Bare-Keep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$306

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-16 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

36% 0% $-0

Politics

32% 0% $-0

Crypto

27% 50% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:23
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	01-14 03:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 07:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-28 08:47
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 03:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 08:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:47
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 06:24
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:45
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 08:21
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:48
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 09:10
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 06:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 07:32
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 07:06
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 03:44
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:03
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 07:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-09 06:50
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 06:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:33
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 9corhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-12 03:24
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 04:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 08:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 08:31:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaa8032…
06-16 08:30:06	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x34941c…
06-16 08:10:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x57ac7f…
06-16 08:04:10	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37a13c…
06-15 07:32:06	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7ffa9c…
06-15 07:19:01	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x346f99…
06-15 07:14:22	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42474b…
06-13 09:10:03	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0f0b7f…
06-13 08:55:18	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5c75b5…
06-12 08:39:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x20163a…
06-12 08:37:51	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2c3029…
06-12 08:31:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x77535a…
06-12 08:27:24	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88150a…
06-11 08:52:04	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b0fbb…
06-11 08:46:43	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4dc2b2…
06-09 04:11:28	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x675d65…
06-09 04:10:54	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa28769…
06-09 03:55:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6dbf87…
06-09 03:49:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb982eb…
06-08 03:34:25	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf0dea1…
06-08 03:33:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88bf89…
06-08 03:29:51	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd01bb4…
06-08 03:26:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a63ae…
06-06 08:21:07	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf2a950…
06-06 08:20:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfa3027…
06-06 08:08:22	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x62af97…
06-06 08:03:12	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1978d3…
06-05 07:09:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbdf3aa…
06-05 07:08:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbb9232…
06-05 06:54:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa5e316…
06-05 06:48:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a8cb2…
06-04 07:54:06	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x72a4f5…
06-04 07:53:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5201b2…
06-04 07:42:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x61c7a6…
06-04 07:34:09	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2608f4…
06-03 07:58:37	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd9f8bb…
06-03 07:57:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1b735e…
06-03 07:49:38	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd27757…
06-03 07:45:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcdccb…
06-02 07:06:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x89e2c7…
06-02 07:04:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbfef98…
06-02 06:55:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70da3f…
06-02 06:48:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdf3cee…
05-30 07:45:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2be21b…
05-29 06:39:50	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe1bc81…
05-28 07:43:40	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7e0cc…
05-28 07:29:59	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfab02…
05-27 09:06:52	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x571948…
05-27 08:45:10	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd99547…
05-25 06:46:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xff9a40…
05-25 06:45:23	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9010b9…
05-25 06:35:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc89f26…
05-25 06:31:42	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4d7028…
05-23 07:13:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x03de7e…
05-23 07:04:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9ac49d…
05-21 08:21:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeb4348…
05-21 08:20:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf227a1…
05-21 08:13:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x860737…
05-21 08:10:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x519659…
05-18 08:48:44	Will Trump say "China" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1db111…
05-18 08:47:27	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x74b94e…
05-18 08:40:57	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x304f9c…
05-18 08:36:32	Will Trump say "China" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0dfe2a…
05-16 07:22:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf556e1…
05-16 07:04:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf129c4…
05-15 06:52:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x1b5e8c…
05-15 06:39:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x053100…
05-14 07:10:03	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc687d…
05-14 06:57:45	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e4239…
05-13 08:20:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x994fe9…
05-13 08:04:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa397b…
05-12 07:47:37	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc94d7a…
05-12 07:39:58	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeaac54…
05-12 07:36:42	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x689c6c…
05-11 06:58:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b3c02…
05-11 06:57:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x216b6c…
05-11 06:46:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca22dc…
05-11 06:34:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffa40d…
05-09 06:51:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfc960d…
05-09 06:39:22	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe985d0…
05-08 08:24:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6acf8…
05-08 08:23:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1b3495…
05-08 08:15:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27cca0…
05-08 08:09:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbbc18e…
05-06 06:57:44	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x25ed4a…
05-06 06:46:32	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa21681…
05-04 06:20:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x314b39…
04-30 07:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x693c46…
04-30 07:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd618e7…
04-29 07:35:18	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf2ca27…
04-29 07:15:42	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f4ca8…
04-28 04:38:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc7f7d8…
04-28 04:36:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5a7f3…
04-28 04:18:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3102b…
04-28 04:13:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x265f72…
04-27 06:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf53f37…
04-27 06:06:06	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4082c8…
04-27 04:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd57846…
04-27 04:34:08	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe46c63…
04-25 06:34:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0fd57e…