Favorable-Distributor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

2,495

Trades

2,700

lifetime

Volume

$120.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-27 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Other

81% 99% +$53

Sports

15% 99% +$18

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	3	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	8	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$100	50	50	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf7513…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c4da5…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f0c19…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x343845…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7945d…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8e5899…
10-24 16:56:12	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1bdbbe…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb8376a…
10-24 13:00:18	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x616ebc…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f968c…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f131…
10-23 21:06:53	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xae3c88…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x37a134…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe18fd1…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f22d2…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x95e8dd…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe26a62…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbe258d…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc594f…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6acc84…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x220cf3…
10-20 18:36:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x277e07…
10-20 16:59:05	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x099a43…
10-20 15:12:00	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x064397…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8d5ae3…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc4647…
10-18 22:40:02	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd09731…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb8fd8e…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd421c3…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6cd4ce…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd660c…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xcb4a12…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1867c9…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x016e58…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe874db…
10-15 18:58:16	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b2d24…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d1d42…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9dcfb5…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xafd3d0…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x76c110…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3c32fb…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b242f…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fb09a…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xca6e90…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51f49f…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6e74ec…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbbed39…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98a207…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4175c0…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa3d909…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc0dc41…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2a09d0…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x865674…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69df09…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb4169a…
10-09 18:57:59	W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin	Amandine Monnot	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x71eea4…
10-09 14:51:01	Braga: Lukas Neumayer vs Max Alcala Gurri	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x734a2b…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c2e43…
10-08 05:28:20	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xead152…
10-07 22:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa2a52…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xeb9359…
10-07 14:01:44	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x70cd0f…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xf039e6…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x15331c…
10-06 20:36:54	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5152a1…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7fd505…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x185a1b…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xadb881…
10-05 13:57:34	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcf15e…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xebbdc7…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x065d3b…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3cb25d…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x586e6d…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5b7291…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x225a81…
10-03 00:23:20	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb84d75…
10-02 19:33:51	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b4d63…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:17:57	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e1475…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x308092…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaef2b1…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x27f5f1…
10-02 06:25:14	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6cc85…
10-01 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b80d…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12090a…
10-01 22:19:45	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb54724…
10-01 21:21:48	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbfcefb…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x472663…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcd06a4…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xe9710d…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x728217…
10-01 18:38:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96bc66…
10-01 17:38:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9ffb51…
10-01 17:28:57	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7600e1…
10-01 14:34:00	cs2 maybe ep 2026 10 01	maybe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2faaa6…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff9416…
10-01 11:42:23	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48c146…
10-01 11:41:47	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xed9b9f…