e…
05-05 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8aeb7…
05-05 15:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5147d5…
05-05 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd518f8…
05-05 14:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xf41ab6…
05-05 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x1f9564…
05-05 13:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x361fdd…
05-05 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x667696…
05-05 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xdf6621…
05-05 13:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x7e3892…
05-05 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xb32390…
05-05 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x32fe75…
05-05 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x3bc6b6…
05-05 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1d6089…
05-05 13:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x72aa60…
05-05 12:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x7d6567…
05-05 10:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x5cb3f4…
05-05 06:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x76e1cc…
05-05 05:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xe2a6fb…
05-05 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x24aaca…
05-05 05:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x2c21d2…
05-05 05:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xb10ad1…
05-05 05:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x761e73…
05-05 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x883d30…
05-05 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3f0212…
05-05 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xb48e5a…
05-05 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xa993fb…
05-05 04:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4077e9…
05-05 04:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8dce72…
05-05 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x487341…
05-05 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xeb97e8…
05-05 03:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc70293…
05-05 03:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x23286b…
05-05 03:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc12b5…
05-05 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xacd92a…
05-05 03:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xbbfab3…
05-05 01:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe2d1e4…
05-05 00:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe1f2e3…
05-05 00:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x587013…
05-04 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xd172b4…
05-04 20:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xe86ef6…
05-04 20:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd0516b…
05-04 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xffe2f0…
05-04 19:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfb08fe…
05-04 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xe72733…
05-04 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x90c8e8…
05-04 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x6c441d…
05-04 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa47e35…
05-04 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x993ca9…