Half-Province — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-27 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% $-26

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	18	$212	177	177	+0	open	—	02-09 22:53
bitcoin up or down february 18 7pm et	8	$191	200	200	+0	open	—	02-19 00:28
bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	7	$180	180	180	+0	open	—	03-04 18:19
bitcoin up or down march 14 1pm et	5	$178	170	170	+0	open	—	03-14 17:14
bitcoin up or down march 14 4pm et	2	$177	164	161	+3	open	—	03-14 20:04
bitcoin up or down march 10 10am et	9	$176	180	179	+1	open	—	03-10 14:26
bitcoin up or down march 14 2pm et	2	$169	185	182	+3	open	—	03-14 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 13 10am et	3	$168	151	149	+2	open	—	03-13 14:19
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 11am et	3	$167	150	148	+2	open	—	03-16 15:05
bitcoin up or down february 9 10am et	3	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 1pm et	2	$158	170	168	+2	open	—	03-16 17:04
bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	5	$158	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 12pm et	3	$154	140	138	+2	open	—	03-16 16:07
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 5am et	3	$153	150	148	+2	open	—	03-17 09:23
bitcoin up or down march 14 3pm et	5	$150	185	185	+0	open	—	03-14 19:05
bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	2	$142	150	148	+2	open	—	03-13 15:36
bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et	2	$141	110	110	+0	open	—	03-12 16:26
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	4	$137	112	110	+2	open	—	03-11 17:03
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	9	$131	120	120	+0	open	—	02-09 23:41
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 10am et	5	$130	115	115	+0	open	—	03-16 14:03
bitcoin up or down march 12 11am et	2	$130	115	113	+2	open	—	03-12 15:04
bitcoin up or down march 11 10am et	4	$129	110	108	+2	open	—	03-11 14:20
bitcoin up or down february 9 11am et	4	$128	120	120	+0	open	—	02-09 16:03
bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	3	$128	110	110	+0	open	—	03-12 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	5	$127	221	221	+0	open	—	02-02 04:04
bitcoin up or down march 14 12pm et	6	$127	160	158	+2	open	—	03-14 16:13
bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	5	$126	110	110	+0	open	—	02-09 20:08
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 10am et	2	$126	208	205	+3	open	—	03-15 14:52
bitcoin up or down march 12 4pm et	3	$125	115	113	+2	open	—	03-12 20:11
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4am et	3	$125	150	148	+2	open	—	03-17 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 01:46:39	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x313e24…
07-27 01:39:33	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xad6851…
07-27 00:00:27	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1e0920…
07-26 23:45:34	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeb6771…
07-26 23:36:46	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9de1e5…
07-26 23:04:10	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0x7645cd…
07-26 23:01:22	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xd8edc9…
07-26 19:11:06	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9ea13b…
07-26 18:46:31	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc9200d…
07-26 18:15:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x08f49c…
07-26 18:10:30	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xe2776e…
05-13 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x07c615…
05-13 20:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xfc8549…
05-13 20:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x00ae9d…
05-13 20:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	28	52¢	$15	0x97c0dc…
05-13 19:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x62d83a…
05-13 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xbb7549…
05-13 19:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x3250d4…
05-13 18:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x54355d…
05-13 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8057b2…
05-13 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xef3763…
05-13 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x075e0a…
05-13 18:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xcd73fa…
05-12 22:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x8b743a…
05-12 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x77578e…
05-12 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x3b45a5…
05-12 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x53d2d1…
05-12 21:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe3bf02…
05-12 21:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x121ee4…
05-12 21:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6c9ae7…
05-12 20:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xcfdcb6…
05-11 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x259167…
05-11 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe73565…
05-11 17:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xdbbd47…
05-11 17:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xfa35e9…
05-11 17:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x226454…
05-11 17:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x1d704c…
05-11 16:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x78bc88…
05-11 16:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xdd3162…
05-11 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x670c89…
05-11 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xe2a845…
05-10 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xec64bc…
05-10 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xde3b24…
05-10 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x9455ae…
05-10 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x6179fe…
05-10 21:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xe2f575…
05-10 21:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x02c830…
05-10 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5ce1af…
05-10 20:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xdbcae7…
05-10 20:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8655be…
05-10 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2c3adf…
05-10 19:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xff63e8…
04-21 05:43:26	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x8e474a…
04-21 05:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xb4a830…
04-21 05:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x68c61e…
04-21 05:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3ce300…
04-21 05:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3947f7…
04-21 05:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x17d163…
04-21 05:41:54	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa6dcd2…
04-21 05:41:54	btc updown 5m 1776750000	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x29657a…
04-06 16:20:01	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x7ab277…
04-06 16:19:55	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x0e4a18…
04-06 16:18:27	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0x2f92fe…
04-02 18:25:09	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x3cb2e1…
04-02 18:25:07	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0xd36a06…
04-02 18:20:57	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x2e7f1c…
04-02 12:46:07	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x8d6eec…
04-02 12:01:43	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xf6e516…
04-01 22:45:41	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x0dcc09…
04-01 22:37:19	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x0cd607…
04-01 22:35:33	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0x547d65…
04-01 22:02:23	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x793178…
03-31 19:28:49	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	48	53¢	$26	0x058bfb…
03-31 19:26:49	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0x5bf406…
03-27 13:30:39	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xa4b1af…
03-27 13:21:09	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xf9f760…
03-27 13:17:05	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xdc24f2…
03-27 13:17:01	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x0e5962…
03-27 13:16:57	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x55c3c1…
03-27 13:16:57	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x396abe…
03-27 13:04:17	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xd37317…
03-27 12:51:17	btc updown 5m 1774615800	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc34533…
03-27 12:47:11	btc updown 5m 1774615500	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x50b77c…
03-27 12:46:11	btc updown 5m 1774615500	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xdf4f1e…
03-27 12:21:23	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xe56293…
03-27 12:21:23	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	55	57¢	$31	0x83a311…
03-27 12:19:53	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xeb1228…
03-27 12:17:21	btc updown 5m 1774613700	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x688c94…
03-27 12:16:07	btc updown 5m 1774613700	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x26cabe…
03-26 20:51:31	btc updown 5m 1774558200	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xe3ade7…
03-26 20:48:39	btc updown 5m 1774557900	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xe44166…
03-26 20:46:39	btc updown 5m 1774557900	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc3252a…
03-19 20:02:59	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x9b12ad…
03-19 18:18:15	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	80	53¢	$42	0xa370ca…
03-19 18:16:49	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x936afd…
03-19 18:16:49	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x311a3a…
03-17 10:01:21	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	155	49¢	$76	0xc124f7…
03-17 09:23:57	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	148	52¢	$77	0x427f2a…
03-17 09:01:05	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb3077f…
03-17 09:01:05	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	130	51¢	$66	0x23875f…